People v. Dunn CA5

Filed 6/30/22 P. v. Dunn CA5 NOT TO BE PUBLISHED IN THE OFFICIAL REPORTS California Rules of Court, rule 8.1115(a), prohibits courts and parties from citing or relying on opinions not certified for publication or ordered published, except as specified by rule 8.1115(b). This opinion has not been certified for publication or ordered published for purposes of rule 8.1115. IN THE COURT OF APPEAL OF THE STATE OF CALIFORNIA FIFTH APPELLATE DISTRICT THE PEOPLE, F083390 Plaintiff and Respondent, (Super. Ct. No. MCR063302) v. TUESDEE DEANN DUNN, OPINION Defendant and Appellant. THE COURT* APPEAL from a judgment of the Superior Court of Madera County. Mitchell C. Rigby, Judge. John L. Staley, under appointment by the Court of Appeal, for Defendant and Appellant. Rob Bonta, Attorney General, Lance E. Winters, Chief Assistant Attorney General, Michael P. Farrell, Assistant Attorney General, Eric L. Christoffersen and Christopher J. Rench, Deputy Attorneys General, for Plaintiff and Respondent. -ooOoo- * Before Hill, P. J., Franson, J. and Peña, J. Defendant Tuesdee Deann Dunn contends on appeal that her sentence on count 1 must be vacated and her case remanded for resentencing in light of Senate Bill No. 567’s (2021–2022 Reg. Sess.) (Senate Bill 567) amendments to section 1170, subdivision (b). We affirm. PROCEDURAL SUMMARY On October 18, 2019, the Madera County District Attorney filed an amended information in case No. MCR063302 charging defendant with assault with a means of force likely to cause great bodily injury (“force-likely assault”) (Pen. Code,1 § 245, subd. (a)(4); count 1) and misdemeanor violation of a protective order (§ 273.6, subd. (a); count 2). That same day, defendant pled guilty to both counts. On November 18, 2019, the trial court placed defendant on three years of probation in case No. MCR063302.2 On February 11, 2020, a petition was filed to revoke defendant’s probation in case No. MCR063302. It alleged that defendant had failed to report monthly as directed by her probation officer. Defendant admitted the allegation. Her probation was revoked and reinstated for a period of three years. On March 17, 2020, a second petition to revoke defendant’s probation in case No. MCR063302 was filed. The petition alleged that defendant had committed petty theft (§ 459.5), which violated the term of her probation requiring her to obey all laws. Defendant admitted the violation and her probation was revoked and reinstated for a period of three years. 1 All statutory references are to the Penal Code unless otherwise noted. 2 During this proceeding, the trial court also sentenced defendant in case No. MCR060039, after a violation of probation. The charges at issue here, in case No. MCR063302, were the basis for the violation of probation allegation in case No. MCR060039. 2. On April 27, 2021, a third petition to revoke defendant’s probation in case No. MCR063302 was filed. The petition alleged that defendant violated the term of her probation requiring her to obey all laws by: (1) committing disorderly conduct (§647, subd. (f)); (2) possessing a controlled substance (Health & Saf. Code, § 11377, subd. (a)); and (3) possessing paraphernalia used to smoke or ingest a controlled substance (Health & Saf. Code, § 11364, subd. (a)). The petition further alleged that defendant failed to report to her probation officer as required by the terms of her probation and that she had violated the term prohibiting use or possession of a controlled substance because her urine sample tested positive for THC and amphetamine. On June 11, 2021, the trial court held a contested hearing regarding the third probation revocation petition in case No. MCR063302. The trial court found that defendant had violated her probation by failing to obey all laws and by not reporting to her probation officer as alleged in the petition. The trial court found there was insufficient evidence supporting the allegation that defendant’s urine test was positive, but found that she had nonetheless violated the probation term prohibiting controlled substance use or possession because she had been found in possession of methamphetamine and amphetamine paraphernalia. At sentencing, the trial court revoked defendant’s probation and declined to reinstate it. The trial court imposed four years (the upper term) on count 1 (force-likely assault); and 125 days in county jail, with 125 days’ credit for time served, deemed time served, on count 2 (misdemeanor violation of a protective order).3 On September 29, 2021, defendant filed a notice of appeal in case No. MCR06332. 3 The trial court also revoked defendant’s probation in case No. MCR060039. In that case, her probation was revoked and not reinstated and she was sentenced to county jail with credit for time served. 3. FACTS4 Count 1—Felony Force-Likely Assault Defendant was married to B.O and they had children together. B.O.’s previous wife was J.S. On May 2, 2019, defendant arrived at J.S.’s residence for reasons unknown to J.S. and J.S. told defendant to leave. After J.S. told defendant to leave a second time, defendant lunged at J.S. and they began struggling and hitting each other. J.S. pushed defendant away and saw a knife in defendant’s hand. J.S immediately grabbed the knife from defendant and cut her right thumb in doing so. Count 2—Misdemeanor Violating a Court Order Defendant had previously been served with a criminal protective order. On June 7, 2019, while it was in effect, B.O. went to defendant’s father’s home to pick up their children. Defendant was outside the residence waiting for B.O. When he put their children in his car, defendant demanded the children. B.O. refused and drove away. Defendant closely followed B.O. in her vehicle and told B.O. when they arrived at the children’s daycare that she would follow them into the daycare. B.O. called the police to report defendant’s violation of the protective order. DISCUSSION Defendant contends the trial court’s aggravating circumstances findings fail to meet the requirements of amended section 1170, subdivision (b), because the aggravating circumstances relied upon by the trial court—(1) defendant had numerous prior convictions, (2) she was on probation when she committed the charged offenses, and (3) her prior performance on probation was unsatisfactory—were not stipulated to by defendant or proven true beyond a reasonable doubt, and the record does not show that the trial court would have imposed the upper term without these aggravating circumstances. 4 All facts are from the probation report. 4. The People first contend that the trial court’s sentence to the upper term on count 1 complies with Senate Bill 567’s amendments to section 1170, subdivision (b)(3), because the probation officer’s report was a certified record of defendant’s prior convictions and contained stipulations by defendant that prove the facts underlying all three of the trial court’s aggravating circumstances. As we explain below, a probation report is not a certified record of conviction, and section 1170, subdivision (b)(3) does not permit stipulations by the defendant. However, two of the trial court’s aggravating circumstances findings were not made in error because the record contains certified records of defendant’s prior convictions and stipulations by defendant, outside of the probation officer’s report. The People alternatively contend that any error was harmless under People v. Sandoval (2007) 41 Cal.4th 825, 838–839 (Sandoval) because “the jury, applying the beyond-a-reasonable-doubt standard, unquestionably would have found true [the relied upon] aggravating circumstance had it been submitted to the jury ….” (Sandoval, at p. 839). They further argue that any error was harmless because Senate Bill 567 does not require a minimum number of aggravating circumstances, so as long as a jury could have found a single aggravating circumstance true beyond a reasonable doubt, according to People v. Flores (2022) 75 Cal.App.5th 495, 521 (Flores). However, as we explain below, we disagree with Flores that Sandoval controls in this context. Instead, to find that the error was harmless we would have to conclude: (1)(a) beyond a reasonable doubt that the jury would have found beyond a reasonable doubt that the facts underlying at least one aggravating circumstance was true and (1)(b) that there is no reasonable probability the jury would not have found the remaining aggravating circumstance(s) true beyond a reasonable doubt, or if all circumstances are not found true according to their respective standards, (2) that there is no reasonable probability that the trial court would have imposed a sentence other than the upper term in light of the aggravating 5. circumstances provable from the record as determined in the prior steps.5 Applying this standard, we conclude the trial court’s error was harmless. We affirm. A. Background When selecting the upper term on count 1, the trial court relied on the probation officer’s recommendation and found three aggravating factors: (1) defendant had numerous prior convictions, (2) defendant was on probation at the time the charged offenses were committed, and (3) her prior performance on probation was unsatisfactory. The trial court stated at sentencing, “with regards to circumstances in aggravation … the defendant’s prior convictions are numerous, was on probation when the crime was committed, and her prior performance on probation was unsatisfactory.” The probation officer’s report indicated that defendant was on probation at the time she committed her offenses and also identified defendant’s criminal history, which included six prior misdemeanor convictions and 11 prior probation violations. B. Law On October 8, 2021, Senate Bill 567 was signed into law. It amends the determinate sentencing law, section 1170, subdivision (b), which delineates the trial court’s authority to impose one of three statutory terms of imprisonment, known as the lower, middle, or upper terms, by making the middle term the presumptive sentence for a term of imprisonment, unless certain circumstances exist. (See Stats. 2021, ch. 731, § 1.3, adding § 1170, subd. (b)(1), (2).) Effective January 1, 2022, under the newly amended law, the trial court may impose an upper term sentence only where there are circumstances in aggravation, and the facts underlying all of the aggravating circumstances have been stipulated to by the defendant or found true beyond a reasonable doubt by a jury or a trial court if the defendant has consented to a court trial. (Ibid.) 5 In order to reach the second step, the reviewing court must conclude beyond a reasonable doubt that the jury would have found at least one aggravating circumstance true beyond a reasonable doubt. Otherwise, the sentence violates the Sixth Amendment. 6. Also, under section 1170, subdivision (b)(3), the trial court, “may consider the defendant’s prior convictions in determining sentencing based on a certified record of conviction without submitting the prior convictions to a jury.” (§ 1170, subd. (b)(3).) Under amended section 1170, subdivision (b)(5), the trial court must “set forth on the record the facts and reasons for choosing the sentence imposed. The court may not impose an upper term by using the fact of any enhancement upon which sentence is imposed under any provision of law.” (§ 1170, subd. (b)(5).) C. Analysis Senate Bill 567 went into effect on January 1, 2022. Absent evidence to the contrary, the Legislature intends amendments to statutes that reduce the punishment for a particular crime to apply to all defendants whose judgments are not yet final on the amendment’s operative date. (People v. Superior Court (Lara) (2018) 4 Cal.5th 299, 307–308 [discussing In re Estrada (1965) 63 Cal.2d 740]; People v. Brown (2012) 54 Cal.4th 314, 323.) The “consideration of paramount importance” is whether the amendment lessens punishment. (Estrada, at p. 744.) If so, the “inevitable inference [is] that the Legislature must have intended that the new statute” apply retroactively. (Estrada, at p. 745.) As Senate Bill 567’s amendments to section 1170, subdivision (b), lessen punishment, and there is no indication that the Legislature intended it to apply prospectively only, the new law must be retroactively applied. Therefore, the amendment to section 1170, subdivision (b), applies to all cases not final on Senate Bill 567’s effective date. (Estrada, at pp. 745–746; People v. Flores (2022) 73 Cal.App.5th 1032, 1039.) As defendant contends, her case was not final on January 1, 2022, and she was sentenced to the upper term on count 1 under former section 1170. We agree. Defendant is entitled to the benefit of Senate Bill 567. Here, defendant’s sentence to the upper term on count 1 is not consistent with the requirements of Senate Bill 567’s amendment to section 1170, subdivision (b), because the record does not reflect that the aggravating 7. circumstances were all proven by certified records of defendant’s prior convictions, admitted by defendant, or proved beyond a reasonable doubt. Certified Records of Defendant’s Prior Convictions The People contend that remand is not required because defendant’s sentence to the upper term on count 1 in case No. MCR063302 meets the requirements of amended section 1170, subdivision (b)(3). They contend that under section 1170, subdivision (b)(3), “the sentencing court may rely upon … certified records of a defendant’s prior conviction in selecting the sentence to impose without submitting the issue to a jury,” and that defendant’s probation officer’s report was a certified record that established all three of the aggravating circumstances that the trial court relied upon— (1) defendant’s numerous prior convictions, (2) that she was on probation at the time the charged offenses were committed, and (3) that her prior probation performance was unsatisfactory. First, the People are mistaken in their assertion that defendant’s probation report is a certified record of conviction. It is not. Here, however, during the contested hearing on defendant’s third probation violation in this case, the trial court admitted into evidence a certified copy of defendant’s criminal history report.6 As the trial court, “may consider the defendant’s prior convictions in determining sentencing based on a certified record of conviction without submitting the prior convictions to a jury,” the first aggravating circumstance that the trial court relied upon, that defendant had numerous convictions, meets the requirements of section 1170, subdivision (b)(3). Accordingly, there was no 6 While the People’s Exhibit 1 is not included in the record on appeal, during the contested hearing, the prosecution stated, “Your honor, at this time I would like to admit into evidence a certified copy of the defendant’s criminal history report. I’ve previously shown it to the defense.” The trial court responded, “All right. It will be admitted as Exhibit 1.” 8. error in the trial court’s reliance upon the aggravating circumstance of defendant’s numerous prior convictions. Stipulations by Defendant The People also argue that under section 1170, subdivision (b)(3), “the sentencing court may rely upon the defendant’s own stipulations … of a defendant’s prior conviction in selecting the sentence to impose without submitting the issue to a jury.” The People are also mistaken that subdivision (b)(3) of section 1170, permits stipulations by the defendant to prove prior convictions. Stipulations by the defendant are permitted to prove aggravating circumstances, however, under subdivision (b)(2) of amended section 1170. Here, defendant stipulated to the violations as pled in the February 11, 2020, and March 17, 2020, probation revocation petitions in this case. On February 14, 2020, defendant admitted violating the terms of her probation. On March 19, 2020, defendant pled guilty to shoplifting (§ 459.5) and admitted that committing this offense violated the terms of her probation, which required her to obey all laws.7 Accordingly, the third aggravating circumstance relied upon by the trial court, that defendant’s prior probation performance was unsatisfactory, meets the requirements of section 1170, subdivision (b)(2), because the facts underlying the aggravating circumstance have been stipulated to by defendant. (§ 1170, subd. (b)(2).) Accordingly, there was no error in the trial court’s reliance upon the aggravating circumstance that defendant’s prior performance on probation was unsatisfactory. 7 The probation officer’s report contains probation violations from cases other than case No. MCR063302. However, as the transcripts of the hearings for defendant’s two prior probation violations in this case, from February 14 and March 19, 2020, were included in the trial court’s record here, we conclude that the trial court was referring to these two probation violations when it stated that one of the aggravating circumstances it relied upon in this case was defendant’s prior unsatisfactory performance on probation. 9. Unproved Aggravating Circumstance Here, the facts underlying the second aggravating circumstance cited by the trial court, that defendant was on probation at the time that the charged offenses were committed, were not admitted by defendant or presented to or found true by the jury as required by section 1170, subdivision (b)(2).8 Accordingly, as section 1170 requires all aggravating circumstances relied upon by the trial court to meet the requirements of section 1170, subdivision (b)(2) or (3), unless imposition of the upper term on count 1 was harmless, the sentence must be vacated and the matter must be remanded to the trial court for resentencing in compliance with section 1170, subdivision (b). Harmless Error The People contend that any error by the trial court was harmless, relying on Sandoval9 for the proposition that Cunningham harmless error applies to amended section 1170. They argue that an appellate court properly finds Cunningham harmless error in this situation if it “concludes, beyond a reasonable doubt, that the jury, applying the beyond-a-reasonable-doubt standard, unquestionably would have found true [the relied upon] aggravating circumstance had it been submitted to the jury ….” (Sandoval, supra, 41 Cal.4th at p. 839; accord People v. Wilson (2008) 44 Cal.4th 758, 812–813 [where the trial judge mentioned the victim’s vulnerability in sentencing a defendant to an upper term, any Cunningham error was harmless because the jury would have found 8 In the following harmless error discussion, we refer to section 1170, subdivision (b) “error.” However, we note that at the time the trial court sentenced defendant, it correctly applied the law. Accordingly, while we refer to section 1170, subdivision (b) “error,” we are mindful that the trial court complied with the applicable law at the time of sentencing. 9 Sandoval, as we explain in more detail below, considered the standard for harmless error in the context of Cunningham v. California (2007) 549 U.S. 270 (Cunningham) error—where a sentence in excess of the statutory maximum sentence was imposed under California’s former determinate sentencing law without submitting the facts authorizing such a sentence to a jury. 10. beyond a reasonable doubt that the victim was vulnerable or that appellant isolated the victim].) They further contend that although Senate Bill 567 requires that the jury find true the facts underlying the aggravating circumstance, Senate Bill 567 does not require the court to rely on a minimum number of aggravating circumstances. For this proposition they rely on Flores, which applied the harmless-beyond-a-reasonable-doubt standard of harmless error from Chapman v. California (1967) 386 U.S. 18 as adapted to the context of violations of the Sixth Amendment right to a jury trial on aggravating circumstances by Sandoval. (Flores, supra, 75 Cal.App.5th at pp. 500–501.) Flores articulated the harmless error standard in the Senate Bill 567 error context as follows: “ ‘[I]f a reviewing court concludes, beyond a reasonable doubt, that the jury, applying the beyond-a-reasonable-doubt standard, unquestionably would have found true at least a single aggravating circumstance had it been submitted to the jury,’ the error is harmless.” (Flores, supra, 75 Cal.App.5th at p. 500, italics added.) We respectfully disagree with the People and Flores that Sandoval applies in this context. A reviewing court concluding beyond a reasonable doubt that the jury would have found the facts underlying a single circumstance in aggravation true beyond a reasonable doubt is insufficient to conclude that any error under section 1170, subdivision (b) was harmless. To explain our disagreement with Flores, we consider the origin of the harmless error standard it applied. In Cunningham, the Supreme Court held that California’s determinate sentencing law (as it existed from 1977 to 2007) violated the Sixth Amendment right to a jury trial because it permitted a trial judge to determine facts (other than a prior conviction) that would allow imposition of a sentence in excess of the statutory maximum.10 (Cunningham, supra, 549 U.S. at pp. 275–276.) As Cunningham explained, the Supreme Court had long held that any fact that permitted imposition of a 10 In the Sixth Amendment context, the statutory maximum “ ‘is not the maximum sentence a judge may impose after finding additional facts, but the maximum he may impose without any additional findings.’ ” (Cunningham, supra, 549 U.S. at p. 275.) 11. sentence beyond the statutory maximum had to be proved to a jury beyond a reasonable doubt. (Id. at p. 281.) Under the California determinate sentencing law, a statutory presumption existed that “ ‘[t]he middle term [would] be selected unless imposition of the upper or lower term [was] justified by circumstances in aggravation or mitigation.’ ” (Id. at p. 278.) Under the then-existing statutory scheme, those circumstances in aggravation or mitigation—and the underlying facts related to those circumstances— were to be determined by the trial court, not the jury. (Ibid.) The Supreme Court therefore determined that the imposition of an upper term without having the facts underlying the aggravating circumstances proved to a jury beyond a reasonable doubt violated the Sixth Amendment. (Id. at p. 293.) In Sandoval, our Supreme Court considered whether an upper-term sentence imposed pursuant to the pre-Cunningham determinate sentencing law—i.e., imposed based on judicial findings of fact on circumstances in aggravation—was harmless error under the Sixth Amendment. (Sandoval, supra, 41 Cal.4th at p. 837.) It explained that the trial court had relied upon multiple aggravating circumstances, none of which had been proved to a jury, admitted by the defendant, or based on the fact of a prior conviction. (Id. at pp. 837–838.) The upper-term sentence therefore violated the defendant’s Sixth Amendment rights under Cunningham. The Sandoval court then considered whether the violation was harmless. To that end, it articulated the following standard: “if a reviewing court concludes, beyond a reasonable doubt, that the jury, applying the beyond-a-reasonable-doubt standard, unquestionably would have found true at least a single aggravating circumstance had it been submitted to the jury, the Sixth Amendment error properly may be found harmless.” (Sandoval, at p. 839.) In the Sixth Amendment context, the issue was whether the “defendant [was] eligible for the upper term”; the trial court’s consideration of additional factors not proved to a jury was not a federal constitutional question. (Sandoval, at p. 839.) 12. As noted, in Flores, the Court of Appeal for the First District, Division Three extended the standard for harmless error applied in the Sixth Amendment context in Sandoval to section 1170, subdivision (b)(2) error.11 (Flores, supra, 75 Cal.App.5th at pp. 500–501.) The Court of Appeal for the Fourth District, Division One disagreed with Flores on that point. (People v. Lopez (2022) 78 Cal.App.5th 459, 465–468 (Lopez).) The court in Lopez agreed with Flores that section 1170, subdivision (b)(2) error is subject to a harmless error analysis: “[W]here a sentencing factor must be found true by a jury beyond a reasonable doubt and the court fails to submit that factor to the jury, the error in the court’s reliance on that fact may be subject to harmless error review as to whether the lack of a finding by the jury was prejudicial .…” (Lopez, supra, 78 Cal.App.5th at p. 465.) But Lopez disagreed with Flores on the correct standard for harmlessness. Instead of the Sandoval harmless error standard, the Lopez court applied the following two-part standard for harmlessness: First, “[i]n order to conclude that the trial court’s reliance on improper factors that were not found true by a jury[,] … admitted by [the defendant, or based on certified records of conviction] was not prejudicial, [the reviewing court] would have to conclude beyond a reasonable doubt that a jury would have found true beyond a reasonable doubt every factor on which the court relied, because the amended statute requires that every factor on which a court intends to rely in imposing an upper term, with the exception of factors related to a defendant’s prior conviction(s), have been admitted by the defendant or proven to a jury (see § 1170, subd. (b)).” (Lopez, at pp. 465–466.) According to Lopez, if that conclusion is made, the defendant has suffered no prejudice. (Id. at p. 467 & fn. 11.) If not, the reviewing court “then consider[s] the second question, which is whether [it] can be certain, to the degree required by People v. Watson (1956) 46 Cal.2d 818, 836 [(Watson)], that the trial court 11 The Flores court did not explain why it concluded that the harmless error test applied in Sandoval applies in this context. 13. would nevertheless have exercised its discretion to select the upper term if it had recognized that it could permissibly rely on only a single one of the aggravating factors, a few of the aggravating factors, or none of the aggravating factors, rather than all of the factors on which it previously relied. If the answer to both of these questions is ‘no,’ then it is clear that remand to the trial court for resentencing is necessary.” (Lopez, at p. 467, fn. 11.) Lopez reasoned it is not enough that the reviewing court conclude that a trial court was permitted to impose the upper term because the jury would have found true a single aggravating circumstance beyond a reasonable doubt; whether the trial court could have imposed the upper term did not completely resolve the issue. (Lopez, supra, 78 Cal.App.5th at p. 467.) Instead, when a reviewing court concludes beyond a reasonable doubt that a jury would have found true fewer than all the aggravating circumstances beyond a reasonable doubt, it must still ask whether it is reasonably probable the trial court “would have exercised its discretion” to impose a sentence less than the upper term in the absence of the unproved aggravating circumstance(s). (Ibid.) We agree with the Lopez court that a reviewing court finding beyond a reasonable doubt that the jury would have found a single aggravating factor true beyond a reasonable doubt is insufficient to conclude that the error was harmless. In other words, we disagree with Flores that Sandoval is applicable in this context. We further agree that the second step of the Lopez analysis—considering whether the trial court would have imposed a lesser term in absence of the aggravating circumstances not provable on the record before the reviewing court—is necessary. To find that section 1170, subdivision (b) error is harmless when fewer than all of the circumstances relied upon by the trial court could have been proved to the jury, we must determine whether the trial court would nevertheless have imposed the upper term based on the remaining aggravating circumstances. 14. Despite our agreement with Lopez on the majority of the standard it articulated, we are unconvinced that the Chapman standard of harmless error—applicable to errors implicating federal constitutional rights—must be applied to all aggravating circumstances in the Lopez court’s first step. Lopez does not provide a clear explanation for why the Chapman standard for harmless error applies to all aggravating circumstances. Indeed, the only citation that the Lopez court provides for the proposition that Chapman applies to every factor is citation to section 1170, subdivision (b), itself. While Sandoval directs that at least one aggravating factor must be proved to the Chapman harmless error standard to satisfy the Sixth Amendment (i.e., for it to be permissible for the trial court to impose the upper term consistent with the Sixth Amendment), ordinary errors of state law are subject to review pursuant to Watson, supra, 46 Cal.2d 818.12 (People v. Breverman (1998) 19 Cal.4th 142, 171 [when a state statutory right to a jury determination is violated, such error “is state law error alone, and thus subject, under article VI, section 13 of the California Constitution, to the Watson harmless error test”; “the state-created right to jury determination” does not implicate federal due process interests].) We note that the Chapman standard of harmless error is compelled when an element of an offense or a sentencing factor necessary to impose a sentence above the statutory maximum is not presented to the jury. (Washington v. Recuenco (2006) 548 U.S. 212, 220 [firearm enhancement sentencing factor harmless error is decided pursuant to Chapman]; People v. French (2008) 43 Cal.4th 36, 52–53 [applying only Chapman 12 The test under Watson is whether, “ ‘after an examination of the entire cause, including the evidence,’ [the reviewing court] is of the ‘opinion’ that it is reasonably probable that a result more favorable to the appealing party would have been reached in the absence of the error.” (Watson, supra, 46 Cal.2d at p. 836.) In this context, the question for the reviewing court would be whether there is a reasonable probability that the trial court would not have found the aggravating circumstance(s) true beyond a reasonable doubt. 15. where the trial court imposed the upper term based on one aggravating circumstance and that circumstance was not proved to the jury].) A fact that is necessary to impose a sentence above the statutory maximum must be proved to a jury beyond a reasonable doubt. However, as Sandoval has made clear, when multiple aggravating circumstances not proved to the jury are relied upon by a trial court in imposing the upper term, the reviewing court must only conclude beyond a reasonable doubt that one of those circumstances would have been found true by the jury beyond a reasonable doubt to avoid offending the Sixth Amendment. (Sandoval, supra, 41 Cal.4th at p. 839 [so long as a defendant is eligible for the upper term by virtue of facts that have been established consistently with Sixth Amendment principles, the federal Constitution permits the trial court to rely upon any number of aggravating circumstances in exercising its discretion to select the appropriate term by balancing aggravating and mitigating circumstances, regardless of whether the facts underlying those circumstances have been found to be true by a jury].) Accordingly, one aggravating circumstance must be reviewed pursuant to Chapman, but the remaining aggravating circumstances involve only a state-created right to a jury trial that must be reviewed pursuant to Watson. In sum, we think the correct standard for harmless error lies between the standards articulated in Flores and Lopez; Flores sets too low a standard for harmlessness and Lopez too high. We instead apply a version of the standard articulated in Lopez, modified to incorporate Watson in the first step: The reviewing court determines (1)(a) beyond a reasonable doubt whether the jury would have found one aggravating circumstance true beyond a reasonable doubt13 and (1)(b) whether there is a reasonable probability that the jury would have found any remaining aggravating circumstance(s) true beyond a 13 Alternatively, this step is satisfied if the trial court found defendant’s numerous or increasingly serious prior convictions to be an aggravating circumstance based on a certified record of conviction, or defendant admitted the facts underlying an aggravating circumstance. 16. reasonable doubt. If the aggravating circumstances would have been proved to the respective standards, any error was harmless. If not, we move to the second step of Lopez, (2) whether there is a reasonable probability that the trial court would have imposed a sentence other than the upper term in light of the aggravating circumstances provable from the record as determined in the prior steps. If the answer is no, the error was harmless. If the answer is yes, we vacate the sentence and remand for resentencing consistent with section 1170, subdivision (b). With that standard in mind, we revisit the aggravating circumstances relied upon by the trial court. Here, as discussed above, there was no error as to the first aggravating circumstance, that defendant had numerous convictions, because it met the requirements of section 1170, subdivision (b)(3) permitting the trial court to rely on certified records of defendant’s prior convictions. There was also no error, as discussed above, as to the trial court’s reliance on the third aggravating circumstance, that defendant’s prior performance on probation was unsatisfactory, because defendant admitted two prior probation violations in this case. These admissions met the requirements of section 1170, subdivision (b)(2), that aggravating circumstances relied upon by the court must be stipulated to by defendant or proven true beyond a reasonable doubt by a jury. Accordingly, we need not determine beyond a reasonable doubt whether the jury would have found any one aggravating circumstance true beyond a reasonable doubt.14 We must next determine whether there is a reasonable probability that the jury would not have found the remaining aggravating circumstance true beyond a reasonable doubt. Here, the jury did not make a specific finding as to the facts underlying the second aggravating circumstance cited by the trial court, that defendant was on probation 14 Because there was no error by the trial court in relying upon the first and third aggravating circumstances, we need not apply the Chapman harmless error standard to the remaining aggravating circumstance. We can instead apply Watson, as the requirements of the Sixth Amendment have already been met. 17. at the time the charged offenses were committed. However, the record shows that defendant was on probation in case No. MCR060039 at the time she committed the charged offenses in case No. MCR063302. During defendant’s October 18, 2019 hearing in case Nos. MCR060039 and MCR06332, defense counsel stated, “[MCR]060039 is the separate violation of probation case. [MCR]063303 was consolidated with [MCR]063302.”15 During that hearing, defendant pled guilty to counts 1 and 2 in case No. MCR063302. At the sentencing hearing on November 18, 2019, the trial court described case No. MCR060039, stating, “And in MCR060039, a violation of probation matter, the underlying offense being a misdemeanor violation of Penal Code Section 243, subdivision (b) in Count 1; and in Count 2, Penal Code Section 273.6, subdivision (a).” The trial court then revoked defendant’s probation in case No. MCR060039 and reinstated it for a period of three years from October 5, 2018, as well as ordered a period of confinement in county jail with credit for time served. It then sentenced defendant in case No. MCR0603302 on counts 1 and 2 to probation for a period of three years. We conclude that based on the record a jury would have assessed the facts underlying the second aggravating circumstance, that defendant was on probation at the time she committed the charged offenses, in the same manner as the trial court. Accordingly, we conclude that there is not a reasonable probability the jury would not have found the remaining aggravating circumstance true beyond a reasonable doubt. As the first and third aggravating circumstances met the requirements of section 1170, subdivision (b)(2) and (3), and there is not a reasonable likelihood the jury 15 Case No. MCR063302 originally had only one count (§ 273.6), and case No. MCR063303 had only one count (§ 245, subd. (a)(4)). When the two cases were consolidated as case No. MCR063302, the section 245, subdivision (a)(4) charge became count 1, and the section 273.6 charge became count 2 in the amended information for case No. MCR063302. 18. would not have found the second aggravating circumstance true beyond a reasonable doubt, the error was harmless. We affirm defendant’s sentence. DISPOSITION The judgment is affirmed. 19.