Suna v. Bailey Corp.

                  UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
                      FOR THE FIRST CIRCUIT
                                           

No. 96-1138

                 VICKI MATCH SUNA AND LORI ROSEN,

                     Plaintiffs - Appellants,

                                v.

                   BAILEY CORPORATION, ET AL.,

                     Defendants - Appellees.

                                           

           APPEAL FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT

                FOR THE DISTRICT OF NEW HAMPSHIRE

         [Hon. Steven J. McAuliffe, U.S. District Judge]
                                                                 

                                           

                              Before

                     Torruella, Chief Judge,
                                                     

                      Boudin, Circuit Judge,
                                                     

                    and Lisi,* District Judge.
                                                       

                                           

     Jules Brody, with whom Stull,  Stull & Brody, Backus, Meyer,
                                                                           
Solomon & Rood and Weiss & Yourman were on brief for appellants.
                                            
     Sydelle Pittas, with whom Law Offices of Sydelle  Pittas was
                                                                       
on brief for appellee Bailey Corporation.

                                           

                        February 26, 1997
                                           

                    
                              

*  Of the District of Rhode Island, sitting by designation.


          TORRUELLA, Chief  Judge.  On May  26, 1994, Plaintiffs-
                    TORRUELLA, Chief  Judge.
                                           
                    
                              
Appellants  Vicki Match  Suna ("Suna")  and Lori  Rosen ("Rosen")
1   The  officers included  William A.  Taylor, who  served as  a
(collectively  "plaintiffs" or  "appellants") brought  this class
          consultant  and as a Bailey director at all relevant times; Roger
R.  Phillips, who  served as  Chairman  of the  Board, President,
action suit against Bailey Corporation ("Bailey")  and individual
          Chief Executive Officer  and Secretary of Bailey during the class
period; Leonard Heilman,  who served as Senior  Vice President --
officers1  of  the  corporation  (collectively   "defendants"  or
          Finance  and Administration, Chief  Financial Officer, Treasurer,
and  Assistant Secretary  of Bailey during  the class  period; E.
"appellees")  on behalf  of  all persons  who purchased  Bailey's
          Gordon Young, who served as a director of Bailey and as Executive
Vice  President at  all relevant  times; and  John G.  Owens, who
common  stock during  the class  period.   The suit  alleges that
          served  in  various management  capacities and  as a  director of
Bailey during the class period.
appellees  violated Section 12 of the Securities Act2 of 1933 and
2  Any person who --
Sections  10(b)3 and  20(a)4 of  the Securities Exchange  Act  of
          (1) offers or sells a security . . . by means
          of  a prospectus or oral communication, which
          includes  an untrue  statement of  a material
          fact  or  omits  to  state  a  material  fact
          necessary in order to make the statements, in
          the  light of  the circumstances  under which
          they  were made, not  misleading . .  . , and
          who shall  not sustain  the  burden of  proof
          that he did not know,  and in the exercise of
          reasonable care could not have known, of such
          untruth or omission,

shall be liable to  the person purchasing such security  from him
. . . .

15 U.S.C.   771 (1976).

3  Section 10(b) provides:

          It  shall  be  unlawful  for any  person,  directly  or
          indirectly, by the use  of any means or instrumentality
          of  interstate commerce  or  of the  mails,  or of  any
          facility of any national securities exchange --

                              * * *

            (b)   To use or employ,  in connection with
          the   purchase  or   sale  of   any  security
          registered on a national  securities exchange
          or  any  security   not  so  registered,  any
          manipulative    or   deceptive    device   or
          contrivance  in  contravention of  such rules
          and   regulations   as  the   Commission  may
          prescribe as necessary or appropriate  in the
          public  interest or  for  the  protection  of

                               -2-


1934,  as well as Rule  10b-55 promulgated by  the Securities and

Exchange Commission  ("SEC").   Appellants allege  that appellees

made,  or caused  to  be made,  materially  false and  misleading

statements either through Bailey's corporate documents or through

analysts'  reports disseminated to  the public.   On November 10,

1994,  the District  Court  of New  Hampshire granted  appellees'
                    
                              

          investors.

15 U.S.C.   78j(b) (1981).

4  Section 20(a) provides, in part:

          Every  person  who,  directly or  indirectly,
          controls   any   person   liable  under   any
          provision of  this chapter or of  any rule or
          regulation  thereunder  shall also  be liable
          jointly and  severally with  and to  the same
          extent  as  such  controlled  person  to  any
          person  to  whom  such controlled  person  is
          liable . . . .

15 U.S.C.   78t (1981).

5  Rule 10b-5 provides:

          It shall be unlawful for any person, directly
          or  indirectly, by  the use  of any  means or
          instrumentality of interstate commerce, or of
          the mails or of  any facility of any national
          securities exchange,
            (a)    To  employ any  device,  scheme,  or
          artifice to defraud,
            (b)   To  make  any untrue  statement of  a
          material fact or to  omit to state a material
          fact  necessary   in   order  to   make   the
          statements   made,  in   the  light   of  the
          circumstances under which they were made, not
          misleading, or
            (c)   To  engage in  any act,  practice, or
          court  of business  which  operates or  would
          operate as a fraud or deceit upon any person,
          in  connection with the  purchase or  sale of
          any security.

17 C.F.R.   240.10b-5 (1996).

                               -3-


motion to dismiss this  complaint for failure to comply  with the

pleading requirements  of Federal  Rule of Civil  Procedure 9(b).

The  district  court  then  allowed  appellants  to  amend  their

complaint,  but rejected the  first amended  complaint appellants

submitted.  The district court "reluctantly grant[ed]  plaintiffs

leave  to file a second amended complaint," Order of November 10,

1994,  at 2, but cautioned that if "the second complaint fail[ed]

to  satisfy the pleading requirements, the action [would] then be

dismissed with prejudice."  Id.  On September 1, 1995, appellants
                                         

filed a Second Amended Complaint, which the district court  ruled

did  not meet Rule 9(b)'s  pleading requirements.   Order of Dec.

29,  1995.   The district  court then  dismissed the  action with

prejudice.   Appellants now  appeal the  dismissal of the  Second

Amended Complaint.

                            BACKGROUND
                                      BACKGROUND

          We  accept as  true  all facts  alleged in  appellants'

Second Amended Complaint.  Shields v. Citytrust Bancorp, Inc., 25
                                                                       

F.3d  1124, 1125  (1st Cir.  1994).   Bailey manufactures  molded

plastic exterior  components and supplies them  to North American

original equipment  manufacturers of  cars,  light trucks,  sport

utility vehicles and minivans.  Bailey's primary customer is Ford

Motor  Company,  which accounted  for  approximately ninety-three

percent of Bailey's  sales in  the nine months  ending April  25,

1993.   Of  the remaining  sales, three  percent were  to General

Motors Corporation and four percent to other customers.

                               -4-


          During  the class  period,  the  individual  defendants

signed various SEC filings.   Each received or had access to non-

public  reports   and  documents  depicting   Bailey's  financial

condition and  business prospects.   Each participated  in Bailey

board  meetings  at  which  information  about  the  company  was

discussed.   A secondary public  offering was held  on August 18,

1993,  during which  Bailey  and the  individual defendants  sold

shares at $11 each.

          On April 5, 1994, both  Suna and Rosen purchased Bailey

stock.  During the class period, the stock reached a high of more

than $18 per share.

          The public  documents issued  by Bailey and  alleged by

appellants  to contain materially false and misleading statements

include  Bailey's  April  18, 1993,  Prospectus  and Registration

Statement, its 1993 Annual Report, and 10-K, quarterly reports to

shareholders,  and  press  releases.    In  addition,  appellants

contend  that  reports published  by analysts  regarding Bailey's

earnings  prospects  and  its  ability to  continue  to  increase

earnings per  share are imputable to Bailey.   Appellants contend

that  all of  these  documents artificially  inflated the  market

price of Bailey common stock.

          Large sections of appellants'  brief and Second Amended

Complaint are devoted to quoting at length  from these documents.

We will not  reproduce all  of these quotes,  but will  highlight

relevant  portions as becomes  necessary throughout  the opinion.

Appellants  contend that the  statements at issue  were false and

                               -5-


misleading because  Bailey's anticipated growth did  not continue

and  its  revenue declined.   The  decline  in revenue  led  to a

decrease  in the value  of Bailey's  common stock  to $6  1/8 per

share.     Appellants   argue  that   the  representations   were

"materially  false  and  misleading  because  appellees  knew, or

recklessly disregarded, .  . . that Bailey's  profitability would

decline sharply because of a much less profitable mix of parts to

be supplied to Ford."   Appellant's Brief at 8.  They  claim that

Bailey  knew or  should have known  that there  was no  reason to

expect sustained growth based  on knowledge gathered from, "among

other  things,   a   '26-week  forecasts   [sic]  of   production

requirements,'" id., supplied to Bailey by Ford.  These forecasts
                             

allegedly  indicated a shift in the product mix required by Ford.

Appellants  indicate that the  product mix  Ford was  phasing out

would  prove more profitable than the product mix to which Bailey

was shifting  production.  Appellants contend  that Bailey should

have  disclosed that it was  moving to a  less profitable product

mix.

          In September  1993, the  investment firm of  McDonald &

Company Securities, Inc. ("McDonald"), in a publicly disseminated

report,  gave Bailey  an  "aggressive buy  rating."   That report

projected  earnings per share for  fiscal years 1994  and 1995 of

$1.15 and $1.60 respectively.   In December 1993, an  analyst for

Hancock  Institutional  Equity Services,  an affiliate  of Tucker

Anthony,  a co-lead underwriter  of Bailey's  secondary offering,

reviewed  with  defendant-appellee  Leonard  Heilman   a  written

                               -6-


research  opinion  regarding Bailey  that  Hancock  was about  to

disseminate publicly.   The  Hancock analyst informed  Heilman of

her  earnings  per  share   estimates  and  her  methodology  and

assumptions  in  reaching those  estimates.    She also  informed

Heilman  of  her  view  regarding  Bailey's  financial prospects.

Following this conversation, Hancock publicly disseminated a very

positive report on Bailey.  Appellants contend that these reports

contained materially false and  misleading statements in the form

of financial  projections that  were "wildly optimistic"  and the

result of "guidance" from Bailey.

          In  a  report  regarding  Bailey's  fiscal 1994  second

quarter,  ending January  31,  1994, Bailey  claimed revenue  and

earnings  increases, attributing  the increases  to "productivity

improvements."     Bailey  failed   to  disclose  "that   it  was

experiencing severe  production problems  at newly  acquired mid-

western  plants,"   which  appellants   contend  could   and  did

materially  impact  future  earnings.    Appellants  acknowledge,

however,  that  these production  problems  did  not arise  until

February, 1994.

          On May  20, 1994, Bailey  announced that it  had earned

$0.16  per share  in  its  third  quarter,  in  contrast  to  the

projected  $0.37   per  share.    This   earnings  shortfall  was

attributable  to, among  other  things, a  substantial change  in

product mix  and production  problems at Bailey's  newly acquired

mid-western plants.  After this announcement, the market price of

Bailey common stock fell to $6 1/8 per share.

                               -7-


                            DISCUSSION
                                      DISCUSSION

          We  review  the  dismissal  of  a  complaint  de  novo.
                                                                          

Serabian v. Amoskeag  Bank Shares,  Inc., 24 F.3d  357, 361  (1st
                                                  

Cir. 1994).    "Generally,  we will  uphold  a  district  court's

dismissal of  a claim only if  it appears that the  plaintiff can

prove no set of facts upon which relief may be granted."  Shields
                                                                           

v. Citytrust Bancorp, Inc.,  25 F.3d 1124, 1127 (1st  Cir. 1994).
                                    

Nevertheless,  Federal Rule  of  Civil Procedure  9(b) imposes  a

heightened  pleading requirement  on  plaintiffs alleging  fraud.

Lucia v. Prospect St.  High Income Portfolio, Inc., 36  F.3d 170,
                                                            

174  (1st Cir. 1994).   Rule 9(b)  states:  "In  all averments of

fraud or mistake, the circumstances constituting fraud or mistake

shall be  stated with particularity.   Malice, intent, knowledge,

and  other  conditions  of  mind  of  a  person  may  be  averred

generally."   Fed. R. Civ.  P. 9(b).   "[A] complaint making such

allegations must  '(1) specify the statements  that the plaintiff

contends  were fraudulent,  (2) identify  the speaker,  (3) state

where and  when the statements were made, and (4) explain why the

statements  were  fraudulent.'"    Shields, 25  F.3d  at  1127-28
                                                    

(quoting Mills v. Polar  Molecular Corp., 12 F.3d 1170,  1175 (2d
                                                  

Cir. 1993)).

          The goals  of Rule  9(b) are  "'to provide a  defendant

with  fair  notice  of  a  plaintiff's  claim,   to  safeguard  a

wrongdoing, and to protect a defendant against the institution of

a  strike suit.'"    Id. at  1128  (quoting O'Brien  v.  National
                                                                           

Property  Analysts Partners, 936  F.2d 674, 676  (2d Cir. 1991)).
                                     

                               -8-


Rule  9(b)'s  relaxation  of  the  scienter  requirement  is  not

intended  to  allow  plaintiffs  to  "base  claims  of  fraud  on

speculation and conclusory allegations.   Therefore, to serve the

purposes of Rule 9(b), we require plaintiffs to allege facts that

give  rise  to  a  strong inference  of  fraudulent  intent." Id.
                                                                           

(citations  and  internal  quotations  omitted).    A  securities

plaintiff must allege "'specific facts that make it reasonable to

believe that  defendant[s] knew  that a statement  was materially

false  or  misleading.'"    Serabian, 24  F.3d  at  361  (quoting
                                              

Greenstone v. Cambex Corp., 975 F.2d 22, 25 (1st Cir. 1992)).  We
                                    

impose this heightened requirement  "'even when the fraud relates

to  matters  peculiarly  within  the knowledge  of  the  opposing

party.'"   Lucia, 36  F.2d at  174 (quoting  Romani, 929 F.2d  at
                                                             

878).

          We recently  set forth guidelines intended  to strike a

balance  between   the  pleadings   required  of   plaintiffs  in

securities fraud  litigation and the concern  that defendants not

be subject to  strike suits  intended to increase  the amount  of

settlement  awards rather than set forth a legitimate claim.  See
                                                                           

New England  Data Servs., Inc. v. Becher,  829 F.2d 286, 289 (1st
                                                  

Cir. 1987).

               "First,  [p]laintiffs must  plead more
            than that  defendants acted irresponsibly
            and  unwisely, but  that they  were aware
            that 'mismanagement had occurred and made
            a  material  public  statement about  the
            state  of corporate  affairs inconsistent
            with     the     existence     of     the
            mismanagement.'"

                               -9-


               "Second,  defendants  may not  be held
            liable  under  the  securities  laws  for
            accurate reports of past  successes, even
            if present circumstances are less rosy, .
            . . and  optimistic predictions about the
            future  that  prove  to be  off  the mark
            likewise are  immunized unless plaintiffs
            meet   their   burden  of   demonstrating
            intentional deception . . . ."

               "Third, and finally, general averments
            of the defendants' knowledge  of material
            falsity  will  not  suffice.   Consistent
            with Fed. R. Civ. P. 9(b),  the complaint
            must set forth 'specific facts  that make
            it    reasonable    to    believe    that
            defendant[s]  knew  that a  statement was
            materially  false  or  misleading.'   Id.
                                                               
            The  rule  requires  that the  particular
            '"times, dates, places  or other  details
            of [the] alleged fraudulent involvement"'
            of the actors be alleged."

Serabian, 24  F.3d at 361.   In order to succeed  on their claim,
                  

appellants must have complied with these pleading requirements by

showing that the statements presented to the public were false or

misleading  at the  time they  were made  and showing that  it is

reasonable to believe that the defendants knew they were false or

misleading.   In addition,  appellants must show  that statements

made  were more than  tempered predictions about  the future that

later proved incorrect.  See id. at 366  ("It is well established
                                          

that  plaintiffs   in  a  securities  action   have  not  alleged

actionable  fraud if their claim rests on the assumption that the

defendants  must have  known of  the severity  of their  problems

earlier because conditions became so bad later on.").  We turn to

appellants' Second Amended Complaint.

                               -10-


I.  STATEMENTS IN BAILEY'S PROSPECTUS
          I.  STATEMENTS IN BAILEY'S PROSPECTUS

          A.  Section 10(b) & Rule 10b-5 Claims
                    A.  Section 10(b) & Rule 10b-5 Claims
                                                         

          The  complaint quotes  extensively from  various Bailey

corporate  documents, alleging that  these quotes were materially

false and misleading.   These  statements tend to  fall into  two

categories:    (1)  statements  about  past  performance  of  the

company;  and  (2)  statements  about future  performance.    The

district court  succinctly and accurately summarized  the alleged

false representations made by Bailey:

          1.   The Company falsely stated that it would
               achieve  increased   profits  by  moving
               production from its  plant in  Seabrook,
               New   Hampshire,   to   newly   acquired
               factories in Michigan.  Complaint,   2.

          2.   The   Company  knowingly   issued  false
               predictions  regarding  future  earnings
               prospects   during   pre-offering   road
               shows.  Complaint,   5.

          3.   When   the   Company  made   the  public
               offering  it knew but failed to disclose
               that  its  profitability  would  decline
               sharply   because   of   a   much   less
               profitable mix of  parts to be  supplied
               to Ford.  Complaint,   8.

          4.   The  Company failed  to disclose  to the
               public   "severe"   problems  it   began
               experiencing  at  its  Contour  facility
               beginning  in  February,  1994 (i.e.,  6
               months after the first day of the public
               offering  and after issuance  of all but
               one  of  the public  documents  of which
               plaintiffs complain).  Complaint,   13.

Order of December  29, 1995, at  6.  Paragraph  62 of the  Second

Amended Complaint attempts to  describe why these statements were

false  and misleading:  "Bailey's earnings  would not continue to

grow, they would  decline materially  due to a  massive shift  of

                               -11-


Bailey's  production  to a  much  less  profitable product  mix."

Second Amended Complaint at   62(a).  

          Regarding statements about past performance, appellants

present  no   argument  that   such  statements  were   false  or

inaccurate.     At   most,   appellants  suggest   that  Bailey's

presentation of figures indicating past performance somehow imply

that  the company would attain the same level of profitability in

the  future.  In presenting figures of past performance, Bailey's

prospectus does not in any way project future earnings.

          Instead,  the  contention here  is  that  the company's

predictions would prove to  be false and that earnings  would not

continue to  grow.   Appellants contend that  Bailey's Prospectus

promised increased revenue.  See Second Amended Complaint,    54,
                                          

55, 57, 61.  The statements cited by appellants, however, make no

such representations  and, in fact, are  tempered with cautionary

language.  For example, appellants cite the following sentence to

support its contention  that Bailey's  prospectus indicated  that

revenues  would continue  to grow  rapidly:   "While the  Company

expects continued revenue growth, revenue may or may not increase

at the same  rate as the  number of components  in the  Company's

product  line."   This statement  is certainly  not a  promise of

future profitability and contains language indicating uncertainty

as to future revenues.   Appellants cite the following  statement

as indicating  that Bailey  would become "even  more profitable":

"The   Company  intends  to   transfer  certain  labor  intensive

operations  from  Seabrook  to  Hillsdale  and  Madison  to  take

                               -12-


advantage of  lower average  labor  cost and  more fully  utilize

existing  capacity."  Again, there is no suggestion or promise of

increased  profits in this statement.   Finally, the following is

quoted  in support of the contention that the company had secured

supply  agreements that  would make  up for  the loss  of certain

discontinued  products:    "[T]he  Company  believes  that  these

components   in  aggregate,   will  provide   the   Company  with

opportunities  comparable to those that have been provided by the

Taurus/Sable and  Tempo/Topaz models."  While  the company states

that  it  believes  the  opportunities will  be  comparable,  the

statement contains no promise to that effect.

          Bailey's 1993 Annual Report to Shareholders, registered

with the SEC on October 28, 1993, indicated that Bailey "expected

[certain accomplishments of 1993] to  help to sustain growth  and

strengthen our  competitive position in future years."  That same

document  labels Bailey's mid-western plants as "cost-efficient."

Additionally,  an annual report filed  on a Form  10-K for fiscal

year 1993 stated  that the acquisition of  the mid-western plants

provided the  company with "additional  manufacturing capacity at

lower  average   labor  costs  than  prevail   at  the  Company's

Seabrook[,  New Hampshire]  facility."   Appellants  contend that

these  statements  were  misleading   because  Bailey  failed  to

disclose that  the shift  in production would  "materially reduce

the Company's revenue and earnings," Complaint,   74, and because

the  mid-western plants were not  cost efficient.   No facts have

been provided in support of the contention that Bailey had reason

                               -13-


to know that the  production shift would be less  profitable, nor

do appellants  indicate why  Bailey should  have known,  prior to

operating a plant with lower labor costs, that the plant would be

less cost efficient than the Seabrook plant, at which labor costs

were higher.

          "Certainly,  predictions  'are  not  exempt'  from  the

securities  laws .  .  .  but they  are  actionable only  if  the

forecast might  affect a  'reasonable investor'  in contemplating

the value of a corporation's stock."  Colby v. Hologic, Inc., 817
                                                                      

F.  Supp. 204,  211 (D.  Mass. 1993)  (citation omitted).   While

these statements  may convey the company's  desire for profitable

performance  in the future, they do not convey any promises about

future  performance and do not  project specific numbers that the

company will certainly attain.  No reasonable investor would have

read  these statements,  especially  as they  are accompanied  by

cautionary  language,   as  promises  or  guarantees   of  future

performance.

          The statements above, standing  alone, are not false or

misleading.  Had the appellants presented facts known by  Bailey,

and contemporaneous  with the  statements above, that  would show

that Bailey's anticipated success  was unlikely, such facts would

have adequately alleged  a claim of  securities fraud.   Instead,

all appellants  present  as factual  support  is the  receipt  by

Bailey of  26-week forecasts from  Ford, with no  indication from

appellants as to what  information contained within those reports

contradicts Bailey's projections, other than a vague reference in

                               -14-


paragraph 67 of  the complaint  that, "[a]s [will  be] set  forth

below, Ford's  demand for  certain parts  supplied by  Bailey was
                                                                           

lower  in the Company's first calendar quarter of 1994 and Bailey

knew that would be so as of the day [of] the Offering."  The only

information  "set forth  below"  regarding a  decrease in  Ford's

demand for  parts was  discussed in  a  Hancock analyst's  report

publicly disseminated on  June 8, 1994.   The comments  regarding

Ford in  this document suggest that,  at the time the  report was

prepared, nearly a  year after the Prospectus,  Annual Report and

Form 10-K were  issued, Ford was  scaling back production  plans.

This  hardly  amounts  to  a  contemporaneous factual  allegation

indicating  that statements  made  by Bailey  in  August of  1993

regarding  future prospects were false  or misleading, or that it

was unreasonable for Bailey to make such  statements about future

profitability.

          In addition, appellants  state that "Bailey's  earnings

. . . would decline materially due to a massive shift of Bailey's

production to  a much less  profitable product mix."   Appellants

allege no facts to indicate that Bailey had any reason to suspect

at the  time the statements were made  that the product mix would

prove to be less profitable.

          Although  appellants  specify   statements  that   they

contend were  fraudulent, identify  the speaker, and  state where

and when the statements were made, they fail, on every allegation

of  fraud,  to  explain   why  the  statements  were  fraudulent.

Appellants  offer   no  factual  support   for  their  conclusory

                               -15-


allegations that  Bailey knew  that  a product  mix would  become

unprofitable or that  production problems would arise  at a plant

it was not even operating at the time  the Prospectus was issued.

Thus, there  is no  factual support  that Bailey made  materially

false or misleading statements  when it presented positive future

expectations.  Appellants repeatedly recite their contention that

the "26-week  forecasts" received  from Ford indicated  to Bailey

Ford's  projected  supply  requirements  through   the  company's

"fiscal third quarter," the time at which the actual requirements

allegedly diminished, causing  the decline  in Bailey's  earnings

per share.  Appellants fail,  however, to identify information in

the  forecasts that would have  put Bailey on  notice that supply

requirements would decline.  That Ford presented forecasts of its

requirements  does not  guarantee  that  forecasts  presented  to

Bailey  26   weeks  prior  to  the  third  quarter,  and  perhaps

contemporaneously   with  the   dissemination   of   the   Bailey

Prospectus, accurately identified the actual  requirements of the

third quarter.  Those  requirements may have changed dramatically

after  Ford presented  Bailey with its  forecasts for  that third

quarter.    Because  appellants  fail to  cite  with  specificity

anything in the 26-week  forecasts that would have put  Bailey on

notice of a  decline in products  to be  supplied, they have  not

shown   that   Bailey's   expectations   were   unreasonable   or

fraudulently presented.   That Bailey  may have been  mistaken in

its  projections,  which  were  apparently based  on  facts  that

appellants do not contend were false, is not enough.

                               -16-


            "[Appellants]   record[]   statements  by
            defendants predicting a prosperous future
            and  hold[] them up  against the backdrop
            of what actually transpired.  . . .  This
            technique  is  sufficient to  allege that
            the defendants were wrong;  but misguided
            optimism  is not a  cause of  action, and
            does not  support an inference  of fraud.
            We  have  rejected   the  legitimacy   of
            'alleging fraud by "hindsight."'"

Shields,  25 F.3d  at 1129.   "Because  all of  plaintiffs' 10(b)
                 

claims  rely fundamentally on  such unsupported  allegations, the

district  court properly  dismissed these  claims for  failure to

meet Rule 9(b)."  Lucia, 36 F.3d at 174.
                                 

          B.  Sections 12(2) and 20(a)
                    B.  Sections 12(2) and 20(a)
                                                

          Appellants contend that  the district court  improperly

dismissed  their  claims  arising  under  Section  12(2)  of  the

Securities  Act of 1933 and  Section 20(a) of  the Securities and

Exchange  Act  of 1934.   They  argue  that the  district court's

dismissal  of  their complaint  was pursuant  to  Rule 9(b).   As

appellants  correctly note,  neither of  these claims  contain an

element  of fraud  and  Rule 9(b)'s  pleading with  particularity

requirements  do not  apply.   Nevertheless,  the district  court

properly dismissed these claims as well.

            1.  Section 12(2)
                      1.  Section 12(2)
                                       

          First, for a violation  of Section 12(2), the plaintiff

must  show that  the  defendant made  an  untrue statement  of  a

material fact or omitted such material fact.  Appellants  contend

that Rule  9(b)'s pleading  requirements do  not apply  to claims

under Section 12(2), claiming that Section 12 does not contain an

element of fraud.  As we find that appellants have failed to even

                               -17-


meet  the minimal requirements of a Section 12(2) claims, we need

not decide whether their  Section 12(2) claim sufficiently sounds

in fraud such that Rule 9(b)'s pleading requirements apply.

          Appellants  have  failed  to  point us  to  any  untrue

statements of  material fact,  nor have they  identified material

facts  whose   omission  would   render   a  previous   statement

misleading.  "[I]nformation is  'material' only if the disclosure

would  alter the 'total mix'  of facts available  to the investor

and  'if there  is  a substantial  likelihood  that a  reasonable

shareholder  would  consider  it  important'  to  the  investment

decision."  Milton v. Van  Dorn Co., 961 F.2d 965, 969  (1st Cir.
                                             

1992)  (quoting Basic,  Inc.  v. Levinson,  485 U.S.  224, 231-32
                                                   

(1988)).   The statements  that appellants challenge  were either

true  at  the time  they were  made and  continued  to be  so, or

consisted  of   future  predictions  that  later   proved  to  be

incorrect.  These  predictions were  not of the  sort that  would

need  to be  corrected  by a  later  statement.   The  statements

addressed  by appellants indicate  that Bailey projected positive

future earnings, but these statements were tempered with language

indicating  that Bailey  did not,  and could  not, guarantee  the

future  profitability  of  the   company.    "'Soft,'   'puffing'

statements such  as these generally lack  materiality because the

market  price  of a  share is  not  inflated by  vague statements

predicting growth."  Raab  v. General Physics Corp., 4  F.3d 286,
                                                             

289 (4th Cir. 1993).

                               -18-


          Appellants'  complaint  contends   that  the   market's

reliance  on  statement  by   Bailey  artificially  inflated  the

company's  price  per  share.    We  find,  however,  that  "[n]o

reasonable investor would  rely on these statements, and they are

certainly  not  specific  enough  to perpetrate  a  fraud  on the

market.  Analysts and  arbitrageurs rely on facts in  determining

the  value of a security,  not mere expressions  of optimism from

company  spokesmen."  Id. at  290.  A  reasonable purchaser would
                                   

know that these statements consisted of optimistic predictions of

future  potential  and  would  not  have  been  misled  by  them.

Therefore,  the  district  court  properly  dismissed appellant's

Section 12(2) claims.

            2.  Section 20(a)
                      2.  Section 20(a)
                                       

          Finally,  regarding  the  Section  20(a)  claim,  which

attempts  to  attribute  joint   and  several  liability  to  the

individual  defendants  as  "control  persons,"  appellants  have

failed  to allege an underlying violation of the securities acts.

The  district court properly  dismissed appellants' Section 20(a)

claims.

II.  REPORTS OF SECURITIES ANALYSTS
          II.  REPORTS OF SECURITIES ANALYSTS

          Appellants  also allege  that  Bailey  should  be  held

liable for false  and misleading statements  made by analysts  in

independent  reports disseminated to  the public.   The  first of

these  reports  was  disseminated  to  the  public  by  McDonald.

Appellants  allege that  the  analyst who  prepared that  report,

David  Garrity, spoke  with Leonard  Heilman,  an officer  of the

                               -19-


company, in preparing the report.  Garrity reviewed with  Heilman

his earnings estimates and  the methodology and/or assumptions of

those  estimates.   Thereafter,  McDonald  disseminated  a report

giving Bailey an "aggressive buy rating."  The report stated that

it expected  Bailey to earn  $1.15 per  share in fiscal  1994 and

$1.60 per share in fiscal 1995.  Finally, the  report stated that

it estimated that the price  of Bailey stock would reach  $20 per

share, with a down-side risk to the $10 level.

          The  second report,  prepared by  Hancock analyst  Jane

Gilday,  was reviewed with Heilman on or about December 20, 1993.

Gilday informed  Heilman of  her revenue  and earnings  per share

estimates and  the methodology  and assumptions used  in reaching

those  estimates.  She also  indicated to Heilman  her opinion of

Bailey's   financial  prospects.     Hancock's  report,  publicly

disseminated on  December 21,  1993, projected  Bailey's earnings

per share  at $1.05 for  fiscal 1994  and $1.25 for  fiscal 1995.

The  report  goes  on  to  make  predictions  regarding  Bailey's

profitability in the  coming year  based on growth  in its  parts

business  and the  company's shift of  manufacturing to  the mid-

western plants.

          A third report, disseminated  to the public by McDonald

on March  18, 1994,  indicated that  McDonald had concerns  about

Bailey's  product mix shift  and lowered  its earnings  per share

forecasts slightly.   The report still gave Bailey an "Aggressive

Buy" rating.

                               -20-


          After Bailey disclosed that  its earnings for the third

quarter of fiscal 1994 were  only $0.16, Hancock lowered Bailey's

investment rating from buy to sell, based in part on the "serious

credibility  problem"  of  Bailey  management.    Hancock  called

Bailey's third quarter earnings "a major negative surprise."

          In support of their argument that Bailey should be held

liable  for  alleged  misstatements in  these  analysts' reports,

appellants  cite cases in which courts have held that a defendant

company may be held liable for any false or misleading statements

contained in   analysts' reports.  See, e.g., Elkind v. Liggett &
                                                                           

Myers, Inc., 635  F.2d 156, 163  (2d Cir.  1980) (holding that  a
                     

company may sufficiently entangle itself with analysts' forecasts

to  render  the  predictions  attributable to  the  company,  but

finding  no such liability);  In re RasterOps  Corp. Sec. Litig.,
                                                                          

No. C-93-20349, 1994 WL  618970, at *3 (N.D. Cal.  Oct. 31, 1994)

(finding  that  "[a] company  may be  liable for  analyst reports

which  it fostered  and  reviewed but  failed  to correct  if  it

expressly  or  impliedly  represented  that  the information  was

accurate or reflected the view of the company"); Alfus v. Pyramid
                                                                           

Technology Corp., 764 F. Supp. 598, 603 (N.D. Cal. 1991) (finding
                          

that  a  company  may  be  liable  for  not correcting  analysts'

forecasts where  it undertakes  to provide  information regarding

and  pass on the  analysts' forecasts,  but finding  no liability

where a  company officer  merely examines  and  comments upon  an

analyst's report);  In re Aldus Sec.  Litig., [1992-1993 Transfer
                                                      

Binder]  Fed. Sec. L. Rep. (CCH   97,376 at 95,984-85 (W.D. Wash.

                               -21-


1993)   (finding  plaintiffs'  claim  sufficiently  alleged  that

defendants  placed their  imprimatur  on  analysts' reports,  but

employing a lower Rule 9(b) pleading requirement than  is applied

in this circuit);  In re Cypress Semiconductor Sec. Litig., [1993
                                                                    

Transfer Binder] Fed. Sec. L. Rep. (CCH)   97,060 at 94,698 (N.D.

Cal.  1992)  (holding  that  plaintiffs need  only  allege  "that

defendants provided information to  the securities analysts  upon

which the reports were based").

          Appellants argue that we  should adopt the more liberal

approach adopted  by these  courts, rather than  the "restrictive

approach," Appellant's Brief at 35,  employed by the court below.

Appellant's arguments are unpersuasive.  Our review of  the cases

appellant cites indicates that the law applied by those courts is

similar to,  if not the same as, that applied by the court below.

Where  the  cases  may differ  is  in  the  pleadings each  court

requires  in  order to  sufficiently  allege  that the  analysts'

reports  are attributable to  the defendant.   We have repeatedly

emphasized Rule  9(b)'s heightened pleading  requirements because

of our  concern that plaintiffs will bring  baseless strike suits

against securities  defendants in  order  to increase  settlement

amounts  or to  engage in  a fishing  expedition for  evidence on

which to base its claim.  See  Lucia, 36 F.3d at 174 (noting that
                                              

we  have  been  especially  rigorous  in  applying Rule  9(b)  to

securities claims because of these concerns); Romani, 929 F.2d at
                                                              

878 (same).  We find, however, that the cases cited by appellants

                               -22-


do not differ  substantially from  the law applied  by the  court

below.

          This circuit has not  yet decided whether statements in

an  analyst's report may be  attributable to a defendant company.

As appellants claim that  Bailey fraudulently misled the analysts

who prepared  these  reports,  Rule  9(b)'s  heightened  pleading

requirements apply.  Assuming arguendo that a company may be held
                                                

liable  for false or misleading statements in an analysts' report

where  that  company  has   adopted,  endorsed,  or  sufficiently

entangled itself with the analysts' reports, see Elkind, 635 F.2d
                                                                 

at 163, we find  that appellants have failed to meet  Rule 9(b)'s

pleading requirements and  their claim  must fail.   As we  noted

above,  Rule  9(b) requires  that  plaintiffs  "'(1) specify  the

statements  that the  plaintiff  contends  were  fraudulent,  (2)

identify  the speaker,  (3) state  where and when  the statements

were made, and (4) explain why  the statements were fraudulent.'"

Shields,  25 F.3d at 1127-28.   The district court pointed out to
                 

appellants  that their  earlier  complaints failed  to meet  Rule

9(b)'s requirements.  Order of July 31,  1995 at 2; Order of Nov.

10, 1994 at 13.  In an apparent attempt to cure these defects, in

their Second Amended Complaint, appellants alleged the following:

            [I]t was the  Company's practice to  have
            top  managers,  namely,  Chief  Financial
            Officer  Heilman,  communicate  regularly
            with  securities  analysts   .  .  .   to
            discuss,   among    other   things,   the
            Company's    earnings   prospects,    its
            products, the efficiency of the Company's
            manufacturing     plants,     anticipated
            financial  performance,  and  to  provide
            detailed  'guidance'  to  these  analysts

                               -23-


            with respect to  the Company's  business,
            including  projected revenues,  earnings,
            and of particular importance to analysts,
            earnings per share.

In  its  order  dismissing  the  Second  Amended  Complaint,  the

district  court found  that appellants'  attempts to  satisfy the

requirements of  Rule 9(b)  were insufficient  because appellants

failed to identify the statements made by Heilman or describe how

those statements were  false or  misleading.  Order  of Dec.  29,

1995.   We  agree with  the district  court that  appellants have

failed  to  allege with  particularity  the  false or  misleading

statements made  by Heilman, or  any other defendant,  that would

have  induced  analysts'   to  publicly  disseminate   misleading

forecasts.

          We also find  that appellants have failed  to direct us

to any  facts to support their conclusory  allegation that Bailey

"endorsed the contents of those reports, adopted them as its own,

and placed  its imprimatur on  them."  Second  Amended Complaint,

  36.  As presented by the appellants, the reports do not  appear

to  quote any Bailey officer or employee,  nor do they imply that

the forecasts were supplied or confirmed by any Bailey officer or

employee.   Appellants'  allegations regarding  analysts' reports

fail  to  meet the  pleading requirements  of  Rule 9(b)  and the

district court properly dismissed this count of the complaint.

                            CONCLUSION
                                      CONCLUSION

          For  the  foregoing  reasons,  the  decision  below  is

affirmed.
          affirmed
                  

                               -24-