United States v. Spinney

November 14, 1995 UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
                            UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
                      FOR THE FIRST CIRCUIT
                                FOR THE FIRST CIRCUIT

                                             

No. 94-1958

                    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,

                            Appellee,

                                v.

                       JEFFREY W. SPINNEY,

                      Defendant, Appellant.

                                             

                           ERRATA SHEET
                                     ERRATA SHEET

     The opinion of this  court issued on September 19,  1995, is
corrected as follows:

On page 2, line 3   change "(count 1)" to "(count 2)".

On page 2, line 4   change "(count 2)" to "(count 3)".

On page  2, line 6 (footnote  1)   change "All  references are to
the superseding indictment." to "Count 1, which charged appellant
with conspiring to commit bank robbery,  see 18 U.S.C.   371, was
                                                      
dismissed on the government's motion."

On  page 5, line 10   insert  the following text before the words
"aiding  and abetting":   "counts  of conspiracy  to commit  bank
robbery, see 18 U.S.C.    371 (which count was  later dismissed),
                      
".

On  page 5,  line 14    change "each  count." to  "each remaining
count."

On page 5, line 20   change "count 1" to "count 2".

On page 7, line 10   change "count 1" to "count 2".

On page 11, lines 24-25 (footnote 5)   change "The grand jury did
not lodge  a conspiracy charge against Spinney and the government
has  not tried"  to  "Having  moved  for  the  dismissal  of  the
conspiracy count against appellant, the government did not try ".

On page 16, line 24   change "(11th Cir. 1986)" to (11th Cir.)".

On page 21, line 12   change "count 1" to "count 2".


On page 21, line 13   change "count 2" to "count 3".


                  UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
                      FOR THE FIRST CIRCUIT

                                             

No. 94-1958

                    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,

                            Appellee,

                                v.

                       JEFFREY W. SPINNEY,

                      Defendant, Appellant.

                                             

           APPEAL FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT

                FOR THE DISTRICT OF MASSACHUSETTS

         [Hon. Douglas P. Woodlock, U.S. District Judge]
                                                                 

                                             

                              Before

                Selya and Boudin, Circuit Judges,
                                                          

                    and Lisi,* District Judge.
                                                       

                                             

     Diana L. Maldonado, Federal Defender Office, for appellant.
                                 
     Timothy Q.  Feeley, Assistant United  States Attorney,  with
                                 
whom Donald K. Stern,  United States Attorney, was on  brief, for
                              
appellee.

                                             

                        September 19, 1995

                                             

                    
*Of the District of Rhode Island, sitting by designation.


          SELYA,  Circuit  Judge. Defendant-appellant  Jeffrey W.
                    SELYA,  Circuit  Judge.
                                          

Spinney  challenges his  convictions for  aiding and  abetting an

armed bank robbery (count 2) and aiding and abetting the use of a

firearm  during and  in relation  to a  crime of  violence (count

3).1    In  our  view,   the  two  crimes,  despite   superficial
                    
                              

     1Count 1, which charged  appellant with conspiring to commit
bank  robbery,  see  18  U.S.C.     371,  was  dismissed  on  the
                             
government's motion.   The implicated portions  of the applicable
statutes are as follows:

          Whoever,  by   force  and  violence,   or  by
          intimidation,  takes,  or  attempts to  take,
          from the person or presence of another . .  .
          any property  or money or any  other thing of
          value belonging to, or in the  care, custody,
          control,  management,  or possession  of, any
          [federally  insured] bank  .  . .  [shall  be
          punished as provided by law].

18 U.S.C.   2113(a) (1988).

          Whoever, in committing,  or in attempting  to
          commit, any  offense defined in  [  2113(a)],
          puts in  jeopardy the  life of any  person by
          the  use of  a  dangerous  weapon or  device,
          shall be . . . [punished as provided by law].

18 U.S.C.   2113(d) (1988).

          Whoever, during and in  relation to any crime
          of  violence  .  .  .  for  which  he  may be
          prosecuted in  a court of the  United States,
          uses or  carries a  firearm, shall  . .  . be
          [subjected to additional punishment].

18 U.S.C.   924(c)(1) (1988).

          Whoever commits an offense against the United
          States  or  aids, abets,  counsels, commands,
          induces  or  procures   its  commission,   is
          punishable as a principal.

18 U.S.C.   2(a) (1988).

          As  the text  indicates,  a conviction  for armed  bank
robbery,  18 U.S.C.     2113(d), necessarily  signifies that  the

                                4


similarities,  require  the   application  of  dissimilar   legal

standards.  Because the evidence  amassed by the government falls

between these stools, we affirm the first conviction  but reverse

the second.

I.  BACKGROUND
          I.  BACKGROUND

          We limn the pertinent facts in the light most favorable

to the government, see United States v. Ortiz, 966 F.2d 707, 710-
                                                       

11 (1st Cir. 1992), cert. denied,  113 S. Ct. 1005 (1993), paying
                                          

particular  heed  to those  details  that  arguably reflect  what

appellant knew and when he knew it.

          On August 20, 1991, at  around 3:00 p.m., Gerald Mohan,

a conscientious FBI agent, noticed appellant (a person previously

known to him)  sitting on  the steps of  the Federal Building  in

Lowell,  Massachusetts.   Mohan  decided  to  mount an  impromptu

surveillance.    As  he  was  positioning  his  vehicle,  a  blue

Oldsmobile arrived at  the scene.   After  appellant entered  the

Oldsmobile,  it made several quick  turns and then  pulled to the

curb.  The driver (subsequently  identified as Paul Kirvan) moved

into  the  front passenger  seat  and appellant  took  the wheel.

Kirvan and appellant proceeded  to criss-cross the streets around

the  Lowell Institution for Savings (the  Bank).  Mohan testified

that the pair's driving pattern appeared to  be part of a process

of careful scrutiny.

          Roughly fifteen minutes  after beginning  surveillance,

                    
                              

government has proved the elements of the lesser included offense
of unarmed bank robbery, 18 U.S.C.   2113(a).

                                5


Mohan  followed  the  Oldsmobile  to  Academy  Drive.    There he

observed  a  classic   getaway  "switch  site"  on   a  dead  end

approximately 0.3 miles from the Bank.  Appellant and Kirvan next

returned to the  vicinity of  the Federal Building.   On  Fayette

Street,  Kirvan alighted  from the  Oldsmobile (which  he owned),

entered a parked Chevrolet Monte Carlo (later ascertained to have

been stolen some  distance away),  and began  driving toward  the

Bank.    Appellant followed  him  in  the  Oldsmobile, and  Mohan

followed both of them,  caravan-style, in his own vehicle.   When

the two  drivers veered in separate directions,  Mohan lost sight

of both  cars.  He circled in the general vicinity and, some four

minutes  later, glimpsed  the  Chevrolet at  a standstill  in the

Bank's parking lot.

          Mohan made a U-turn and  headed back to the Bank.   His

efforts were  unavailing; at  that precise moment,  the Chevrolet

accelerated  rapidly out of the parking lot and passed him (going

in the  opposite direction).  Kirvan was alone in the car.  Mohan

made yet another U-turn and unsuccessfully gave chase.

          At approximately 3:25 p.m., ostensibly during the brief

interval in which Mohan lost track of his quarry, a masked Kirvan

entered the  Bank, instructed those  present not to  move, jumped

over  the tellers' counter, stuffed  the contents of several cash

drawers  into a  garbage bag,  leapt back  over the  counter, and

fled.  Although Kirvan  brandished a handgun at the height of the

robbery,  a teller testified that the weapon was not visible when

he entered the Bank.

                                6


          Other percipient witnesses reported that, mid-afternoon

of the  same day,  they saw  a Chevrolet  Monte Carlo speed  down

Academy  Drive.  Two  men, one  holding a  bag, emerged  from the

vehicle, crossed through two  gates, and drove away in  a waiting

blue car.  The  witnesses were unable to identify  either suspect

positively, although one of the men "looked like" appellant.  The

Lowell police recovered the Chevrolet that afternoon.  They found

Kirvan's blue Oldsmobile the next morning, abandoned not far from

the switch site.

          The  government established  that appellant  and Kirvan

had been close friends for many years.  Telephone   toll  records

reflected seventy-three calls between the men's residences in the

nineteen days  preceding the  robbery, including eleven  calls on

August 19.

          A federal  grand jury  indicted appellant on  counts of

counts of conspiracy to commit bank  robbery, see 18 U.S.C.   371
                                                           

(which count was  later dismissed), aiding and abetting  an armed

bank  robbery, see 18 U.S.C.    2113(d), and  aiding and abetting
                            

the  use  of a  firearm  during and  in  relation to  a  crime of

violence,  see  18 U.S.C.    924(c).    A jury  trial eventuated.
                        

After appellant unsuccessfully moved  for judgment of  acquittal,

the jurors returned  a guilty verdict  on each remaining  count.2
                    
                              

     2In a separate proceeding before a different judge and jury,
Kirvan  was convicted of armed bank robbery  and use of a firearm
during and in relation  to a crime of violence.   Notwithstanding
the  verdict, the judge ordered an acquittal on the latter count.
We affirmed the armed bank robbery conviction and  reinstated the
firearms conviction.  See  United States v. Kirvan, 997  F.2d 963
                                                            
(1st Cir. 1993).

                                7


The court sentenced appellant  to serve 262 months in  prison for

armed  robbery and  imposed a  mandatory sixty-month  consecutive

sentence  in  respect  to  the  firearms  charge.    This  appeal

followed.

II.  ARMED BANK ROBBERY
          II.  ARMED BANK ROBBERY

          Appellant  challenges the  sufficiency of  the evidence

supporting   his   conviction  on   count   2.     Our   task  is

straightforward.  We must  ascertain whether, "after assaying all

the evidence in  the light  most amiable to  the government,  and

taking  all  reasonable  inferences  in  its  favor,  a  rational

factfinder  could  find,  beyond  a reasonable  doubt,  that  the

prosecution  successfully proved  the  essential elements  of the

crime."  United  States v.  O'Brien, 14 F.3d  703, 706 (1st  Cir.
                                             

1994).    In  performing  this task,  we  do  not  pass  upon the

credibility  of witnesses,  see id.,  nor do  we demand  that the
                                             

government   disprove  every   hypothesis  consistent   with  the

defendant's innocence,  see United States v.  Echeverri, 982 F.2d
                                                                 

675, 677 (1st Cir. 1993).

          The  jury reached its verdict in this case on the basis

of circumstantial evidence.  Reliance  on indirect, as opposed to

direct,  evidence in  a  criminal case  is  both permissible  and

commonplace.   See O'Brien, 14  F.3d at 706  (observing that "the
                                    

criminal  law  does  not  place  a  special   premium  on  direct

evidence").  In making  such judgments, "juries are not  required

to examine the evidence  in isolation, for `individual  pieces of

evidence, insufficient  in themselves  to prove a  point, may  in

                                8


cumulation prove it.'"  Ortiz, 966 F.2d at 711 (quoting Bourjaily
                                                                           

v. United States,  483 U.S.  171, 179-80 (1987)).   Thus, when  a
                          

jury draws inferences  from circumstantial evidence, a  reviewing

court should refrain from second-guessing the ensuing conclusions

as long as  (1) the  inferences derive support  from a  plausible

rendition of  the record, and (2) the conclusions flow rationally

from those inferences.  See id.
                                         

          We add a  cautionary note.  Despite the  deference that

characterizes appellate  review of  jury verdicts, juries  do not

have carte blanche.  The appellate function, properly understood,
                            

requires the reviewing  court to take a  hard look at the  record

and  to reject  those  evidentiary interpretations  and illations

that  are unreasonable,  insupportable,  or  overly  speculative.

See,  e.g., United States  v. Valerio, 48  F.3d 58,  64 (1st Cir.
                                               

1995);  United States  v. Loder,  23 F.3d  586, 589-92  (1st Cir.
                                         

1994).  This function is especially  important in criminal cases,

given the prosecution's  obligation to prove every element  of an

offense beyond a reasonable doubt.

          In this  instance, the jury convicted  the appellant on

count 2  as an aider and abettor.   See 18 U.S.C.    2(a).  Under
                                                 

this theory of accomplice liability, Spinney would be guilty only

if  the  government  proved   (1)  that  Kirvan  (the  principal)

committed the  substantive offense (armed bank  robbery), and (2)

that Spinney (the accomplice) became associated with the endeavor

and took part in it, intending to ensure its success.   See Nye &
                                                                           

Nissen v. United  States, 336  U.S. 613, 619  (1949); Ortiz,  966
                                                                     

                                9


F.2d at 711 n.1.  Because the jury heard plethoric evidence  from

which it  rationally could  conclude that Kirvan  committed armed

bank robbery, we direct our  analysis to the second of these  two

elements.

          The  central requirement  of the  second element  is "a

showing that  the defendant  consciously  shared the  principal's

knowledge of the  underlying criminal act,  and intended to  help

the principal."   United States v. Taylor, 54 F.3d  967, 975 (1st
                                                   

Cir. 1995).  In a prosecution for armed bank robbery, this shared

knowledge requirement is binary; it extends both to awareness  of

the  robbery and to comprehension  that a weapon  would likely be

used.   See United States v.  Jones, 678 F.2d 102,  106 (9th Cir.
                                             

1982)  (explaining   that,  to  convict  under      2113(d),  the

prosecution must "show that the  defendant aided and abetted  the

principal  both in the act of bank robbery and in the principal's

use  of `a dangerous weapon  or device' during  the act") (citing

other  cases).    Appellant  maintains that  neither  finding  is

justified here.   In the first place, he claims that the evidence

does not adequately  show that he knew Kirvan aspired  to rob the

Bank  and  nonetheless endeavored  to help  him.   In  the second

place, he claims  that the record is devoid of  any proof that he
                                                             

knew about the actual or intended use of a gun.3
                    
                              

     3If  both arguments  succeed,  then the  conviction must  be
reversed.     Conversely,  if  both  arguments   fail,  then  the
conviction  must be  affirmed.   However, if  the first  argument
fails, but the second succeeds, then,  since the jury necessarily
found  all  the elements  of unarmed  bank  robbery, 18  U.S.C.  
                                              
2113(a), and since the  trial court charged on that  statute as a
lesser  included offense  under    2113(d), we  would  remand for

                                10


          1.    Shared  Knowledge  of  the  Robbery.    The first
                    1.    Shared  Knowledge  of  the  Robbery.
                                                             

challenge need not occupy us for long.  Appellant does not assert

that he was  "merely present" at the scene.   See Ortiz, 966 F.2d
                                                                 

at 711 ("Mere association between the principal and those accused

of aiding and abetting is not  sufficient to establish guilt; . .

.  nor is mere  presence at the scene and knowledge that  a crime

was  to   be  committed   sufficient  to  establish   aiding  and

abetting.")  (internal  quotation  marks omitted).    Rather,  he

focuses on the lack of direct evidence placing him at  the switch

site, in or  near the Bank,  or in Kirvan's  company at any  time

except immediately prior to the  commission of the crime, thereby

attempting  to raise  doubts  about whether  he had  any specific

intent to assist in the enterprise.

          This  argument  is flawed  in  its  presumption that  a

dearth of  direct evidence somehow precludes  jurors from drawing

logical  inferences based  on available  circumstantial evidence.

Contrary to  the burden  of appellant's thesis,  it is  precisely

those situations  that involve an  absence of direct  evidence in

which circumstantial evidence must be most closely analyzed.  See
                                                                           

O'Brien,  14  F.3d  at 706  (explaining  that  a  lack of  direct
                 

evidence spurs  examination of indirect  evidence).  In  the last

analysis,  the persuasive  power  of  circumstantial evidence  is

attributable  more to its  relevance and probative  force than to

the presence of complementary direct evidence.

                    
                              

resentencing on that basis.  See, e.g., United States v. Dinkane,
                                                                          
17 F.3d 1192, 1198 (9th Cir. 1994).

                                11


          Having in  mind Mohan's  observations, the  events that

transpired  on Academy  Drive,  the vehicles  abandoned in  close

proximity  to the  Bank,  and the  telephone  logs, a  completely

rational juror need  make only modest inferential leaps to arrive

at  a founded conclusion  that the two  long-time friends planned

the crime, the flight, and the  car switch.  See United States v.
                                                                        

Olbres,      F.3d    ,     (1st Cir. 1995) [No. 94-2123, slip op.
                

at   10]  (finding   a  "sturdy   infrastructure,"  provided   by

"circumstantial  and  suggestive"   evidence,  for  making  sound

rational inferences); Taylor, 57 F.3d at 975 (similar); see  also
                                                                           

Ortiz,  966  F.2d  at  711  (remarking  that  "[t]he  sum  of  an
               

evidentiary  presentation may  be  greater than  its  constituent

parts") (quoting  Bourjaily,  483  U.S. at  180).    Since  every
                                     

necessary inference is adequately rooted in the record, we reject

as meritless  appellant's assignment of error based on a supposed

lack of  proof that he knew  of, and helped to  further, Kirvan's

desire to rob the Bank.4

          2.    Shared  Knowledge  of the  Weapon.    Appellant's
                    2.    Shared  Knowledge  of the  Weapon.
                                                           

stronger challenge is  directed at the  jury's finding of  shared

knowledge,  prior to  the commission  of the  crime, that  Kirvan

would use a firearm.  See United States v. Dinkane, 17 F.3d 1192,
                                                            

1197  (9th Cir. 1994) (holding  that, for purposes  of   2113(d),

aiding  and abetting  requires  prior knowledge  of weapon);  see
                                                                           
                    
                              

     4To  the extent  that  appellant also  seeks  to impugn  the
jury's  decision about  who and  what to  believe, we  decline to
"usurp  the  jury's  province,"  O'Brien,  14  F.3d  at  707,  by
                                                  
superseding either  its rational factfinding  or its  credibility
choices.

                                12


generally  United States v. de la Cruz-Paulino,     F.3d    ,    
                                                        

(1st Cir. 1995)  [No. 94-1985,  slip op. at  28-30] (stating,  in

aiding and  abetting case, that  shared knowledge  must be  prior

knowledge).

          A participant in the holdup of  a bank will be found to

be  an  aider  and  abettor  of  an  armed  robbery only  if  the
                                                    

government  can provide an additional piece of the puzzle:  proof

that  the accomplice "knew a  dangerous weapon would  be used [in

the robbery] or at least . . . was on notice of the likelihood of

its use," United States v. Sanborn,  563 F.2d 488, 491 (1st  Cir.
                                            

1977); accord United States v. Ferreira, 625 F.2d 1030, 1032 (1st
                                                 

Cir. 1980).  Refined to bare essence, appellant's asseveration on

this  point is that the evidence, taken  as a whole, is so sparse

that it does not  satisfy the Sanborn standard; there  are simply
                                               

no  facts, he  tells  us, from  which  a reasonable  juror  could

extrapolate to a finding of shared knowledge.5  We do not agree.

          In  terms, the  Sanborn rubric  requires only  proof of
                                           

"notice of . . . likelihood"  to satisfy this prong of the shared

knowledge  element  in connection  with  a charge  of  aiding and

abetting  an  armed  bank robbery.    This  phrase  is not  self-

defining.  Hence, it is important to search out its meaning.

          We  start from  the  premise that  the Sanborn  court's
                                                                  

formulation of the shared knowledge requirement is  not merely an
                    
                              

     5Having  Moved for  the  dismissal of  the conspiracy  count
against  appellant,  the  government  did  not try  to  hang  his
criminal  liability  on  the  reasonably  foreseeable  act  of  a
coconspirator.  Compare Pinkerton v. United States, 328 U.S. 640,
                                                            
647-48 (1946).

                                13


awkward  locution.   Other  courts  have adopted  it,  see, e.g.,
                                                                          

United States v. McCaskill,  676 F.2d 995, 998 (4th  Cir.), cert.
                                                                           

denied, 459 U.S. 1018  (1982); United States v. Ingram,  592 A.2d
                                                                

992, 1003 (D.C. App.), cert. denied, 502 U.S. 1017 (1991), and it
                                             

stands in marked contrast   almost as point and counterpoint   to

the  "practical certainty" formulation that courts have developed

for  assessing  the  shared knowledge  requirement  applicable to

aiding  and abetting firearms  charges brought under  18 U.S.C.  

924(c).  See infra  Part III.  The glaring  linguistic difference
                            

between the two formulations guides our inquiry.

          Knowledge is a concept,  not an absolute.  In  the law,

as  in  life, "knowledge"  means  different  things in  different

contexts.    Accordingly, we  believe it  is  useful to  view the

concept as a continuum.

          At  one end of the  continuum is what  the law commonly

calls "constructive  knowledge."   Constructive knowledge  is the

law's  way of  recognizing that,  given  an awareness  of certain

subsidiary  facts, a  person  is quite  likely  to know,  can  be

expected to  know, or at  least should  know that a  further fact

exists.   See Black's Law Dictionary 314  (6th ed. 1990) ("If one
                       

by exercise  of reasonable  care would have  known a fact,  he is

deemed to have had constructive knowledge of said fact . . . .").

By way of illustration, if an easily visible foreign object is on

a  staircase for an appreciable  length of time,  the law accepts

the  reasonableness  of a  conclusion  that the  occupier  of the

premises "knew" of its presence (even though there is no evidence

                                14


that the occupier actually knew, by observation or report, of the
                                    

object's whereabouts).

          At  the  other end  of the  continuum  is what  the law

commonly calls "actual knowledge."  Actual knowledge, as the term

implies, reduces the need for inference; it suggests the presence

of   particular   evidence   which,  if   credited,   establishes

conclusively that the person in question knew of the existence of

the fact in question.  See  id. at 873 (defining actual knowledge
                                         

as  "positive, in contrast to imputed or inferred, knowledge of a

fact").   To carry our example forward, if witnesses testify that

the occupier himself placed  the foreign object on the  stair, or

remarked its  location, that testimony,  if believed, establishes

that the occupier actually knew of its presence.

          The concepts  of constructive  and actual knowledge  do

not occupy the entire span of the continuum.  Knowledge varies in

origin, degree, and an array of other respects.  These gradations

are best  visualized as way  stations that dot the  length of the

hypothetical knowledge continuum.  Notice of likelihood fits into

the poorly charted area  that stretches between the poles  of the

continuum.   While  we  believe that,  in  a criminal  case,  the

reasonable  doubt  standard  requires that  notice  of likelihood

comprise   more  than  constructive  knowledge  simpliciter,  its
                                                                     

articulation evokes  echoes of constructive knowledge  and places

the  proof  requirement  closer to  that  end  of  the continuum.

Actual knowledge, after all,  is certain knowledge, see  id., and
                                                                      

likelihood is not the stuff of certainty.

                                15


          Logically,  then,  the  Sanborn rubric  implies,  in  a
                                                   

section 2113(d) case, that  the defendant's shared knowledge need

not amount to actual knowledge that his cohort  intended to use a
                              

gun or  other  dangerous  weapon in  robbing  the  bank;  indeed,

Sanborn's disjunctive phraseology, 563  F.2d at 491 ("knew .  . .
                 

or at  least . . .  was on notice of the  likelihood"), leaves no

doubt  that a conviction can  be grounded on  something less than

actual  knowledge.   We  conclude  that  an  enhanced showing  of

constructive  knowledge  will  suffice.   See  United  States  v.
                                                                       

Grubczak, 793 F.2d 458, 463 (2d Cir. 1986).
                  

          While  this is  a very  close case,  we think  that the

evidence clears  the notice of  likelihood hurdle.   Our analysis

builds  on  the human  condition.   Jurors  are "not  expected to

ignore  what is perfectly  obvious," Echeverri, 982  F.2d at 679,
                                                        

but,   rather,  "to  take  full  advantage  of  their  collective

experience and common sense."  O'Brien, 14 F.3d at 708.   In this
                                                

case, the  scheme called for a lone robber to enter a bank during

business hours with the intent  of looting it.  One  would expect

tellers, guards, customers, and other persons unsympathetic to an

unauthorized  withdrawal of funds to  be on the  premises.  Under

those circumstances,  not even  the most sanguine  criminal would

expect clear sailing without some menace in  the wind.  In short,

the circumstances gave rise  to constructive knowledge beforehand

that the intruder would need a gun or some other dangerous device

to  accomplish the  felons' agreed  goal.   See United  States v.
                                                                        

Powell, 929 F.2d 724,  727 (D.C. Cir. 1991) (stating,  in dictum,
                

                                16


that  "possession  of  a gun  .  . .  is  virtually  essential in

[perpetrating a bank robbery]").

          Here,  moreover, Spinney  was not  merely a  bit player

(say, a lookout or a getaway driver), but  a leading man.  A jury

could  reasonably  infer  from  the  totality  of  the  attendant

circumstances,  particularly  from the  host  of telephone  calls

between Spinney  and Kirvan  and from Spinney's  participation in

the elaborate reconnaissance mission, that he had a major role in

planning the heist.   Even  assuming that there  was no  specific

discussion  of  the  use of  a  gun,  evidence  of a  defendant's

substantial  involvement  over  the  course of  several  days  in

planning and  orchestrating a  robbery, when coupled  with actual

participation in carrying it  out, permits a compelling inference

that  the defendant knew the  salient details of  the plot (e.g.,

the  timing of the robbery, the bank's identity and location, the

planned entry by a lone robber).   These circumstances seem to us

to  sustain  a finding  that Spinney  was  on notice  that Kirvan

likely would  tote a gun in  the course of  the upcoming robbery.

See  Grubczak,  793  F.2d  at  464  (relying  on  evidence  of  a
                       

defendant's  substantial  involvement  as  a  planner  of  and  a

"principal player[] in the robbery" to help ground "the inference

that he had to have been aware of the likely use of a  gun"); see
                                                                           

also United States v. DeMasi, 40 F.3d 1306, 1316 (1st Cir.  1994)
                                      

(inferring  knowledge  that   weapons  would  be  employed   from

accomplice's awareness of the conspirators' overall  plan), cert.
                                                                           

denied, 115 S. Ct. 947 (1995).
                

                                17


          Appellant  decries  this  approach,  claiming  that  it

necessitates the  stacking of inference  upon inference.   In one

sense,  at least, this may be so   but "[t]he rule is not that an

inference,  no matter how reasonable, is to be rejected if it, in

turn,  depends upon  another  reasonable inference;  rather,  the

question  is  merely   whether  the  total   evidence,  including

reasonable inferences, when put together is sufficient to warrant

a jury to conclude  that defendant is guilty beyond  a reasonable

doubt."  Dirring v. United States, 328 F.2d 512, 515  (1st Cir.),
                                           

cert. denied, 377  U.S. 1003 (1964).   Chains of inference  are a
                      

familiar,  widely   accepted   ingredient  of   any  process   of

ratiocination.  This method  of reasoning, commonly called logic,

is  regularly relied  upon in  the realm  of human  endeavor, and

should not be forbidden to a criminal jury.

          Of course,  the inferential chain must be strong6   but

here,  the  hypothesis  upon   which  Spinney's  section  2113(d)

conviction rests is not at all dubious.  On  this record, despite

the lack of direct evidence and the uncertainties associated with

that lack, the jury rationally could find Spinney to have been an

architect of, and an  active participant in, the robbery.   Given

these  available findings, and the persuasive  force of the other

permissible inferences supported by the overall circumstances, we
                    
                              

     6As  we recently  wrote:  "Guilt  beyond a  reasonable doubt
cannot  be  premised  on  pure  conjecture.    But  a  conjecture
consistent with the evidence becomes  less and less a conjecture,
and  moves  gradually  toward  proof,  as   alternative  innocent
explanations  are discarded  or  made less  likely."   Stewart v.
                                                                        
Coalter,  48 F.3d 610, 615-16 (1st Cir. 1995), petition for cert.
                                                                           
filed (U.S. June 19, 1995) (No. 94-9742).
               

                                18


cannot  say  that  the  jury  exceeded  its  proper  province  in

concluding  that Spinney  was on  notice of  the likelihood  that

Kirvan would use a gun.7  See Sanborn, 563 F.2d at 490.
                                               

III.  THE FIREARMS CHARGE
          III.  THE FIREARMS CHARGE

          Appellant  also  challenges  the  sufficiency   of  the

evidence  in regard to his  conviction under 18  U.S.C.   924(c).

Although here, too, appellant is charged as an aider and abettor,

his assignment of error raises a somewhat different question.  To

prove that a defendant  aided and abetted a violation  of section

924(c), the government must establish that the defendant knew "to

a practical certainty that the principal would be [using] a gun."

United States  v. Torres-Maldonado, 14  F.3d 95,  103 (1st  Cir.)
                                            

(quoting  Powell, 929 F.2d at 728), cert.  denied, 115 S. Ct. 193
                                                           

(1994); accord DeMasi, 40 F.3d at 1316.
                               

          The government  strives to collapse  the linguistically

different standards  for aiding  and abetting liability  under 18
                    
                              

     7We acknowledge that two other courts, on somewhat analogous
facts, have  found that  a defendant's participation  in planning
will not support  a conviction  for aiding and  abetting under   
2113(d).   See  Dinkane,  17  F.3d  at  1197;  United  States  v.
                                                                       
Pendergraph, 791  F.2d 1462, 1466 (11th Cir. 1986), cert. denied,
                                                                          
479  U.S. 869 (1986).   But every  case is different  and must be
judged on its particular array of facts.  Moreover, in this case,
unlike in Dinkane, 17  F.3d at 1195, the district  court properly
                           
instructed  the jury as to  the elements of  aiding and abetting,
and unlike in Pendergraph, 791 F.2d at 1464-65, the court did not
                                   
erroneously  admit  evidence that  would  have  allowed the  jury
improperly to convict.   At any rate,  to the extent our  holding
today  contradicts  Dinkane  and/or  Pendergraph,  we  stand  our
                                                          
ground.   In the final  analysis, we cannot  reject as irrational
the jury's "conclu[sion] that an accomplice so closely associated
with the venture could not fail to know what would be the central
question in  any robbery:    how the  robbers were  to force  the
bank's employees to part  with the money."  Sanborn,  563 F.2d at
                                                             
490.

                                19


U.S.C.    2113(d)  and 924(c), respectively,  at the less  taxing

end of the knowledge  continuum.  We are uncomfortable  with this

esemplastic approach.  Particularly when  juxtaposed with "notice

of  . . . likelihood," we believe that "practical certainty" is a

rubric that  calls  for proof  verging on  actual knowledge,  see
                                                                           

Model Penal  Code   2.02  at 236  n.13 (1985)  ("With respect  to

result elements, one  cannot of course  `know' infallibly that  a

certain  result will follow from engaging in conduct, and thus to

some  extent  `knowledge,'  when   applied  to  result  elements,

includes  a  contingency  factor  as  well.    This  is expressed

definitionally  in terms  of  whether the  actor is  `practically

certain' that  the result will  follow."), and, thus,  presents a

considerably higher hurdle  for the prosecution to overcome.  Nor

do  we think that  we are free  to cut  this hurdle down  to size

either  by  reading  significantly  dissimilar  articulations  to

denote  a  single  meaning  or  by treating  one  of  them  as  a

linguistic  accident.  Courts invite error when they try to weigh

meaning only after placing a thumb on the scale, or when they too

freely write  off as  malapropos  words carefully  chosen in  the

past.   If principle  is to prevail,  we must give  effect to the

obvious difference in standards of knowledge.8
                    
                              

     8There are,  moreover, policy reasons why  courts might wish
to adopt divergent standards  for an accomplice's knowledge under
the  two statutes. While possession  of a gun  or other dangerous
instrumentality will  likely facilitate  a bank robbery,  many of
the felonies  that underlie    924(c) can  be   and  often are   
completed   unarmed.     Furthermore,  defendants   convicted  of
violating    924(c), unlike  defendants convicted of  violating  
2113(d),  must be given an  additional sentence of  at least five
                                                
years, to run  consecutively to the term of incarceration imposed

                                20


          In  this  case, the  difference  is  dispositive.   The

government's argument  boils down to  an assertion that  the jury

could  infer that  Spinney  was practically  certain of  Kirvan's

anticipated use  of a  gun based  on  the evidence  we have  just

reviewed,  principally  the  confederates'  joint  design  of the

robbery.  Yet, the government adduced no evidence suggesting that

firearms were  actually contemplated  in the planning  stages, or

that Spinney had any actual knowledge that Kirvan would be armed.

Under the  circumstances, we conclude that  the government's best

evidence (that  Spinney helped to mastermind  the robbery), taken

in the light  most favorable  to the verdict,  even when  coupled

with  the   jury's  ability  to  make   intuitive  judgments,  is

insufficient  to  support the  requisite  inference of  practical

certainty.9   See, e.g., Powell,  929 F.2d at  729; United States
                                                                           

v. Hamblin, 911 F.2d  551, 558-59 (11th Cir.), cert.  denied, 500
                                                                      

U.S. 943 (1991).

          In  a last-ditch effort to save the day, the government

directs  our attention  to  a  series  of  drug  cases  in  which
                    
                              

for the  underlying crime.  See  18 U.S.C.   924(c)(1).   Both of
                                         
these considerations suggest that a higher threshold of knowledge
may well be appropriate in the   924(c) milieu.

     9Although  courts  sometimes   have  distinguished   between
prosecutions under the  two statutes with which we are concerned,
see, e.g., United States v. Medina, 32 F.3d 40, 47 (2d Cir. 1994)
                                            
(narrowly directing its holding to cases brought  under   924(c),
and distinguishing  cases brought under    2113(d)), our research
has  revealed no  reported case  in which  the evidence  has been
found sufficient to sustain an aiding and abetting conviction for
armed  bank  robbery, but  insufficient  to sustain  a  charge of
aiding and abetting the commission of a firearms offense based on
the same incident.  To that extent, our decision today breaks new
ground.

                                21


knowledge of a vessel's cargo was imputed to crew members.   See,
                                                                          

e.g., United States v. Guerrero-Guerrero, 776 F.2d 1071 (1st Cir.
                                                  

1985),  cert. denied,  475  U.S. 1029  (1986);  United States  v.
                                                                       

Quejada-Zurique, 708 F.2d  857 (1st Cir.), cert. denied, 464 U.S.
                                                                 

885 (1983).  But these scenarios are readily distinguishable from

the  case at bar.  In  those cases, guilty knowledge was inferred

from the  crew members' close proximity  to detectable quantities

of  drugs over  an  extended period  of  time.10   See  Guerrero-
                                                                           

Guerrero, 776 F.2d at 1074-75;  Quejada-Zurique, 708 F.2d at 859-
                                                         

60.  Here,  Spinney did not even enter the bank, and there was no

evidence  that Kirvan had the  weapon in his  possession while he

and Spinney were together  before the robbery, let alone  that it

was visible  or  otherwise  detectable at  that  juncture.    Put

bluntly, even though Spinney may have spent much time with Kirvan

devising the plan, and was on notice of the likelihood that a gun

would be  used in the course  of the robbery, there  is simply no

evidence  to  support  a  reasoned conclusion  that  Spinney  was

practically certain that Kirvan would be armed.

          In sum, "likelihood" and "practical certainty" are  not

equivalent terms.   Applying  the practical certainty  rubric, we

                    
                              

     10These  situations involve  what we  have termed  "culpable
presence."   Ortiz, 966 F.2d at  712.  They must be distinguished
                            
from ones  in which  a defendant is  "merely present"  on a  drug
vessel.  Such presence, without more (i.e., absent "circumstances
where   presence   itself   implies  participation,"   id.),   is
                                                                    
insufficient  to ground  criminal liability.   See,  e.g., United
                                                                           
States v. Hyson, 721 F.2d 856, 863 (1st Cir. 1983); United States
                                                                           
v. Mehtala,  578 F.2d 6, 9 (1st  Cir. 1978).  Spinney's situation
                    
does not fit within the integument of the genuine "mere presence"
cases.

                                22


hold  that the  jury reached  its verdict  on the  section 924(c)

count without an adequate evidentiary foundation.

IV.  CONCLUSION
          IV.  CONCLUSION

          This is  the rare  case in  which the evidence,  viewed

most  congenially  to the  government,  passes  muster under  the

notice   of  likelihood   test  and,  therefore,   justifies  the

appellant's  conviction for  aiding  and abetting  an armed  bank

robbery,  18  U.S.C.     2113(d), but,  nevertheless,  fails  the

practical  certainty test  and, therefore,  does not  justify the

appellant's conviction for  aiding and  abetting the  principal's

use of a firearm during  and in relation to a crime  of violence,

18 U.S.C.   924(c).  This  result, though it is unusual, does not

strike us as strange.  See, e.g., Model Penal Code   2.02 at 236-
                                          

37  n.13 (suggesting  that, where  knowledge is  in issue,  it is

sometimes "meaningful to draw  a line between practical certainty

and awareness  of substantial  risk").   So it  is here:   though

notice  of likelihood must  be proven beyond  a reasonable doubt,

the government  can meet  this burden  by an  evidentiary showing

less  than is  required to  prove that  the defendant  knew to  a

practical certainty that a gun would be used.

          We   need  go  no  further.     The  law   is  full  of

complexities,  and language is, at  best, an imperfect device for

capturing the energy of ideas.  Here, interpreting the words used

by the Sanborn  court ("notice of . . .  likelihood"), on the one
                        

hand, and by  the Powell  court ("practical  certainty"), on  the
                                  

other  hand, "in the light of the tacit assumptions upon which it

                                23


is reasonable to  suppose that  the language was  used," Ohio  v.
                                                                       

Agler,  280 U.S. 379, 383 (1930) (Holmes, J.), it is unsurprising
               

to discover a fork in the road.

          The appellant's  conviction on count 2  is affirmed and
                    The appellant's  conviction on count 2  is affirmed and
                                                                           

the appellant's conviction on count 3 is reversed.
          the appellant's conviction on count 3 is reversed.
                                                           

                                24