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PUBLISHED
UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
FOR THE FOURTH CIRCUIT
No. 21-1839
WILD VIRGINIA; VIRGINIA WILDERNESS COMMITTEE; UPSTATE
FOREVER; SOUTH CAROLINA WILDLIFE FEDERATION; NORTH
CAROLINA WILDLIFE FEDERATION; NATIONAL TRUST FOR HISTORIC
PRESERVATION; MOUNTAINTRUE; HAW RIVER ASSEMBLY;
HIGHLANDERS FOR RESPONSIBLE DEVELOPMENT; DEFENDERS OF
WILDLIFE; COWPASTURE RIVER PRESERVATION ASSOCIATION;
CONGAREE RIVERKEEPER; THE CLINCH COALITION; CLEANAIRE NC,
f/k/a CLEAN AIR CAROLINA; CAPE FEAR RIVER WATCH; ALLIANCE FOR
THE SHENANDOAH VALLEY; ALABAMA RIVERS ALLIANCE,
Plaintiffs – Appellants,
v.
COUNCIL ON ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY; BRENDA MALLORY, in her
official capacity as Chair of the Council on Environmental Quality,
Defendants – Appellees,
and
AMERICAN FARM BUREAU FEDERATION; AMERICAN PETROLEUM
INSTITUTE; AMERICAN ROAD AND TRANSPORTATION BUILDERS
ASSOCIATION; CHAMBER OF COMMERCE OF THE UNITED STATES OF
AMERICA,
Intervenors/Defendants – Appellees,
and
AMERICAN FUEL AND PETROCHEMICAL MANUFACTURERS; FEDERAL
FOREST RESOURCE COUNCIL; AMERICAN FOREST RESOURCE
COUNCIL; INTERSTATE NATURAL GAS ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA;
NATIONAL CATTLEMEN’S BEEF ASSOCIATION,
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Intervenors/Defendants.
------------------------------
AMMD PINE GROVE PROJECT; IOWA CITIZENS FOR COMMUNITY
IMPROVEMENT; ANIMAL LEGAL DEFENSE FUND; INSTITUTE FOR
AGRICULTURE AND TRADE POLICY; WATERKEEPERS ALLIANCE, INC.;
WATERKEEPERS CHESAPEAKE, INC.; HUMANE SOCIETY OF THE
UNITED STATES,
Amici Supporting Appellants.
Appeal from the United States District Court for the Western District of Virginia, at
Charlottesville. James P. Jones, Senior District Judge. (3:20-cv-00045-JPJ-PMS)
Argued: October 26, 2022 Decided: December 22, 2022
Before AGEE and WYNN, Circuit Judges, and MOTZ, Senior Circuit Judge.
Affirmed by published opinion. Judge Wynn wrote the opinion, in which Judge Agee and
Senior Judge Motz joined.
ARGUED: Kimberley Hunter, SOUTHERN ENVIRONMENTAL LAW CENTER,
Chapel Hill, North Carolina, for Appellants. Allen M. Brabender, UNITED STATES
DEPARTMENT OF JUSTICE, Washington, D.C., for Appellees. Michael B. Kimberly,
MCDERMOTT, WILL & EMERY, LLP, Washington, D.C., for Intervenor. ON BRIEF:
Sam Evans, Nicholas S. Torrey, Megan Kimball, Alex Hardee, SOUTHERN
ENVIRONMENTAL LAW CENTER, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, for Appellants. Jean
Williams, Deputy Assistant Attorney General, Clare Boronow, Gregory M. Cumming,
Environment and Natural Resources Division, UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF
JUSTICE, Washington, D.C.; Justin Pidot, General Counsel, Amy Beth Coyle, Deputy
General Counsel, COUNCIL ON ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY, Washington, D.C., for
Appellees Council on Environmental Quality and Brenda Mallory. Tara S. Morrissey,
Tyler S. Badgley, UNITED STATES CHAMBER LITIGATION CENTER, Washington,
D.C., for Appellee Chamber of Commerce of the United States of America. Charles
Seidell, MCDERMOTT WILL & EMERY LLP, Washington, D.C., for Intervenors-
Defendants-Appellees. Nick Goldstein, AMERICAN ROAD & TRANSPORTATION
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BUILDERS ASSOCIATION, Washington, D.C., for Appellee American Road &
Transportation Builders Association. Ellen Steen, Travis Cushman, AMERICAN FARM
BUREAU FEDERATION, Washington, D.C., for Appellee American Farm Bureau
Federation. Wyatt G. Sassman, UNIVERSITY OF DENVER ENVIRONMENTAL LAW
CLINIC, Denver, Colorado, for Amici Iowa Citizens for Community Improvement, et al.
Cale Jaffe, Environmental Law and Community Engagement Clinic, UNIVERSITY OF
VIRGINIA SCHOOL OF LAW, Charlottesville, Virginia, for Amicus The AMMD Pine
Grove Project.
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WYNN, Circuit Judge:
Plaintiffs, a group of seventeen environmental organizations, sued the Council on
Environmental Quality in July 2020 related to the Trump Administration’s promulgation
of a final rule that affected how federal agencies would conduct reviews under the National
Environmental Policy Act.
The wisdom of those policy changes is not before us. As a matter of fact, we have
no license to consider the merits of the challenge to the rulemaking. The only question
before us is whether the district court had jurisdiction to consider this particular challenge,
as Plaintiffs have chosen to frame it, at this stage. We agree with the district court that it
did not.
I.
A.
In 1969, Congress passed the National Environmental Policy Act (“NEPA”) in
recognition of “the profound impact of man’s activity on the interrelations of all
components of the natural environment” and with the goals of “declar[ing] a national policy
which will encourage productive and enjoyable harmony between man and his
environment,” “promot[ing] efforts which will prevent or eliminate damage to the
environment and biosphere and stimulate the health and welfare of man,” and “enrich[ing]
the understanding of the ecological systems and natural resources important to the Nation.”
42 U.S.C. §§ 4321, 4331(a). Considering those principles, Congress asserted that “it is the
continuing responsibility of the Federal Government to use all practicable means,
consistent with other essential considerations of national policy, to improve and coordinate
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Federal plans, functions, programs, and resources to the end that the Nation may” properly
balance environmental, health, historic, economic, and other concerns. Id. § 4331(b).
Unlike other environmental statutes of the era, however, NEPA does not contain
substantive environmental requirements or direct particular outcomes. Rather, the heart of
NEPA is a procedural requirement that “all agencies of the Federal Government” must
include a “detailed” environmental impact statement “in every recommendation or report
on proposals for legislation and other major Federal actions significantly affecting the
quality of the human environment.” Id. § 4332(2)(C). These environmental impact
statements serve as “democratic decisionmaking tool[s]” that provide information to both
the agencies undertaking them and the general public. N.C. Wildlife Fed’n v. N.C. Dep’t of
Transp., 677 F.3d 596, 603 (4th Cir. 2012) (quoting Or. Nat. Desert Ass’n v. Bureau of
Land Mgmt., 625 F.3d 1092, 1121 n.24 (9th Cir. 2010)). “The informational role of an
[environmental impact statement] is to give the public the assurance that the agency has
indeed considered environmental concerns in its decisionmaking process, and, perhaps
more significantly, provide a springboard for public comment in the agency
decisionmaking process itself.” Dep’t of Transp. v. Pub. Citizen, 541 U.S. 752, 768 (2004)
(internal quotation marks, alterations, and citation omitted).
To further these goals, NEPA established the Council on Environmental Quality
(“CEQ”) within the Executive Office of the President. 42 U.S.C. § 4342. CEQ has the
authority to promulgate regulations implementing NEPA. See 40 C.F.R. § 1500.1(b) (citing
42 U.S.C. § 4332(2)). Other agencies—those that will actually be undertaking NEPA
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reviews related to proposed federal actions—then promulgate their own regulations,
consistent with CEQ’s. See 40 C.F.R. § 1507.1, .3.
Before 2020, CEQ’s NEPA regulations had remained virtually unchanged since
1978. Wild Va. v. Council on Env’t Quality, No. 3:20CV00045, 2020 WL 5494519, at *2
(W.D. Va. Sept. 11, 2020) (noting two “relatively minor” amendments); see National
Environmental Policy Act—Regulations, 43 Fed. Reg. 55978 (Nov. 29, 1978); Update to
the Regulations Implementing the Procedural Provisions of the National Environmental
Policy Act, 85 Fed. Reg. 43304, 43304 (July 16, 2020) (“CEQ has not comprehensively
updated its regulations since their promulgation in 1978, more than four decades ago.”).
In August 2017, President Trump issued Executive Order 13807, instructing CEQ
to provide ways “to enhance and modernize the Federal environmental review and
authorization process.” Exec. Order No. 13807, 82 Fed. Reg. 40463, 40467 (Aug. 15,
2017). The following year, CEQ published an advance notice of proposed rulemaking,
seeking public input on potential changes to the NEPA rules. Update to the Regulations for
Implementing the Procedural Provisions of the National Environmental Policy Act, 83 Fed.
Reg. 28591 (June 20, 2018). CEQ received more than 12,500 comments related to this
notice. See Rulemaking Docket: Update to the Regulations for Implementing the
Procedural Provisions of the National Environmental Policy Act, Council on Env’t
Quality, https://www.regulations.gov/docket/CEQ-2018-0001/comments (last visited Dec.
14, 2022) (saved as ECF opinion attachment).
In January 2020, CEQ published a notice of proposed rulemaking laying out
significant proposed changes to the NEPA regulations. Update to the Regulations
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Implementing the Procedural Provisions of the National Environmental Policy Act, 85 Fed.
Reg. 1684 (Jan. 10, 2020). For example, CEQ proposed to eliminate the requirement that
cumulative effects be considered in NEPA analyses, id. at 1729; to set new time and page
limits on environmental impact statements, id. at 1699–1700; to remove loans and loan
guarantees from the definition of “major Federal action,” thus excluding them from NEPA
review, id. at 1709; to set stricter requirements for public comments on environmental
impact statements, id. at 1703–04; and to establish that the CEQ regulations set a ceiling
for NEPA reviews, such that other agencies were not to “impose additional procedures or
requirements” for such reviews, id. at 1706. CEQ received more than 1.1 million comments
on the proposed rulemaking. See Proposed Rule: Update to the Regulations Implementing
the Procedural Provisions of the National Environmental Policy Act, Council on Env’t
Quality, https://www.regulations.gov/document/CEQ-2019-0003-0001 (last visited Dec.
14, 2022) (saved as ECF opinion attachment). “Many commenters were opposed to CEQ’s
rulemaking for a variety of reasons[.]” Update to the Regulations Implementing the
Procedural Provisions of the National Environmental Policy Act: Final Rule Response to
Comments, Council on Env’t Quality (June 30, 2020) (available at J.A. 1210). 1
On July 16, 2020, CEQ promulgated the final rule updating the NEPA regulations,
which closely mirrored the proposed rule (“2020 Rule”). 85 Fed. Reg. 43304. It adopted
each of the proposals noted above. See id. at 43314, 43324 (time and page limits), 43333
(comments), 43340 (ceiling), 43343 (cumulative effects), 43348 (loan guarantees). The
1
Citations to the “J.A.” refer to the Joint Appendix filed by the parties in this appeal.
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rule set an effective date of September 14, 2020, and applied “to any NEPA process begun
after” that date. Id. at 43372 (codified at 40 C.F.R. § 1506.13). It also provided that
agencies could opt to apply the 2020 Rule “to ongoing activities and
environmental documents begun before September 14, 2020.” Id. at 43372–73 (codified at
40 C.F.R. § 1506.13) (emphasis added). The 2020 Rule further directed each federal
agency to “develop or revise, as necessary, proposed procedures to implement the
regulations in this subchapter, including to eliminate any inconsistencies with the
regulations in this subchapter,” within one year of the Rule’s effective date. Id. at 43373
(codified at 40 C.F.R. § 1507.3).
B.
Plaintiffs filed their complaint on July 29, 2020—shortly after the final rule was
promulgated, and several weeks before it took effect. They brought ten claims against
CEQ: nine claims of Administrative Procedure Act violations in the rulemaking process,
and one allegation that some changes to the rule fell outside CEQ’s rulemaking authority.
They requested that the court vacate and set aside the 2020 Rule and reinstate the previous
version of the rule.
Plaintiffs’ complaint raised concerns with numerous aspects of the 2020 Rule. For
example, they alleged that the rule would exempt some categories of activities from NEPA
review entirely, such as Concentrated Animal Feeding Operations, which would be
excluded because the 2020 Rule no longer required review “where the trigger for NEPA
compliance is federal loan and loan guarantees.” J.A. 170. They pointed to changes that
they were concerned would weaken NEPA environmental review, such as that the 2020
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Rule altered “the threshold for what is considered a major federal action requiring
preparation of an [environmental impact statement]” and the requirements for reviewing
alternatives; eliminated the requirement to consider cumulative effects, as well as the
distinction between direct and indirect effects; created “strict causation requirements for
limiting which environmental effects may be considered”; and allowed agencies to rely on
old scientific and technical research in their analyses. J.A. 171. They objected to the 2020
Rule’s allowance for permit applicants “to expend resources before beginning the NEPA
process, despite the well-documented evidence that the NEPA process is significantly more
effective the earlier it begins.” J.A. 173. Finally, they alleged that the 2020 Rule “places
demanding requirements on the specificity of comments from the public” and “imposes
arbitrary time and page limits that agencies must meet.” Id. They further noted that the new
comment requirements included an exhaustion requirement, that is, that “[c]omments and
objections of any kind not provided within the comment period(s) shall be considered
unexhausted and forfeited.” 40 C.F.R. § 1503.3(b).
Shortly after filing their complaint, Plaintiffs moved for a preliminary injunction,
attaching fifty-one declarations in support of their motion and one more attached to their
reply brief. The declarations were provided by a variety of stakeholders, including
executive directors of Plaintiffs’ organizations, lawyers, scientists, a medical doctor,
community organizers, and small business owners. Each followed more or less the same
pattern: they explained their interest in the local environment and how they are involved in
advocating for it, including, in many instances, previously relying on NEPA reviews; they
noted their specific concerns about the 2020 Rule; and they explained how they expected
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the 2020 Rule would lead to harmful environmental effects and how those effects would
impact their recreational, aesthetic, health-related, and economic interests.
CEQ and a number of industry groups that the district court permitted to intervene
as defendants moved to dismiss the complaint for lack of jurisdiction. After holding a
hearing, the district court denied the motion for a preliminary injunction a few days before
the 2020 Rule took effect. Wild Va., 2020 WL 5494519, at *1. Soon thereafter, the court
denied the motions to dismiss with little explanation. The parties then cross-moved for
summary judgment. Plaintiffs attached one more declaration to their motion for summary
judgment, for a total of fifty-three declarations.
On the day he was sworn into office, President Biden issued an Executive Order
revoking Executive Order 13807 and ordering “all executive departments and agencies . . .
to immediately review and, as appropriate and consistent with applicable law, take action
to address the promulgation of Federal regulations and other actions during the last 4 years”
that, in the Biden Administration’s view, conflicted with federal environmental-policy
goals. Exec. Order No. 13990, 86 Fed. Reg. 7037, 7037 (Jan. 20, 2021); see id. at 7042.
On the same date, the White House issued a “Fact Sheet” specifically listing the 2020 Rule
as an agency action that was to be reviewed in accordance with Executive Order 13990.
Fact Sheet: List of Agency Actions for Review, White House (Jan. 20, 2021),
https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2021/01/20/fact-sheet-
list-of-agency-actions-for-review/ (saved as ECF opinion attachment).
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CEQ thus ceased defending the merits of the 2020 Rule in court, at least while it
reconsidered the Rule. 2 In a declaration filed in the district court in March 2021, a member
of CEQ stated that the Biden Administration had “substantial concerns about the effects of
the 2020 Rule on public health, the nation’s land, water, and air quality, communities that
have been historically marginalized and overburdened by pollution, the ability of citizens
to have their voices heard in federal decision-making processes, and other issues, including
the process by which the 2020 Rule was promulgated and the lawfulness of aspects of the
2020 Rule.” J.A. 824.
Considering CEQ’s change of heart regarding the 2020 Rule, CEQ moved to stay
the case for sixty days to allow the new administration time to review the action, or to
remand the matter to the agency without vacating the rule. Plaintiffs opposed both motions,
and both were unsuccessful. 3 And, whatever CEQ thought about the 2020 Rule on the
merits, it continued to argue that the court lacked jurisdiction based on standing and
ripeness.
2
The industry-group intervenors continued to defend the 2020 Rule on the merits.
3
By contrast, in every other similar challenge of which we are aware, the plaintiffs
consented to CEQ’s request for a stay, and the case has been stayed in the district court
since February 2021. See Stay Order, Env’t Just. Health All. v. Council on Env’t Quality,
No. 1:20-cv-06143-JLR (S.D.N.Y. Feb. 16, 2021); Stay Order, California v. Council on
Env’t Quality, No. 3:20-cv-06057-RS (N.D. Cal. Feb. 12, 2021); Stay Order, Alaska Cmty.
Action on Toxics v. Council on Env’t Quality, No. 3:20-cv-05199-RS (N.D. Cal. Feb. 12,
2021); Stay Order, Iowa Citizens for Cmty. Improvement v. Council on Env’t Quality, No.
1:20-cv-02715-TJK (D.D.C. Feb. 9, 2021); see also National Environmental Policy Act
Implementing Regulations Revisions, 86 Fed. Reg. 55757, 55758 & n.13 (Oct. 7, 2021)
(noting these four challenges, plus the instant one).
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In April 2021, the district court held another hearing on the parties’ motions for
summary judgment, after which it dismissed the case without prejudice for lack of
jurisdiction. Wild Va. v. Council on Env’t Quality, 544 F. Supp. 3d 620, 642 (W.D. Va.
2021). The court agreed with CEQ that Plaintiffs lacked standing to challenge the 2020
Rule and that any such challenge was not yet ripe anyway. Id. Plaintiffs timely appealed.
C.
A few days after the district court rendered its decision, CEQ published an interim
final rule to “extend[] the deadline by two years for Federal agencies to develop or revise
proposed procedures for implementing the procedural provisions” of NEPA. Deadline for
Agencies To Propose Updates to National Environmental Policy Act Procedures, 86 Fed.
Reg. 34154, 34154 (June 29, 2021); see 40 C.F.R. § 1507.3(b) (allowing agencies three
years after September 14, 2020, rather than just one year, to propose revisions to their
regulations). In that rulemaking, CEQ represented that it was “engaged in an ongoing and
comprehensive review of the 2020 Rule for consistency with the nation’s environmental,
equity, and economic priorities; to evaluate the process CEQ used in developing the 2020
Rule; and to consider whether the 2020 Rule properly and lawfully interprets and
implements NEPA.” 86 Fed. Reg. at 34155.
CEQ issued a notice of proposed rulemaking on October 7, 2021, proposing some
changes to the 2020 Rule. National Environmental Policy Act Implementing Regulations
Revisions, 86 Fed. Reg. 55757 (Oct. 7, 2021). After receiving nearly 100,000 comments,
CEQ promulgated the final revised rule in April 2022, effective May 20, 2022 (“2022
Rule”). National Environmental Policy Act Implementing Regulations Revisions, 87 Fed.
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Reg. 23453, 23453, 23455 (Apr. 20, 2022). CEQ called the 2022 Rule its “Phase 1
rulemaking,” and represented that it intended to propose additional, “more comprehensive”
revisions in a “Phase 2 rulemaking” shortly. Id. at 23455. In a recent filing in another case,
CEQ indicated that its “present goal is to publish the Phase 2 [notice of proposed
rulemaking] and proposed rule in the Federal Register for public review and comment in
January 2023.” Joint Status Report at 5, California v. Council on Env’t Quality, No. 3:20-
cv-06057-RS (N.D. Cal. Nov. 3, 2022).
The 2022 Rule makes three primary changes to the 2020 Rule. First, it removes
language indicating that the 2020 Rule established a ceiling for NEPA procedures. See 87
Fed. Reg. at 23460–61 (discussing the removal of the ceiling provisions at 40 C.F.R.
§ 1507.3). CEQ represents that the removal of the ceiling language means that, now,
“federal agencies may adopt and implement NEPA procedures that require additional or
more specific analysis than called for by the CEQ regulations.” 28(j) Letter at 1, Wild Va.
v. Council on Env’t Quality, No. 21-1839 (4th Cir. Oct. 12, 2022). Further, the 2022 Rule
advises that “agencies can and should continue to apply their existing NEPA procedures,
consistent with the CEQ regulations in effect, while CEQ completes its review of and
revisions to the 2020 regulations in its Phase 2 rulemaking.” 87 Fed. Reg. at 23461.
Second, the 2022 Rule revises “the requirement [at 40 C.F.R. § 1502.13] for a
purpose and need statement in an environmental impact statement” and “makes a
conforming edit to the definition of ‘reasonable alternatives’ in 40 [C.F.R. §] 1508.1(z).”
Id. at 23453. Finally, the 2022 Rule “revis[es] the definition of ‘effects’ in [40 C.F.R.
§ 1508.1(g)] to include direct, indirect, and cumulative effects.” Id.
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II.
We review a dismissal for lack of jurisdiction de novo. See Ali v. Hogan, 26 F.4th
587, 595 (4th Cir. 2022) (standing); Deal v. Mercer Cnty. Bd. of Educ., 911 F.3d 183, 190
(4th Cir. 2018) (ripeness and mootness).
A.
As a preliminary matter, although the parties and the district court have focused on
standing and ripeness, intervening events—specifically, CEQ’s recent promulgation of the
2022 Rule—raise the potential for mootness. Because mootness implicates our Article III
jurisdiction, we have an obligation to address it sua sponte. Castendet-Lewis v. Sessions,
855 F.3d 253, 260 (4th Cir. 2017).
Plaintiffs’ complaint alleged that the 2020 Rule “eliminate[d] entirely any
requirement to consider the cumulative effects of an action” and “eliminate[d] the
distinction between ‘direct’ and ‘indirect’ effects.” J.A. 171 (citing 85 Fed. Reg. at 43343).
Nearly all of their declarants expressed concerns about these changes.
But the 2022 Rule reverted to precisely the same pre-2020 language as to “direct”
and “indirect” effects. Compare 40 C.F.R. § 1508.8 (2019), with 40 C.F.R. § 1508.1(g)(1)–
(2) (2022). And it adopted substantially the same definition of “cumulative” effects as the
pre-2020 rule. Compare 40 C.F.R. § 1508.7 (2019), with 40 C.F.R. § 1508.1(g)(3) (2022).
It also eliminated language about causation that Plaintiffs objected to in the 2020 Rule.
Compare 40 C.F.R. § 1508.1(g)(2) (2020), with 40 C.F.R. § 1508.1(g) (2022).
Similarly, Plaintiffs’ complaint (and several declarants) expressed concern about “a
new definition of ‘reasonable alternatives’ that prioritizes the goals of the applicant over
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the public interest.” J.A. 172. But again, the 2022 Rule has removed the disputed language.
Compare 40 C.F.R. § 1508.1(z) (2020), with 40 C.F.R. § 1508.1(z) (2022). In light of these
changes, Plaintiffs agreed at oral argument that some parts of their challenge were moot,
because they had received the relief they sought. We conclude that Plaintiffs’ challenges
to the 2020 Rule regarding direct, indirect, and cumulative effects, and reasonable
alternatives to the extent they were to prioritize the goals of the applicant, are moot in light
of the 2022 Rule.
We also asked the parties whether we should hold the remainder of the case in
abeyance pending CEQ’s Phase 2 rulemaking, since Phase 2 could moot additional aspects
of this case. But Plaintiffs urged us not to do so, because they contend that they continue
to be harmed by the 2020 Rule while CEQ engages in a lengthy rulemaking process that
may not give them all the relief they seek. Accordingly, we proceed to consider Plaintiffs’
appeal.
B.
The district court dismissed Plaintiffs’ claims on ripeness and standing grounds.
Wild Va., 544 F. Supp. 3d at 642. We affirm, primarily on the basis that the claims are not
ripe.
“The doctrine of ripeness arises from the case or controversy requirement of Article
III.” Whitaker v. Monroe Staffing Servs., LLC, 42 F.4th 200, 206 (4th Cir. 2022). For that
reason, it “presents the threshold question whether a claim is justiciable.” Id. “The plaintiff
bears the burden of establishing ripeness.” Id. Thus, while we have a burden to address
Article III jurisdiction sua sponte, the burden remains on Plaintiffs to demonstrate that the
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claim is ripe. Cf. Renne v. Geary, 501 U.S. 312, 316 (1991) (“We presume that federal
courts lack jurisdiction unless the contrary appears affirmatively from the record. It is the
responsibility of the complainant clearly to allege facts demonstrating that he is a proper
party to invoke judicial resolution of the dispute and the exercise of the court’s remedial
powers.” (citation and internal quotation marks omitted)). And where Plaintiffs have failed
to raise an argument in their opening brief, they have waived it. Grayson O Co. v. Agadir
Int’l LLC, 856 F.3d 307, 316 (4th Cir. 2017).
While standing involves “the question[] of who may sue,” ripeness involves “when
they [may] sue.” South Carolina v. United States, 912 F.3d 720, 730 (4th Cir. 2019)
(emphases added) (quoting Miller v. Brown, 462 F.3d 312, 319 (4th Cir. 2006)). Of course,
“in practice[,] there is an obvious overlap between” these two questions. Id. (quoting
Miller, 462 F.3d at 319); see also, e.g., Trump v. New York, 141 S. Ct. 530, 535 (2020) (per
curiam); Cooksey v. Futrell, 721 F.3d 226, 240 (4th Cir. 2013).
However, the two doctrines differ in terms of the evidence we may consider to
answer those questions. When evaluating standing, we must look to the facts at the time
the complaint was filed. E.g., Netro v. Greater Balt. Med. Ctr., Inc., 891 F.3d 522, 526 (4th
Cir. 2018). But “because ‘ripeness is peculiarly a question of timing,’ we may look to
factual developments that occurred after the complaint was filed to determine whether [the
plaintiff]’s claims were ripe for review at the time of the district court’s judgment.” 4
4
As some of our sister circuits have recognized, this principle “is in seeming tension
with the venerable rule that ‘the jurisdiction of the [c]ourt depends upon the state of things
at the time of the action brought.’” DM Arbor Ct., Ltd. v. City of Houston, 988 F.3d 215,
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Whitaker, 42 F.4th at 208 (quoting Blanchette v. Conn. Gen. Ins. Corps. (Regional Rail
Reorganization Act Cases), 419 U.S. 102, 140 (1974)); see also Deal, 911 F.3d at 187, 191
(contrasting standing with mootness and ripeness on this point). So we must determine
whether Plaintiffs had shown that their claims were ripe by the time of the district court’s
decision in June 2021, or if not, whether they have pointed to subsequent factual
developments that justify remanding the case for further factfinding related to ripeness.
E.g., Grimm v. Gloucester Cnty. Sch. Bd., 869 F.3d 286, 290–91 (4th Cir. 2017) (remanding
for jurisdictional discovery related to mootness); Am. Humanist Ass’n v. Greenville Cnty.
Sch. Dist., 652 F. App’x 224, 230 (4th Cir. 2016) (unpublished but orally argued)
219 (5th Cir. 2021) (quoting Mollan v. Torrance, 22 U.S. (9 Wheat.) 537, 539 (1824)); see
Progressive Mountain Ins. Co. v. Middlebrooks, 805 F. App’x 731, 734–36 (11th Cir.
2020) (per curiam). Some courts have sought to reconcile these principles by suggesting
that the case law upholding the ability for cases to ripen after the complaint is filed is
grounded in prudential, rather than constitutional, ripeness. E.g., DM Arbor Ct., 988 F.3d
at 220. But others, including this Court, have continued to allow cases to ripen after filing,
even when the matter is framed in constitutional terms. E.g., Whitaker, 42 F.4th at 206,
208–09; Church of Our Lord & Savior Jesus Christ v. City of Markham, 913 F.3d 670,
676–77 & n.6 (7th Cir. 2019). Wright and Miller’s authoritative treatise states the same.
13B Charles Alan Wright, Arthur R. Miller, & Edward H. Cooper, Federal Practice and
Procedure § 3532.7 (3d ed. 2008 & Supp. 2022) (“Ripeness should be decided on the basis
of all the information available to the court. Intervening events that occur after decision in
lower courts should be included, just as must be done with questions of mootness.”
(footnotes omitted)). Accordingly, we follow our precedent in this case. We note, however,
that in practice, a plaintiff pursuing a claim that is unripe at the time of filing may well
have difficulty establishing standing, which is evaluated based on the facts at the time of
filing. Anticipated future injury can support standing, but only when it is “certainly
impending” or at least poses a “substantial risk”—it must not be “too speculative” or “rel[y]
on a highly attenuated chain of possibilities.” Clapper v. Amnesty Int’l USA, 568 U.S. 398,
401, 410, 414 n.5 (2013); see Susan B. Anthony List v. Driehaus, 573 U.S. 149, 158 (2014);
cf. South Carolina, 912 F.3d at 730.
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(remanding “for jurisdictional discovery” related to standing (citing Nat. Res. Def. Council
v. Pena, 147 F.3d 1012, 1024 (D.C. Cir. 1998))).
“A claim should be dismissed as unripe if the plaintiff has not yet suffered injury
and any future impact ‘remains wholly speculative.’” Doe v. Va. Dep’t of State Police, 713
F.3d 745, 758 (4th Cir. 2013) (quoting Gasner v. Bd. of Supervisors, 103 F.3d 351, 361
(4th Cir. 1996)). “A case is fit for judicial decision when the issues are purely legal and
when the action in controversy is final and not dependent on future uncertainties.” Id.
(quoting Miller, 462 F.3d at 319); see South Carolina, 912 F.3d at 730 (“[A] plaintiff’s
claim is not ripe for judicial review ‘if it rests upon contingent future events that may not
occur as anticipated, or indeed may not occur at all.’” (quoting Scoggins v. Lee’s Crossing
Homeowners Ass’n, 718 F.3d 262, 270 (4th Cir. 2013))); accord Trump, 141 S. Ct. at 535.
And “[w]here an injury is contingent upon a decision to be made by a third party that has
not yet acted, it is not ripe as the subject of decision in a federal court.” Doe, 713 F.3d at
758.
“In reviewing a ripeness claim, we consider (1) the fitness of the issues for judicial
decision and (2) the hardship to the parties of withholding court consideration.” Deal, 911
F.3d at 191 (internal quotation marks omitted); see also Ohio Forestry Ass’n v. Sierra Club,
523 U.S. 726, 733 (1998) (describing the considerations as “(1) whether delayed review
would cause hardship to the plaintiffs; (2) whether judicial intervention would
inappropriately interfere with further administrative action; and (3) whether the courts
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would benefit from further factual development of the issues presented”). 5 At bottom, “the
purpose of the ripeness doctrine is ‘to prevent the courts, through avoidance of premature
adjudication, from entangling themselves in abstract disagreements over administrative
policies, and also to protect the agencies from judicial interference until an administrative
decision has been formalized and its effects felt in a concrete way by the challenging
parties.’” South Carolina, 912 F.3d at 730 (quoting Abbott Laboratories v. Gardner, 387
U.S. 136, 148–49 (1967), abrogated on other grounds by Califano v. Sanders, 430 U.S. 99
(1977)).
As noted, Plaintiffs attached fifty-three declarations from their members to various
filings below in an effort to establish standing and ripeness. All but one were filed before
the 2020 Rule took effect. To be sure, ripeness can rest on anticipated future injury. But as
discussed, the future injury cannot be wholly speculative or “rest[] upon contingent future
events that may not occur as anticipated, or indeed may not occur at all.” South Carolina,
912 F.3d at 730 (internal quotation marks omitted); see Doe, 713 F.3d at 758.
Having thoroughly reviewed the declarations Plaintiffs provided to support their
claims, we separate their alleged injuries into four categories. Plaintiffs claim that the 2020
Rule will (1) create problems with NEPA analyses, (2) pose obstacles for them to comment
on NEPA analyses or otherwise participate in agency decisionmaking, (3) make it more
5
The Supreme Court has since labeled these factors as “‘prudential ripeness’
factors” and questioned “the continuing vitality of the prudential ripeness doctrine.” Susan
B. Anthony List, 573 U.S. at 167. Nevertheless, both this Court and the Supreme Court have
continued to apply them. E.g., Am. Fed’n of Gov’t Emps. v. Off. of Special Couns., 1 F.4th
180, 188 (4th Cir. 2021); Trump, 141 S. Ct. at 536.
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difficult for them to obtain information about proposed federal actions, and (4) eliminate
some categories of actions from NEPA review altogether. We consider each purported
injury in turn and conclude we lack jurisdiction as to all of them.
i.
Plaintiffs’ declarants first alleged numerous concerns with how NEPA analyses will
be conducted under the 2020 Rule. They expressed fears that agencies might no longer
properly consider reasonable alternatives to the proposed federal action, and Plaintiffs
contend that not all such fears have been mooted by the 2022 Rule. They noted a concern
with agencies no longer being required to gather new data or otherwise consider up-to-date
data, fearing that this will lead to uninformed decisionmaking. They articulated fears that
agencies will move forward with projects before the NEPA analysis is complete, or will
allow companies to do so. They worried that agencies will no longer consider a variety of
factors, including climate change, environmental justice, the intensity of a project’s impact,
and the impact of timber sales on the community and local economy. 6 Plaintiffs’ comments
on the 2020 proposed rule also expressed concern about changes to the understanding of
“whether the effects of a proposed action are ‘significant.’” J.A. 1078. And, in general,
6
Some of these factor-related concerns may have been mooted by the 2022 Rule.
For example, climate change has often been addressed through the consideration of indirect
and cumulative effects. E.g., David R. Wooley & Elizabeth M. Morss, Clean Air Act
Handbook: A Practical Guide to Compliance § 10:33 (32d ed. 2022) (noting that the 2022
Rule’s return to requiring the consideration of direct, indirect, and cumulative effects was
“expected to . . . facilitate assessment of climate change and other impacts”). But we need
not rely on mootness because, in any event, the asserted injuries are not ripe.
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numerous declarants were afraid that NEPA reviews would be less robust, including as to
specific pending projects.
The problem for Plaintiffs is that injuries that are “contingent upon a decision to be
made by a third party that has not yet acted” are not ripe. Doe, 713 F.3d at 758. CEQ’s
regulations provide rules for other agencies, but it is those other agencies that will actually
take actions subject to NEPA reviews. So to the extent Plaintiffs express fears related to
how other agencies will conduct their NEPA reviews of potential future actions after the
2020 Rule, those fears have not yet ripened into actionable injuries. 7 That is particularly so
now that the 2022 Rule has removed the 2020 Rule’s ceiling provision; CEQ has extended
the deadline for other agencies to promulgate rules pursuant to the 2020 Rule until
September 2023; and CEQ has advised other agencies that they “can and should continue
to apply their existing NEPA procedures, consistent with the CEQ regulations in effect,”
during the Phase 2 rulemaking process. 87 Fed. Reg. at 23461; cf. Trump, 141 S. Ct. at 536
(“Letting the Executive Branch’s decisionmaking process run its course not only brings
more manageable proportions to the scope of the parties’ dispute, but also ensures that we
act as judges, and do not engage in policymaking properly left to elected representatives.
And in the meantime the plaintiffs suffer no concrete harm from the challenged policy
7
For the first time in their reply brief, Plaintiffs point to several ongoing projects
that are using the 2020 Rule, some of which occurred before they filed their opening brief,
and some of which had not yet led to final agency actions when they filed their reply brief.
To the extent the agencies issued final agency actions while briefing was under way in this
Court, such that Plaintiffs could properly raise them for the first time in their reply brief,
Plaintiffs only glancingly suggest how they were harmed by those actions. We thus deem
those arguments waived. Grayson O, 856 F.3d at 316 (parties must develop arguments, not
merely take “passing shot[s]” at them).
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itself, which does not require them to do anything or to refrain from doing anything.”
(internal quotation marks and citations omitted)).
The Supreme Court’s decision in Ohio Forestry Ass’n v. Sierra Club is instructive.
In that case, the plaintiff challenged a federal land and resource management plan adopted
by the United States Forest Service. Ohio Forestry Ass’n, 523 U.S. at 728. The plan was a
necessary, but not sufficient, step for actual logging to occur; “in its absence logging could
not take place,” but “[the plan did] not itself authorize the cutting of any trees,” and a
number of further steps were required before logging could take place. Id. at 729–30. The
Supreme Court held that the plaintiff’s claim was not yet ripe.
The Court noted that “the provisions of the Plan that the [plaintiff] challenges . . .
do not command anyone to do anything or to refrain from doing anything; they do not
grant, withhold, or modify any formal legal license, power, or authority; they do not subject
anyone to any civil or criminal liability; they create no legal rights or obligations.” Id. at
733. In sum, “the Plan does not give anyone a legal right to cut trees, nor does it abolish
anyone’s legal authority to object to trees being cut.” Id. Because there were many steps
that would need to occur between the adoption of the Plan and any actual environmental
harm, the plaintiff would “have ample opportunity later to bring its legal challenge at a
time when harm [was] more imminent and more certain.” Id. at 734. And “[a]ny such later
challenge might also include a challenge to the lawfulness of the present Plan if (but only
if) the present Plan then matters, i.e., if the Plan plays a causal role with respect to the
future, then-imminent, harm from logging.” Id. The Court also noted that, under the statute
at issue in Ohio Forestry, “Congress has not provided for preimplementation judicial
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review of forest plans,” which made those plans “unlike agency rules that Congress has
specifically instructed the courts to review ‘preenforcement.’” Id. at 737.
The same principles apply here. Plaintiffs are ultimately concerned with the
environmental effects of decisions that other agencies might make in conducting their
NEPA analyses under CEQ’s 2020 Rule. 8 But there are many steps to occur between the
promulgation of the 2020 Rule and any such ultimate environmental harm, including, most
importantly, that other agencies will need to actually engage in NEPA reviews (or decline
to do so) as to particular projects. And, just as in Ohio Forestry, “Congress has not provided
for preimplementation judicial review of” NEPA regulations. Id.; see Wild Va., 544 F.
Supp. 3d at 635. Plaintiffs can bring a challenge to later agency actions—and, if relevant,
to the underlying 2020 Rule—“at a time when harm is more imminent and more certain.”
Ohio Forestry Ass’n, 523 U.S. at 734; see Wild Va., 544 F. Supp. 3d at 635 (noting that
“[c]ourts have often reviewed challenges to an agency’s failure to prepare an
[environmental impact statement] and other [as-applied] claims seeking to compel an
agency to fully comply with its NEPA obligations,” and collecting cases); cf. Toilet Goods
Ass’n v. Gardner, 387 U.S. 158, 164 (1967) (“We believe that judicial appraisal . . . is
likely to stand on a much surer footing in the context of a specific application of this
8
Plaintiffs contend that they are also harmed by their alleged deprivation of NEPA
procedural rights. “But deprivation of a procedural right without some concrete interest
that is affected by the deprivation—a procedural right in vacuo—is insufficient to create
Article III standing.” Summers v. Earth Island Inst., 555 U.S. 488, 496 (2009). So we look
to the concrete interests they assert to be harmed by the procedural changes.
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regulation than could be the case in the framework of the generalized challenge made
here.”).
We note that Ohio Forestry contains a sentence about which the parties have had
much disagreement. In dicta, the Supreme Court wrote that “a person with standing who is
injured by a failure to comply with the NEPA procedure may complain of that failure at
the time the failure takes place, for the claim can never get riper.” Ohio Forestry Ass’n,
523 U.S. at 737. But in citing “NEPA procedure,” the Supreme Court was specifically
referring to “an environmental impact statement prepared pursuant to NEPA” and stating
that a challenge to an improperly prepared environmental impact statement would be ripe.
Id.; e.g., Ouachita Watch League v. Jacobs, 463 F.3d 1163, 1167, 1174–75 (11th Cir. 2006)
(applying Ohio Forestry and concluding that challenges to several environmental impact
statements were ripe). That is not the challenge Plaintiffs bring here. So, even if we assume
(without deciding) that Plaintiffs are entities “with standing,” the Ohio Forestry dicta
provides no assistance to Plaintiffs in this case. See Wild Va., 544 F. Supp. 3d at 634–35.
Indeed, this case is several steps removed from the type of specific agency action
related to a specific project seemingly contemplated by Ohio Forestry’s statement. See
Nulankeyutmonen Nkihtaqmikon v. Impson, 503 F.3d 18, 32 (1st Cir. 2007) (applying Ohio
Forestry to find a challenge ripe as to approval of lease of tribal land); Wyo. Outdoor
Council v. U.S. Forest Serv., 165 F.3d 43, 45, 49–51 (D.C. Cir. 1999) (applying Ohio
Forestry to approval of lease of National Forest land and finding challenge ripe as to
violations of the agency’s own regulations, while concluding NEPA challenge was unripe
because the plaintiff “brought its NEPA action before any leases had actually been
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issued”); Ctr. for Biological Diversity v. U.S. Dep’t of the Interior, 563 F.3d 466, 481 (D.C.
Cir. 2009) (noting that Ohio Forestry does “not resolv[e] the point at which . . . a violation
would occur”).
And while some sister circuits have broadened Ohio Forestry’s reference to “the
NEPA procedure” to include facial challenges to a categorical exclusion promulgated by
the Forest Service, see Heartwood, Inc. v. U.S. Forest Serv., 230 F.3d 947, 949, 952–53
(7th Cir. 2000), to a Forest Plan Amendment, see Sierra Forest Legacy v. Sherman, 646
F.3d 1161, 1168 (9th Cir. 2011) (per curiam); id. at 1179 n.2 (Fisher, J., separate opinion
representing the opinion of the Court on this issue), or to an agency’s “fail[ure] to comply
with the procedural requirements of the [Endangered Species Act] when [the agency]
declined to reinitiate consultation [with another agency],” Cottonwood Env’t L. Ctr. v. U.S.
Forest Serv., 789 F.3d 1075, 1084 (9th Cir. 2015), we do not have even that level of
specificity here. The promulgation of a categorical exclusion or forest plan by the agency
that will enforce it, or the failure of an agency to consult with another agency on a particular
matter, is a much more definitive action than the promulgation of floor-setting principles
that will guide future NEPA analyses to be performed by other agencies. Cf. Lujan v. Nat’l
Wildlife Fed’n, 497 U.S. 871, 891 (1990) (“[A] regulation is not ordinarily considered the
type of agency action ‘ripe’ for judicial review under the [Administrative Procedure Act]
until the scope of the controversy has been reduced to more manageable proportions, and
its factual components fleshed out, by some concrete action applying the regulation to the
claimant’s situation in a fashion that harms or threatens to harm him.”).
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Accordingly, Plaintiffs’ claims related to potential flaws in future NEPA analyses
are unripe.
ii.
Next, Plaintiffs’ declarants raised concerns about their ability to comment on
proposed federal actions or participate in the NEPA process after the 2020 Rule. They
identified the 2020 Rule’s heightened specificity requirements for public comments, which
they alleged could mean their comments would be ignored; that commenting would be less
effective; that they would have to divert resources to hire experts to write comments; or
that they would not be able to afford to do so, precluding them from commenting
altogether. See 40 C.F.R. § 1503.3. They asserted that the 2020 Rule would permit agencies
to hold public hearings online, which they stated would “diminish [their] ability to gather
and be heard,” especially because some households in their areas lacked internet access.
J.A. 574. And they claimed that the 2020 Rule would allow agencies to impose expensive
bonds if a group sought to stay an activity, like a timber sale, pending judicial review of
the agency’s compliance with NEPA, which some declarants asserted would harm them
because they would be forced to divert financial resources to post such bonds. In their
opening brief, Plaintiffs also note that the 2020 Rule “removes the requirement that
agencies respond substantively to all comments,” making this optional instead. Opening
Br. at 31 (citing 40 C.F.R. § 1503.4(a)).
Again, however, we lack jurisdiction to consider these purported injuries. Concerns
about agencies’ choices related to bonds, hearings, and responses to comments are
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speculative until those third parties take such actions or at least demonstrate some imminent
likelihood of doing so. Doe, 713 F.3d at 758. So those challenges are unripe.
As for the 2020 Rule’s heightened specificity requirements for comments on NEPA
actions, we recognize that the 2022 Rule’s removal of the 2020 Rule’s ceiling provision
may not eliminate concerns about those requirements. Agencies have to abide by the CEQ
regulations, see 40 C.F.R. § 1507.1, and the specificity requirements remain in place. 9
Further, those requirements will apply directly to Plaintiffs if and when they submit
comments on proposed agency actions, which they plainly intend to do. So Plaintiffs’
challenges to those requirements might be ripe. See Nat’l Ass’n of Home Builders v. U.S.
Army Corps of Eng’rs, 440 F.3d 459, 464 (D.C. Cir. 2006) (facial challenge to regulation
by regulated party was ripe because “[t]he legality vel non of the two challenged features
[of the regulation] will not change from case to case or become clearer in a concrete
setting”).
We do not resolve the ripeness issue as to Plaintiffs’ comment-based claims,
however, because even assuming those claims are ripe, Plaintiffs lack standing to assert
them. Certainly, a plaintiff has standing where they allege that “but for . . . allegedly
unlawful abridged [notice-and-comment] procedures they would have been able to oppose
[a particular] project that threatened to impinge on their concrete plans to observe nature
in [a] specific area.” Summers v. Earth Island Inst., 555 U.S. 488, 497 (2009). But the
9
We note, however, that counsel for CEQ represented at oral argument that the
removal of the ceiling provision meant that agencies could promulgate less strict
commenting regimes than the one called for by the 2020 Rule. Whether that is true is a
question for another day.
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concreteness of the affected interest is critical. “[D]eprivation of a procedural right without
some concrete interest that is affected by the deprivation—a procedural right in vacuo—is
insufficient to create Article III standing.” Id. at 496.
Thus, in Summers v. Earth Island Institute, the Supreme Court concluded that the
plaintiffs lacked standing even though they argued that “they ha[d] suffered [a] procedural
injury, namely, that they ha[d] been denied the ability to file comments on some Forest
Service actions and [would] continue to be so denied.” Id.; accord Int’l Brotherhood of
Teamsters v. Transp. Sec. Admin., 429 F.3d 1130, 1135 (D.C. Cir. 2005) (“[T]he ‘mere
inability to comment effectively or fully, in and of itself, does not establish an actual
injury.’” (quoting United States v. AVX Corp., 962 F.2d 108, 119 (1st Cir. 1992))). To
establish standing, Plaintiffs would have to point to a specific project as to which the new
commenting rules impacted their interests. But they failed to do so. Plaintiffs have not
pointed to a single agency action they desired to comment on but were unable to because
of the 2020 Rule, or where they diverted resources in order to prepare comments in
accordance with the 2020 Rule. They thus lack standing to challenge the commenting
requirements based on the present record.
iii.
Third, Plaintiffs contend that under the 2020 Rule, they will face difficulties in
obtaining the information they previously received through NEPA, which will harm their
advocacy efforts and reduce their ability to weigh in on agency actions. Because of this,
Plaintiffs’ declarants stated that they would have to divert resources to gather their own
data, hire experts, file information requests such as through the Freedom of Information
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Act (“FOIA”), or pursue litigation. Some stated that they would not be able to afford to do
these things or expressed fears that there would not be time to obtain the necessary
information through these alternative means within the short comment periods.
The declarants were particularly concerned about FOIA requests, which they stated
can take months or even years to process and can be nonresponsive or include incomplete
or redacted information, requiring further requests and thus creating further delays. As a
precaution against those delays, six declarants noted that they had already filed FOIA
requests in the summer of 2020—before the 2020 Rule took effect and, in one instance,
before Plaintiffs filed the complaint in this case.
These claimed injuries are unripe for the same reasons noted above: they hinge on
future decisions by third parties (other agencies) that may or may not come to pass. Except
where actions have been removed entirely from NEPA review—a matter discussed
below—the degree to which Plaintiffs will or will not receive information through NEPA
will depend on how other agencies interpret and apply CEQ’s regulations and what
implementing regulations those other agencies promulgate. That is, in light of the 2022
Rule’s revocation of the 2020 Rule’s ceiling provisions, each agency will have the
opportunity—with a current September 2023 deadline—to determine what information it
will provide through the NEPA process, with the CEQ regulations providing a floor rather
than a ceiling. In the meantime, the 2022 Rule advises that “agencies can and should
continue to apply their existing NEPA procedures, consistent with the CEQ regulations in
effect, while CEQ completes its review of and revisions to the 2020 [Rule].” 87 Fed. Reg.
at 23461. So which precise information Plaintiffs will not receive is a matter of speculation
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at this point. Cf. Doe v. Pub. Citizen, 749 F.3d 246, 264 (4th Cir. 2014) (noting that
plaintiffs who could show an informational injury for standing purposes normally
“(1) alleged a right of disclosure; (2) petitioned for access to the concealed information;
and (3) were denied the material that they claimed a right to obtain” (emphasis added)).
Even assuming Plaintiffs’ 2020 filing of FOIA requests was enough to ripen this
injury, they run headlong into a separate jurisdictional problem: standing. The Supreme
Court has held that plaintiffs “cannot manufacture standing by choosing to make
expenditures based on hypothetical future harm that is not certainly impending.” Clapper
v. Amnesty Int’l USA, 568 U.S. 398, 402 (2013). In Clapper v. Amnesty International, this
meant that the plaintiffs—“attorneys and human rights, labor, legal, and media
organizations whose work allegedly require[d] them to engage in sensitive and sometimes
privileged telephone and e-mail communications with colleagues, clients, sources, and
other individuals located abroad”—could not challenge the constitutionality of a
surveillance law, even though they strongly suspected that some of their contacts and
clients could be subject to that law and altered their behavior accordingly, such as by flying
abroad to have in-person conversations. Id. at 406; see id. at 402, 407.
So too here. Plaintiffs may fear that they will not receive the information in question,
but they cannot create standing in advance by altering their behavior in reaction to that
fear—here, by filing FOIA requests for information they may well still receive through the
NEPA process. Cf. Elec. Priv. Info. Ctr. v. Presidential Advisory Comm’n on Election
Integrity, 878 F.3d 371, 379 (D.C. Cir. 2017) (no standing where the plaintiffs had filed
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FOIA requests but had not shown that the defendant’s actions caused them to file those
requests).
iv.
Finally, Plaintiffs raise concerns about specific types of projects that may be or will
certainly be categorically excluded from NEPA review. Although their declarants noted a
number of projects they feared would no longer undergo NEPA review, those fears are
speculative and depend on other agencies’ future decisions. They thus are not yet ripe.
On appeal, Plaintiffs have chosen to focus instead primarily on two specific
categories of projects that are definitively exempt from NEPA review after the 2020 Rule
or related rulemaking: Concentrated Animal Feeding Operations (“CAFOs”) and certain
timber harvests.
CAFOs are large-scale livestock operations in which significant numbers of
animals, such as “hog[s] and poultry,” are bred and raised in cramped conditions. J.A. 463.
CAFOs can create air and water pollution for the surrounding area, in addition to other
problems. See J.A. 407, 463, 639–41; McKiver v. Murphy-Brown, LLC, 980 F.3d 937, 977–
84 (4th Cir. 2020) (Wilkinson, J., concurring).
According to Plaintiffs’ declarants, prior to the 2020 Rule, CAFOs’ applications for
federal loan guarantees were subject to NEPA review as “major federal actions.” See J.A.
612 (“Federal loan guarantees have been the primary trigger for NEPA review of
CAFOs.”). But the 2020 Rule provided that federal loan guarantees are no longer to be
considered “major federal actions” and thus are no longer subject to NEPA review. And
while the 2022 Rule eliminated the ceiling provision, agencies still must abide by the 2020
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Rule at least as a floor, which suggests that the 2020 Rule’s elimination of federal loan
guarantees from NEPA review remains valid. 10 Plaintiffs’ declarants expressed concerns
that this regulatory change would spur the development of CAFOs, leading to pollution
that would affect their health, recreational interests, and businesses.
But whether the exemption of those CAFOs that sought federal loan guarantees
from NEPA review will spur the development of CAFOs, and will do so in geographic
areas impacting Plaintiffs’ members, is entirely speculative. Plaintiffs supply no data as to
what percentage of new CAFOs receive such loan guarantees, “and the decision whether
to seek such loan guarantees presumably rests with the nongovernmental third-party
entities who aim to build the CAFOs.” Wild Va., 544 F. Supp. 3d at 638 n.8. Nor do
Plaintiffs point to any evidence that removing the barrier of NEPA review is likely to lead
to a proliferation of CAFOs. So instead, their claim to ripeness must rest on the procedural
and informational injuries associated with the removal of CAFOs from the NEPA process.
Yet administrators for both agencies involved in CAFO-related federal loan
guarantees—the Department of Agriculture’s Farm Service Agency and the Small
Business Administration—submitted declarations before the 2020 Rule’s effective date
asserting that until their agencies finalized new rules, they would “maintain the status quo
and not change the current level of NEPA analysis” applied to CAFOs. J.A. 711. Plaintiffs
note that it is odd for agency officials to submit declarations stating an intent not to follow
10
However, counsel for CEQ represented at oral argument that with the elimination
of the ceiling rule, agencies could continue to perform NEPA reviews for CAFOs,
notwithstanding the 2020 Rule.
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the law. If indeed the agencies are acting in contradiction to binding regulations, they may
be opening themselves up to a lawsuit from a different plaintiff. But the agencies’ decision
to continue to apply the regulations in effect before the 2020 Rule accords with the relief
Plaintiffs seek here. And Plaintiffs have pointed to no evidence that the agencies are not
conducting NEPA reviews related to CAFOs. Accordingly, on the record before us,
Plaintiffs’ challenge is unripe.
That leaves the timber harvests. According to Plaintiffs’ opening brief, two
agencies—the Forest Service and the Bureau of Land Management—have used the 2020
Rule to issue categorical exclusions authorizing timber harvests. Opening Br. at 9 n.3
(citing National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) Compliance, 85 Fed. Reg. 73620,
73632 (Nov. 19, 2020); National Environmental Policy Act Implementing Procedures for
the Bureau of Land Management (516 DM 11), 85 Fed. Reg. 79517, 79518 (Dec. 10,
2020)). But Plaintiffs failed to articulate how imminent any such harvests are or how
regulations that were promulgated in November and December 2020 were likely enough
to have posed even a “substantial risk” of injury so as to have supported standing at the
time they filed their lawsuit in July 2020. Clapper, 568 U.S. at 414 n.5; see Susan B.
Anthony List v. Driehaus, 573 U.S. 149, 158 (2014). They have thus waived any
jurisdictional argument based on those harvests. 11 Grayson O, 856 F.3d at 316.
11
For the same reason, we do not address the concern expressed by several
declarants—but not mentioned by Plaintiffs on appeal—that the 2020 Rule will “impede
the growth of the solar industry by creating uncertainty for solar farm developers.” J.A.
261.
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C.
Our conclusions lead to one final question: should we remand the case for further
factfinding related to ripeness? We decline to do so here. Plaintiffs have not asked for that
remedy; they appear to have been operating under the misunderstanding, shared by CEQ,
that ripeness is assessed at the time the complaint is filed. Indeed, Plaintiffs have insisted
that “there is no further administrative or factual development that could affect the validity
of Plaintiffs’ claims.” Opening Br. at 42–43.
D.
Before closing, we pause to emphasize the limited nature of our holding. We do not
hold that Plaintiffs may never challenge the 2020 Rule—only that they may not do so based
on the record and arguments they put before us in this case. CEQ readily concedes that
Plaintiffs will be able to challenge the 2020 Rule “in the context of specific projects if and
when a final decision that threatens actual imminent harm to [P]laintiffs or their members
occurs.” J.A. 877; see Wild Va., 544 F. Supp. 3d at 635 n.6. Nor do we hold that plaintiffs
going forward will have to wait until they have actually suffered an environmental injury
before they may sue. That is not the law of ripeness. Cf. Friends of the Earth, Inc. v. Gaston
Copper Recycling Corp., 204 F.3d 149, 160 (4th Cir. 2000) (en banc) (noting, in discussing
standing, that “[o]ne does not have to await the consummation of threatened injury to
obtain preventive relief” (quoting Babbitt v. United Farm Workers Nat’l Union, 442 U.S.
289, 298 (1979))). Rather, as we have noted, ripeness may be satisfied by a future injury,
as long as that future injury is “not dependent on future uncertainties.” Doe, 713 F.3d at
758.
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Plaintiffs argue that forcing them to litigate their claims one project at a time will
be time- and resource-intensive, for them and for the courts. Certainly, it would be more
efficient for the parties and the courts if we could adjudicate the 2020 Rule in one
preemptive fell swoop. But such efficiency concerns cannot generate jurisdiction. See Ohio
Forestry Ass’n, 523 U.S. at 735 (“[T]he Court has not considered this kind of litigation
cost saving sufficient by itself to justify review in a case that would otherwise be unripe.”).
And again, we are not saying that Plaintiffs will be unable to challenge the 2020 Rule at
all. See South Carolina, 912 F.3d at 731 (“That . . . claims are not currently justiciable does
not mean that they never will be so.”). They just will need to bring such a challenge under
circumstances where they can present evidence sufficient to support federal-court
jurisdiction.
III.
For the reasons expressed, we affirm the district court’s dismissal of Plaintiffs’
claims for lack of jurisdiction.
AFFIRMED
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