KETHLEDGE, J., delivered the opinion of the court, in which NORRIS, J., joined. ROGERS, J. (pp. 494-95), delivered a separate dissenting opinion.
OPINION
KETHLEDGE, Circuit Judge.Defendant Tyree Skipper pled guilty to a controlled-substance offense and was sentenced to 151 months’ imprisonment. He now appeals his sentence, arguing that he was improperly designated a career offender under the Sentencing Guidelines and that his sentence was otherwise unreasonable. We affirm.
I.
On June 1, 2006, Skipper pled guilty to possession with intent to distribute five grams or more of cocaine base, in violation of 21 U.S.C. § 841(a)(1) and (b)(1)(B). Skipper’s Presentence Investigation Re*491port recommended that he be designated a career offender under § 4B1.1 of the Sentencing Guidelines. Skipper objected to the designation, arguing that his 2005 guilty plea to fourth-degree burglary in Portage County, Ohio — for which he had not yet been sentenced — should not count as a predicate offense for purposes of the designation. To buttress that argument, Skipper filed a motion before Judge Laurie J. Pittman of the Portage County Court of Common Pleas, to vacate the plea. He also obtained three court orders — two by Judge Pittman and one by United States District Judge Lesley Wells — -requiring that Skipper be produced in the Portage County court for a hearing on his motion. For reasons not made clear by the record, however, Skipper was never brought to the hearing. In any event, on October 16, 2006 — the third date set for the hearing — Judge Pittman denied Skipper’s motion to vacate. Skipper’s counsel was at the hearing, but Skipper himself was not.
The federal district court thereafter proceeded with Skipper’s sentencing. Skipper argued that — notwithstanding his failure to have the Portage County plea vacated — the plea should be disregarded for purposes of the career-offender determination because, he said, it was not a conviction for a crime of violence as defined by U.S.S.G. § 4B1.2. The district court disagreed, and designated him a career offender. But the court granted Skipper’s request — which the government supported — for a downward departure of one level in his criminal history category. The resulting total offense level of 30 and criminal history category of V produced a Guidelines range of 151-188 months. The district court imposed a sentence of 151 months. Absent the career-offender designation, Skipper’s range would have been 63-78 months.
This appeal followed.
II.
We review de novo a district court’s conclusion that a crime qualifies as a predicate offense for the career-offender designation. United States v. Montanez, 442 F.3d 485, 488 (6th Cir.2006). To be designated a career offender under the Guidelines, a defendant must have “at least two prior felony convictions of either a crime of violence or a controlled substance offense.” U.S.S.G. § 4Bl.l(a). Skipper concedes he has at least one such prior conviction, but presents two arguments as to why his Portage County plea cannot count as the second.
First, Skipper argues that his Portage County guilty plea was not a “conviction” under § 4Bl.l(a) because, at the time of his sentencing, it was not yet a conviction as defined by Ohio state law. What counts as a conviction for purposes of the Guidelines, however, is governed by federal law. Section 4B1.2 itself provides that “[t]he date that a defendant sustained a conviction shall be the date that the guilt of the defendant has been established, whether by guilty plea, trial, or plea of nolo contendere.” Id. § 4B1.2(c) (emphasis added). For purposes of § 4B1.1, then, a guilty plea counts as a conviction as soon as it is entered. Skipper’s first argument therefore is meritless.
Skipper next argues that the offense to which he pled guilty in Portage County — fourth-degree burglary as defined by Ohio Rev.Code § 2911.12(A)(4)— is not a crime of violence for purposes of § 4B1.1. Skipper did not present this argument to the district court, so our review is limited to determining whether the district court committed plain error. See United States v. Oliver, 397 F.3d 369, 375 (6th Cir.2005).
*492The Guidelines define a crime of violence as follows:
[A]ny offense under federal or state law, punishable by imprisonment for a term exceeding one year, that—
(1) has as an element the use, attempted use, or threatened use of physical force against the person of another, or
(2) is burglary of a dwelling, arson, or extortion, involves use of explosives, or otherwise involves conduct that presents a serious potential risk of physical injury to another.
U.S.S.G. § 4B1.2(a) (emphasis added). The italicized language is known as the “otherwise clause”. See, e.g., United States v. Bartee, 529 F.3d 357, 360 (6th Cir.2008).
Ohio law defines fourth-degree burglary as follows: “No person, by force, stealth, or deception, shall ... [trespass in a permanent or temporary habitation of any person when any person other than an accomplice of the offender is present or likely to be present.” Ohio Rev.Code § 2911.12(A)(4) (effective July 1, 1996). This offense is not encompassed by § 4B1.2(a)(l) because it lacks as an element “the use, attempted use, or threatened use of physical force against the person of another[.]” The offense likewise does not qualify as a “burglary of a dwelling” within the meaning of § 4B1.2(a)(2)— also known as “generic burglary” — because it lacks the element of intent to commit a crime within the habitation. See Taylor v. United States, 495 U.S. 575, 599, 110 S.Ct. 2143, 109 L.Ed.2d 607 (1990). The question, then, is whether this offense “otherwise involves conduct that presents a serious potential risk of physical injury to another.” U.S.S.G. § 4B1.2(a)(2).
We employ a “categorical approach” in answering this question. Bar-tee, 529 F.3d at 360. Under this approach, “we consider whether the elements of the offense are of the type that would justify its inclusion within the residual provision, without inquiring into the specific conduct of th[e] particular offender.” James v. United States, 550 U.S. 192, -, 127 S.Ct. 1586, 1594, 167 L.Ed.2d 532 (2007) (emphasis in original). In a case where the defendant has pled guilty, we may also consider the “charging document, written plea agreement, transcript of plea colloquy, and any explicit factual finding by the trial judge to which the defendant assented.” Shepard v. United States, 544 U.S. 13, 16, 125 S.Ct. 1254, 161 L.Ed.2d 205 (2005). Finally, because the term “potential risk” is “inherently probabilistic[,]” James, 127 S.Ct. at 1597, the offense need not be dangerous in every conceivable case in which its elements are met. “Rather, the proper inquiry is whether the conduct encompassed by the elements of the offense, in the ordinary case, presents a serious potential risk of injury to another.” Id. (emphasis added).
This test is met here. James concerned whether attempted burglary, as defined by Florida law, presented a serious potential risk of injury to another. The Supreme Court held it did, because “[t]he main risk of burglary arises not from the simple physical act of wrongfully entering onto another’s property, but rather from the possibility of a face-to-face confrontation between the burglar and a third party— whether an occupant, a police officer, or a bystander — who comes to investigate.” Id. at 1594.
The same risk is present with respect to fourth-degree burglary as defined by Ohio law. The offense requires that the defendant trespass in the “habitation” of another person; that the trespass be effected by “force, stealth, or deception”; and that these things occur when an innocent person is “present or likely to be present.” *493Ohio Rev.Code § 2911.12(A)(4). The Ohio statute thus sets forth a recipe for precisely the kind of surprise confrontation whose risk of physical injury underlay the Supreme Court’s holding in James. Indeed, the Ohio statute arguably describes an even more dangerous scenario, since the Florida statute did not require that an innocent person be present or likely to be present during the offense. The Florida offense thus categorically presents a lesser risk of confrontation than does the Ohio one.
Skipper argues, however, that the type of confrontation encompassed by the Ohio statute is categorically less dangerous than the type at issue in James. The reason, Skipper says, is that the Florida statute required that the burglar enter the structure “with the intent to commit an offense therein,” James, 127 S.Ct. at 1591, whereas the Ohio statute does not. But the mere fact that the Ohio statute does not require such intent does not mean that, in the ordinary case, the intruder will not have it. A risk need not itself be an element of an offense in order to be considered as part of the hypothetical “ordinary case” by which the offense’s dangerousness is measured. James itself makes that clear, since the risk of confrontation on which the Court based its holding was not an element of the Florida offense. It is instead enough that the risk is reasonably likely to arise in the ordinary case where the elements themselves are present — again, like the risk of confrontation in James. And here we think it reasonably likely that, in the ordinary case, an intruder who enters a habitation “by force, stealth, or deception,” Ohio Rev.Code § 2911.12(A)(4), will plan to do something unlawful there. We therefore reject the premise of Skipper’s argument.
The argument also takes a pretty unrealistic view of confrontations during burglaries. Their danger lies not only in the intruder’s intent, but in their volatility. See generally James, 127 S.Ct. at 1594-95. People do unpredictable things when they unexpectedly encounter burglars in their homes. The burglars often reciprocate. The result is confrontations that present a serious risk of physical injury regardless of the burglar’s initial intent. Cf. United States v. Venegas-Ornelas, 348 F.3d 1273, 1278 (10th Cir.2003) (an intruder “will often encounter resistance either from occupants or structural barriers in ‘entering or remaining’ in someone’s dwelling unlawfully, regardless of the [intruder’s] intent in being there”).
Finally, Skipper argues that United States v. Calloway, 189 Fed.Appx. 486 (6th Cir.2006), demands a different result in this case. There, we held — without any further analysis of the point — that “it is unclear” whether fourth-degree burglary under Ohio law “involve[s] conduct that presents] a serious risk of physical injury.” Id. at 490. For the reasons discussed above, however, the Supreme Court’s intervening decision in James has now made that clear.
We are bound to follow James. Consequently, we hold that the district court did not err in counting Skipper’s guilty plea to fourth-degree burglary as a predicate offense for his career-offender designation.
Finally, Skipper argues that his sentence was unreasonably long, notwithstanding that the district court granted him a downward departure. We review sentences for reasonableness under an abuse of discretion standard. United States v. Phinazee, 515 F.3d 511, 514 (6th Cir.2008). The reason that Skipper thinks his sentence is too long is that he should not have been sentenced as a career offender. This argument is thus derivative of his other ones, and we reject it for the same reasons.
*494III.
For these reasons, we affirm.