dissenting.
I strongly disagree with the majority’s decision to affirm the BIA’s denial of Eta-Ndu’s asylum application based on future persecution.5 This decision will ultimately result in Eta-Ndu’s certain persecution and probable ensuing death in Cameroon. The majority has not fulfilled its duty to consider fairly the record “as a whole” because it disregards critical and uncon-troverted expert testimony proving that Eta-Ndu faces a serious possibility of persecution in Cameroon. The majority also contradicts the governing record and misapplies the applicable legal standard by affirming the IJ’s decision on the basis of speculation, not substantial evidence.
I. The “Substantial Evidence” Standard of Review
When the BIA denies asylum to an applicant under 8 U.S.C. § 1105a(a)(4) (1994), this court reviews the BIA’s decision under the “substantial evidence” test. See Lopez-Zeron v. United States Dep’t of Justice, 8 F.3d 636, 638 (8th Cir.1993); Behzadpour v. United States, 946 F.2d 1351, 1353 (8th Cir.1991). Although this standard of review seems straightforward, it actually encompasses two tests.
We will affirm the BIA’s denial of asylum if the BIA’s decision was “supported by reasonable, substantial and probative evidence on the record considered as a whole.” INS v. Elias-Zacarias, 502 U.S. 478, 481, 112 S.Ct. 812, 117 L.Ed.2d 38 (1992) (emphasis added); see also 8 U.S.C. § 1105a(a)(4). A denial of asylum cannot be based on speculation which is what occurred here. In order to reverse the BIA’s denial of asylum, however, an appellate court must be able to state that “the evidence presented by [the asylum applicant] was such that a reasonable factfinder would have to conclude that the requisite fear of persecution existed.” Elias-Zacarias, 502 U.S. at 481, 112 S.Ct. 812 (emphasis added).
The requisite fear of persecution for asylum, however, is just a “well-founded fear of persecution.” Our precedents have defined a “well-founded fear of persecu*988tion” on account of political opinion as having a subjective and objective component: (1) a subjective fear of persecution and (2) a “reasonable possibility ” of persecution. See INS v. Cardoza-Fonseca, 480 U.S. 421, 440, 107 S.Ct. 1207, 94 L.Ed.2d 434 (1987) (emphasis added); see also Elias-Zacarias, 502 U.S. at 481, 112 S.Ct. 812 (citing Cardoza-Fonseca with approval); Lopez-Zeron, 8 F.3d at 638. Obviously, most asylum cases hinge on the objective component.
The majority does not fully set forth the sub-elements of the standard of review, see supra majority opinion at 982-83, but doing so is important in this case because the Government offers an erroneous interpretation of Elias-Zacarias: it claims that in order to overturn the BIA’s denial of asylum, Eta-Ndu (i.e., the asylum applicant) must have presented “substantial evidence” below, and then the Government defines “substantial evidence” as:
enough to justify, if the trial were to a jury, a refusal to direct a verdict when the conclusion sought to be drawn from it is one of fact for the jury. Thus, the full import of Elias-Zacarias ’ teaching is that a court can reverse a Board determination that asylum ... was not established only if the applicant’s evidence would have entitled him, were his eligibility a matter for a jury to decide, to a directed verdict taking the issue away from the jury.
Brief for Respondent at 30 (first and last emphasis added). This articulation of the rule is incorrect and confusing on several levels. It is not worthwhile to point out every error inherent in the Government’s articulation, but two points warrant attention.
First, the applicant does not have to offer “substantial evidence” in support of his or her claim. The substantial evidence requirement in no way relates to the applicant’s burden of proof; that standard only applies to the BIA’s decision. Second, the applicant does not have to prove that he or she faces a probability of persecution, which is what the Government’s proposed standard requires (i.e., it effectively requires the panel to be certain that the applicant will be persecuted). Probabilities relate to the likelihood that an event will occur, but the fact that an asylum applicant’s
fear must be “well-founded” does not alter the obvious focus on the individual’s subjective beliefs, nor does it transform the standard into a “more likely than not” one. One can certainly have a well-founded fear of an event happening when there is less than a 50% chance of the occurrence taking place.
Cardoza-Fonseca, 480 U.S. at 431, 107 S.Ct. 1207. Accordingly, one cannot conclude that “because an applicant only has a 10% chance of being shot, tortured, or otherwise persecuted, [ ] he or she has no ‘well-founded fear’ of the event happening.” Id. at 440, 107 S.Ct. 1207.
The bottom line is this: When the record as a whole lacks substantial evidence supporting the IJ’s decision, this panel may overturn the BIA if the applicant’s evidence is sufficient to compel the conclusion that there is a reasonable possibility he or she will be persecuted. In the instant case, the record lacks substantial evidence because (a) the Government produced no evidence rebutting Eta-Ndu’s case and (b) the IJ and the BIA denied asylum based solely on their speculations about a single portion of Eta-Ndu’s corroborating evidence. All other evidence in the record as a whole compels the conclusion that Eta-Ndu has more than a reasonable possibility of being persecuted upon his return to Cameroon. Accordingly, I dissent.
*989II. Future Persecution
The IJ and BIA were not justified in rejecting Eta-Ndu’s fear of future persecution in Cameroon because a reasonable factfinder looking at the record as a whole “would have to conclude that the requisite fear of persecution existed.” Elias-Zacarias, 502 U.S. at 481, 112 S.Ct. 812. Contrary to the majority’s assertions, the IJ and the BIA did not give “specific, cogent reasons” for rejecting Eta-Ndu’s explanations. Majority opinion at 985-86. The IJ and BIA found that Eta-Ndu’s testimony was credible, yet they rejected his asylum claim based solely on speculation about two so-called “counterfeit” documents. The record shows clearly that the supposed inconsistencies afflicting the two documents were subsequently and reasonably explained by Eta-Ndu. Unfortunately, these explanations were never acknowledged. Thus, denial of asylum was not supported by “reasonable, substantial and probative evidence” on the record considered as a whole. Id.
A. Expert Testimony
Expert witness Dr. Milton Krieger delivered highly probative testimony that not only provided objective corroboration for Eta-Ndu’s fear of future persecution, but also provided objective corroboration of the two SDF letters confirming Eta-Ndu’s SDF membership. The IJ, the BIA, and the majority all failed to come to terms with Dr. Krieger’s poignant testimony.
For instance, contrary to the majority’s flawed review of the record, supra majority opinion at 984-85 n. 3, Dr. Krieger did testify to the direct risk of persecution faced by Eta-Ndu. He stated:
[O]ne of the most striking features in Mr. Eta-Ndu’s and his wife’s testimony here is what happened in his home village of Manfe in 1994. This is a particularly dangerous area for the opposition because the local political leader[’s] ... role as political boss [is] to hold the regime’s authority there, to hold the line against any defections from the region into the opposition.
Now, I think there is very striking testimony in ... Eta-Ndu’s affidavit ... [which] recounts what happened to the Eta-Ndu family in early 1994 when ... it had been known for a while that the family was an SDF family .... [T]here is [a] sequence in early 1990 when the local representative of the regime ... and this is basically the internal security ministry in Cameroon, began to visit the family to warn him father [sic] and other family members that the family’s opposition was not going unnoticed. This culminates in March ... of 1994 with the shooting death of ... Mr. Eta-Ndu’s uncle and the subsequent flight of the father and two other brothers to Nigeria.
Now, this is the kind of local intimidation and direct repression that I think speaks to the dangers that rank and file SDF opposition ... have in these little back country episodes that come to light infrequently, but really do represent what has happened to the rank and file Cameroonians .... I think that’s a very — a very striking run of events leading to the death of the uncle whose body was found with personal possessions and everything else intact but party documentation removed.... And I believe this [is] a very strong — a very strong indicator of what this person and his family face should they return to Cameroon.
A.R. at 212-14 (emphasis added).
Later, the IJ asked Dr. Krieger to quantify the likelihood that Eta-Ndu would be. subject to arrest or torture if deported to Cameroon, even though Eta-Ndu did not need to demonstrate a likelihood of persecution under the law. Krieger responded:
*990Well ... he has a fairly high profile. He’s known for having gone abroad [to the U.S. for school], he’s known from his family as a SDF work[er] in Manfe, and I believe that there is a substantial high risk that going home would be a really — really a challenge to his livelihood and his safety- Given his uncle’s fate I think that there is a very— very substantial risk that — that he would be persecuted directly. It’s very hard to sáy this, it’s an arbitrary government and in quantifying the risk would be — that’s more than I would want to— to do. But it’s a high — high—very high risk that this man is known well enough and of interest to the authorities and in such a way as to endanger him should he and his family [ Jreturn.
A.R. at 219-20 (emphasis added).
Dr. Krieger added that it is probably safe to be a mere card-carrying SDF member (not an activist) in Cameroon today. However, he testified that “since Mr. Eta-Ndu has been out of the country I’m not sure it’s so true [in] his case.” A.R. at 229. Krieger explained:
[A]t the most recent hearing on April 6, 1998, the Court raised a question about whether the danger to the Applicant and his family has passed since the SDF is now a legal political party. However, the legalization of the SDF is in large part a cosmetic change, made in response to Cameroon’s concerns for world opinion. In reality ... the CPDM [the ruling party] still abuses its power to keep the upper hand and to minimize the threat posed by the SDF. As I testified during the first hearing in this case, the abuses of power (threats, imprisonment, intimidation, torture, and illegal detention) are initiated and carried out at the local level, beyond virtually all scrutiny, by CPDM officials anxious to retain their fiefdoms and curry favor among those higher up in the organization. The legalization of the SDF has done nothing to constrain the acts of these local CPDM officials. The Applicant in this case continues to be a target of his former boss, Mr. Ayuk-Takem, for the Applicant’s previous “political affronts”-i.e., having the “audacity” to serve as an SDF organizer .... A law on the books legalizing the SDF does not institutionalize democracy, depersonalize politics, or eliminate Mr. Ayuk-Takem’s ability to make good on his threats.
Affidavit of Dr. Krieger (located in Petitioners’ Appendix at 307 (underline in the original; other emphasis added)); A.R. at 246-47 (Krieger’s testimony regarding same); see also A.R. at 487-88 (statement by court accepting Krieger’s affidavit into evidence).
When the Government asked Dr. Krieger whether he attributed the death of Eta-Ndu’s uncle to anyone in particular, the following exchange occurred:
[Answer:] I think my tenure on the ground of Cameroon and the sources of information I rely on for my book and other writings that I’ve done make it to my mind unmistakably clear that it was the division officer in Manfe division of southwest province whose authority and responsibility [it] would be to supervise politics .... It would be [the] particular responsibility of the division officer in Manfe to keep track of political opposition locally and to execute the government’s will in these cases....
[Question by Government]: So it’s basically just your own opinion that who you think may have killed him?
[Answer:] I’m almost certain. I think well informed as I am I’m certain that whoever killed him, the direction of the division officer was behind the act.
[Question:] Okay. But you don’t know that for sure, do you?
*991[Answer:] No, but it’s not the first thing that gets to a court in Cameroon.
A.R. at 224 (emphasis added).
Contrary to statements made in the IJ’s and majority’s opinions that reports of the uncle’s death “would be expected ... [to] be reported in the local press,” see Oral Decision at 26, majority opinion at 982, 984, Dr. Krieger testified specifically about the nature of the uncle’s murder, explaining it was representative of “back country episodes that come to light infrequently .... ” A.R. at 214. Krieger could identify only a single newspaper, called The Herald, that would likely report the death of a politically motivated murder, but he stated that The Herald would only publish such information if it involved a known activist and if “that information ... is public.” A.R. at 242; cf. majority opinion, supra, at 984, (suggesting Dr. Krieger testified the uncle’s death would have been reported in the press, which is not what Dr. Krieger actually said). No evidence established whether Eta-Ndu’s uncle was widely regarded as an activist by the Cameroonian public, or that his death was public information. Krieger also testified that the press is sometimes subject to repression regarding news of political opponents both pre- and post-publication. See A.R. at 247. He noted that Manfe, the region in which the uncle was murdered, is “quite remote,” A.R. at 243, making reporting from that area even more difficult.
Although an IJ may request corroborative materials “if they are ‘easily available,”’ documentation from overseas “is almost never easily available.” Kaur v. Ashcroft, 379 F.3d 876, 890 (9th Cir.2004) (citation omitted). Even if a 1994 Herald article documenting the uncle’s death did exist, Eta-Ndu testified that he could not obtain this paper in the United States. See A.R. at 378. No one testified that United States libraries, Cameroonian libraries, the Cameroon government, or any entity whatsoever stockpiles old copies of this obscure periodical. It remains baffling to me why the IJ expected Eta-Ndu to obtain such a source. No evidence supported the IJ’s unreasonable expectation that Eta-Ndu had a means to obtain a decade-old article. The credibility of Eta-Ndu’s case should not have been doubted on this basis.
Contrary to statements made in the IJ’s and majority’s opinions that Dr. Krieger told them confirmation of SDF membership should be “easily” available, Dr. Krieger actually testified that although the SDF generally kept good records at the precinct level, evidence of Eta-Ndu’s particular membership might not be available:
It might depend on which were the precinct and which town. In Bamenda which is the heartland of SDF activity I think that information is — is there and if the SDF wish to provide it could do so. I couldn't speak for Manfe which I presume might be Mr. Eta-Ndu’s home base. This would not be part of a public record ....
A.R. at 225 (emphasis added); cf Oral Decision at 27; cf majority opinion, supra, at 981, 984 (once again mischaracterizing the record by attributing to Dr. Krieger the statement that Eta-Ndu “would be able to verify membership” in the SDF or could “easily” obtain verification.). There was no testimony in this case establishing that Eta-Ndu, local grassroots activist, could “easily” obtain verification documents from the SDF.
In sum, Dr. Krieger’s expert testimony established that Eta-Ndu hails from a “particularly dangerous” region for SDF opposition members; that the uncle’s death was almost certainly orchestrated by the existing government; that the uncle’s death was a “very strong indicator of what [Eta-Ndu] and his family face should they return to Cameroon”; that back country *992episodes of political persecution, such as the uncle’s murder, “come to light infrequently” despite the fact that The Herald publishes such events; that there is a “very high risk” that Eta-Ndu is well-known to the government due to his international schooling, his family’s political activism, and his own political activism; that Eta-Ndu is still a target for persecution by his former boss because of Eta-Ndu’s political beliefs; and that Eta-Ndu faces a “very substantial risk that he would be persecuted directly.” Dr. Krieger also testified that one might have difficulty obtaining evidence of Eta-Ndu’s SDF membership from Manfe — Eta-Ndu’s “home base” — because it was a very remote area. In the face of all this, the majority insists Krieger did not corroborate Eta-Ndu’s claims. See majority opinion, supra, at 984-85 n. 3. This is an irrational conclusion.
The substance of Dr. Krieger’s testimony was uncontested and his expertise was likewise unchallenged. His testimony indicated that Eta-Ndu faced a reasonable possibility of future persecution; indeed, it actually showed that Eta-Ndu faced a very high likelihood of being singled out for persecution on account of his political beliefs should he be deported to Cameroon.
Any reasonable factfinder listening to Dr. Krieger’s testimony would have to conclude that the requisite fear of persecution existed in this case. His testimony clearly qualifies as credible, direct, and specific evidence of a reasonable fear of persecution. In comparison, the Government produced no evidence whatsoever to rebut the overwhelming proof presented by Eta-Ndu. The BIA summarily dismissed Eta-Ndu’s proof relying only on speculation of the IJ concerning the corroborating evidence. The majority commits the same error.
B. Additional Corroborating Evidence
1. The Two Letters from SDF Officials
The key pieces of evidence establishing Eta-Ndu’s political affiliation with the SDF were the two typed letters from SDF officials, Dr. Christopher and Professor Mbu-Agbor. Dr. Christopher’s follow-up letter explained why his initial letter lacked letterhead or other official markings: 6
[My] letter was typed by a secretary at the Bamenda SDF provincial Office. We do not have a typewriter in Bambui, neither do we have any building that serves as an Office. We hold party meeting [sic ] in the homes of members who have enough space to accommodate all the members. Members rotate in playing the role of hosts for party meetings.
.... Our local correspondence is done by hand written memos. We generally have official mail destined for other regions typed in Typing Schools in Bamen-da Town or in our Provincial Office....
*993You also expected that I write the affidavit in an SDF letterhead.... [T]here are no SDF letterheads beyond the level of a Division. Letterheads and official stamps are available at the party head quaters [sic ] and Provincial office. As a matter of fact, some Divisions do not have letterheads. The party is operating on a shoestring budget....
A.R. at 516. This is more than sufficient explanation as to why the SDF letters lacked “official” markings in this case.
There was also a sound explanation as to why the two SDF letters appeared to be mailed from the same place, despite the geographic distance between the authors. Prior testimony by Eta-Ndu explained it is common for Cameroonians to ask a passerby traveling from Bamenda to Yaounde to carry international mail on their behalf, and to mail it upon reaching the post office in Yaounde. See A.R. at 472-74. Eta-Ndu also stated that hand-carrying correspondence is a popular custom; because official mail is so slow, it is actually quicker to mail international correspondence from Yaounde, which is close to the airport. Id.
Dr. Krieger’s affidavit corroborated and bolstered Eta-Ndu’s explanation about the custom of hand-carrying letters to Yaounde for mailing, and explained why Dr. Christopher’s and Professor Mbu-Ag-bor’s letters were postmarked on the same day.
... Mail service in Cameroon is haphazard, and the preferred way to send mail overseas is to get a letter to Yaounde or Douala, where the two international airports are located, for mailing. Thus, any mail considered urgent would be carried in person or by courier from Mamfe, Bamenda, or any place “upcountry” to those cities ....
... In addition, I have heard that mail in Cameroon, even [in] Yaounde, is not necessarily postmarked on the day that it is mailed. Sometimes the post office will hold mail for several days and will postmark all mail in a batch on the day it leaves the post office, regardless of what day it was received ....
Affidavit of Dr. Krieger (located in Petitioners’ Appendix at 307) (emphasis added). Given the remote, rural, and impoverished nature of up-country Cameroon, it makes sense that two letters from two SDF officials located in remote regions would be hand-written, carried to and typed at the same central office on the same typewriter, and then held in batches at the same major post office to be postmarked on the same day.
The majority found this explanation unsatisfactory, even though the Government presented no evidence to the contrary, but solely because
Eta-Ndu failed to obtain a letter from the second author, or from the typing school, as the BIA noted. Eta-Ndu also failed to explain the practice of the school returning the documents back to the remote branches for the author’s signature. This additional step would require another hand-carrying of the letters to and from two remote regions of Cameroon, with coincidental arrival back to the same postal office for postmark on the same day.
Majority opinion, supra, at 985. This passage is an example of how the majority has failed to consider fairly the record as a whole.
First, an IJ’s subjective believe that documents are unreliable or forged is an insufficient basis to support an adverse credibility finding. See Shah v. INS, 220 F.3d 1062, 1071 (9th Cir.2000). Neither the Government nor the IJ asked Eta-Ndu to explain whether the school had a practice of returning the documents back to the remote branches for the author’s signature. There is not a single question in this record about how the signatures were ob*994tained. Although it is true that the IJ cited his concern over the signatures as a major reason that he doubted the authenticity of the letters, this was speculation never articulated before the oral decision. Eta-Ndu never received any notice that the IJ’s concern was premised upon this issue, and yet the IJ, the BIA, and the majority make this into a zero-sum issue. If this issue was so important, the IJ should have asked Eta-Ndu how the signatures were obtained or whether someone was empowered to sign for the authors, rather than relying on his own speculation.
In short, the “IJ’s proffered reasons for disbelieving” Eta-Ndu were based on mere “personal conjecture about the manner in which” correspondence is written, signed, and circulated in the Cameroonian SDF. Kaur, 379 F.3d at 887. “Speculation and conjecture cannot form the basis of an adverse credibility finding, which must instead be based on substantial evidence.” Id. (citation omitted); see also Gui v. INS, 280 F.3d 1217, 1225 (9th Cir.2002). Since the majority has nothing more to go on than the IJ’s subjective belief that the documents were unreliable, the adverse credibility determination as to those documents was error.
Moreover, it is an abuse of discretion to make an adverse credibility finding when the IJ “fail[ed] to address a petitioner’s explanation for a discrepancy or inconsistency.” Kaur, 379 F.3d at 887. As explained above, letters are frequently not postmarked on the day they arrive at the post office. The postmaster accumulates mail and postmarks it in batches on the day it leaves the post office, regardless of the day mail arrived at the post office. Hence, there is nothing “coincidental” or suspicious about the fact that the two SDF letters bear the same postmark date. The IJ, BIA, and majority relentlessly refuse to acknowledge record evidence about mailing customs in Cameroon, which were corroborated by Dr. Krieger.
In light of the record, the majority has no basis for doubting evidentiary integrity on the basis of issues Eta-Ndu never had the opportunity to explain. Nor is there any basis for the majority’s continued suspicion of the SDF letters on account of their “coincidental arrival back to the same postal office for “postmark on the same day,” majority opinion, supra, at 985, since Eta-Ndu explained these discrepancies.
Cameroonian society does not operate in a matter identical to the United States, and this point should be obvious to the IJ, the BIA, and the majority. I cannot affirm a decision based on such irrational grounds.
2. Testimonial and Documentary Evidence
Testimony by Jacob Eta-Ndu, see A.R. at 192, 291; Catherine Eta-Ndu (Jacob’s wife), see id. at 401; and Comfort Ateh (a colleague), see id. at 251, 255, were all consistent with Dr. Krieger’s testimony. The witnesses’ accounts of political persecution of SDF members were also consistent with the various country reports on Cameroon submitted as part of this record. See Trial Exhibits 3, 7, 10 (located in Petitioners’ Appendix at 114, 144, 281, respectively).
Eta-Ndu also submitted multiple pieces of documentary evidence in support of his asylum application, to which the majority opinion gives cursory mention. See supra majority opinion at 981. Three pieces of evidence warrant discussion.
First, Eta-Ndu submitted a letter from Bechem-Eyong-Eneke, a magistrate with the Legal Department for the Southwest Province in Buea, Cameroon, who is also Eta-Ndu’s cousin. See A.R. at 730. This *995letter was attached to Eta-Ndu’s original application for asylum. It documented Eta-Ndu’s father’s and uncle’s participation in the SDF, the murder of Eta-Ndu’s uncle, the flight of Eta-Ndu’s father from Cameroon, and the subsequent placement of Eta-Ndu on the “black list” of the CPDM because of his affiliation with the SDF party.
Counsel for the Government suggested that the letter from Magistrate Bechem was suspicious. In response, Dr. Krieger testified that such suspicions “hadn’t occurred to me, I know enough about the local politics in Cameroon to not truly have — be suspicious of what was reported about the families [sic ] experience and it’s [sic ] flight to Nigeria.... [¶] I didn’t find any set of suspicion to bring a case against that testimony.” A.R. at 229-30; see also id. at 248.
Eta-Ndu’s claims about his uncle’s death were farther corroborated by the fact that, after filing his application and testifying about his uncle’s death, Eta-Ndu obtained a copy of the police report documenting his uncle’s death and a letter from his father discussing the uncle’s death. See A.R. at 576, 578, 589. The police report indicated that the uncle’s body was found on March 11, 1994, at about 6:00 A.M., “close to the Mamfe motor park,” and that the uncle died as a result of three gun shot wounds. Id. at 578. This information is consistent with the description of the death provided earlier by Eta-Ndu’s testimony and Magistrate Bechem’s letter.
The father’s letter, mentioned above, was written on March 5, 1998. Id. at 589. It recounts events that occurred after Eta-Ndu’s father switched his allegiance from the ruling party to the SDF, and describes the father’s activism on behalf of the SDF, government agents’ attempts to question and harass the father about his son, the death of the uncle, and the father’s subsequent flight from Cameroon to Nigeria. This information is consistent with Magistrate Bechem’s letter and the police report. These three pieces of documentary evidence, considered in conjunction with testimony (especially that of Dr. Krieger), corroborated Eta-Ndu’s claims of future persecution on account of political opinion.
III. Conclusion
A denial of asylum is not supported by substantial evidence in this case. The majority’s denial of asylum is inexplicable. No reasonable factfinder could fail to find that Eta-Ndu faces a reasonable possibility of persecution in Cameroon, unless that factfinder persisted in an irrational refusal to acknowledge the testimony of Dr. Krieger and the basic socio-economic and cultural differences between the United States and Cameroon. Dr. Krieger’s testimony was particularly compelling, and neither the Government nor the IJ had any basis to doubt his expertise or impeach his testimony. Indeed, there is a complete absence of any explanation as to why the IJ, BIA, and majority failed to acknowledge the thrust of Krieger’s testimony, which was highly probative.
The majority is completely unjustified in concluding that “the IJ and the BIA correctly addressed Eta-Ndu’s corroboration and explanations.” Majority opinion, supra, at 985-86. The IJ ignored testimony and explanations, entertained unfair evi-dentiary demands, and based his ultimate decision on an unsupported speculation. There is no substantial evidence supporting the IJ’s and the BIA’s decision — only speculation and doubt premised upon ignorance.
Eta-Ndu’s application for asylum should have been granted. To hold otherwise misquotes the record, fails to examine the record as a whole, and misapplies the gov*996erning legal standard. Under the majority’s approach, this court provides a rubber stamp to the BIA’s oversight and constitutes a gross miscarriage of justice.
I dissent.
. I concur that Eta-Ndu's case is fundamentally premised upon political opinion (not social group), and in the denial of Eta-Ndu's past persecution and due process claims.
. Incidentally, Dr. Christopher's follow-up letter was sent directly from Cameroon to Eta-Ndu’s counsel in Minneapolis, see A.R. at 517, in order to preempt the IJ's suspicions.
At one point, the IJ stated he had seen SDF letters bearing official letterhead in other asylum cases. See Oral Decision at 27; see also majority opinion, supra, at 981 (apparently finding the IJ's statement to be worthy of significance). This remark does not in any way disprove Dr. Christopher's explanation that SDF officials in rural areas lacked letterhead, offices, and unsurprisingly, typewriters. This gratuitous statement was unsupported by evidence and did not indicate whether the IJ’s other cases involved asylum applicants from equally remote regions of Cameroon. At any rate, the record evidence overwhelmingly contradicts such a statement, and it is highly inappropriate to give weight to such statements.