Legal Research AI

United States v. Vaknin

Court: Court of Appeals for the First Circuit
Date filed: 1997-05-06
Citations: 112 F.3d 579
Copy Citations
76 Citing Cases
Combined Opinion
                  UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
                            UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
                      FOR THE FIRST CIRCUIT
                                FOR THE FIRST CIRCUIT

                                             

No. 96-1394

                    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,

                            Appellee,

                                v.

                          MOSHE VAKNIN,

                      Defendant, Appellant.

                                             

No. 96-1393

                    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,

                            Appellee,

                                v.

                         E. ERIC YEGHIAN,

                      Defendant, Appellant.

                                             

No. 96-1373

                    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,

                            Appellee,

                                v.

                       MICHAEL J. FONSECA,

                      Defendant, Appellant.

                                             

          APPEALS FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT


                 FOR THE DISTRICT OF RHODE ISLAND

       [Hon. Francis J. Boyle, Senior U.S. District Judge]
                                                                   

                                             

                              Before

                      Selya, Circuit Judge,
                                                    

                  Bownes, Senior Circuit Judge,
                                                        

                    and Stahl, Circuit Judge.
                                                      

                                             

     Mark J. Gillis,  by appointment of the  court, for appellant
                             
Vaknin.
     C. Leonard O'Brien for appellant Yeghian.
                                 
     John A. MacFadyen for appellant Fonseca.
                                
     Ira Belkin,  Assistant  United States  Attorney,  with  whom
                         
Sheldon  Whitehouse, United  States  Attorney, and   Margaret  E.
                                                                           
Curran, Assistant United States Attorney, were on brief,  for the
                
United States.

                                             

                           May 6, 1997
                                             


          SELYA,  Circuit  Judge.    These  consolidated  appeals
                    SELYA,  Circuit  Judge.
                                          

raise, inter alia, an interesting  question anent the standard of
                           

causation  that  courts must  apply in  fashioning restitutionary

orders under  the Victim  and Witness  Protection Act (VWPA),  18

U.S.C.     3663(a), 3664(a) (1994).   The appeals arise out  of a

multi-count indictment:   each of the three appellants bribed the

same bank official in  connection with the making of  loans; some

of the loans soured; the bank failed; and the Federal Deposit and

Insurance Corporation (FDIC) was left holding an empty bag.  When

the  appellants pled  guilty  to criminal  charges, the  district

court imposed  sentences which included orders  of restitution to

cover what the court considered to be the attributable losses.

          The appellants now challenge these impositions, and, in

addition,  one  appellant,  citing   his  cooperation  with   the

prosecution,  assails  the  district court's  refusal  to  depart

downward from the  guideline sentencing range  (GSR).  We  affirm

the  court's  eschewal  of   a  downward  departure,  uphold  one

restitutionary order (albeit with a modest  modification), vacate

the other two, and remand for further findings.

I.  AN HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE
          I.  AN HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE

          Compulsory  restitution  as   a  societal  response  to

criminal  wrongdoing dates back over  4,000 years to  the Code of

Hammurabi and the Old Testament.  See, e.g., Exodus 22:1-3 ("If a
                                                             

man shall steal . . . he should make full restitution.").  In its

earliest iterations, the practice was designed to forfend against

the high social costs of blood feuds and the wreaking of personal

                                3


vengeance by compensating victims  in a more civilized way.   See
                                                                           

generally Thomas  M. Kelly, Note,  Where Offenders Pay  for Their
                                                                           

Crimes:   Victim Restitution and Its  Constitutionality, 59 Notre
                                                                 

Dame  L. Rev. 685, 686-88  (1984).  By  the Middle Ages, however,

the sovereign had begun to administer the  criminal law directly,

and  criminal  restitution fell  into desuetude.    See id.   The
                                                                     

device remained moribund  for several centuries.   In the  United

States, for  example,  federal judges  were  not able  to  impose

criminal restitution as a condition  of probation until 1925 when

Congress  passed  the Federal  Probation  Act, 18  U.S.C.    3651

(repealed 1984).   Even  then, judges  used the  power sparingly.

See  Peggy M.  Tobolowsky,  Restitution in  the Federal  Criminal
                                                                           

Justice System, 77 Judicature 90, 90-91 (1993).
                        

          The  tectonic plates  shifted  in  1982  when  Congress

enacted  the VWPA in response to a growing cognizance of victims'

rights.  Notable for the speed of its election-year passage   the

legislation was introduced in  the Senate on April 22,  1982, and

signed into  law by President Reagan less than six months later  

the VWPA transmogrified criminal restitution from a  sporadically

imposed condition of probation into  the sentencing norm in cases

involving quantifiable economic loss.

          The congressional purpose that  animated the VWPA is no

secret:   "the court  in devising just  sanctions for adjudicated

offenders, should insure that  the wrongdoer make good[], to  the

degree possible, the harm he has caused his victim."  S. Rep. No.

532, at 31 (1982), reprinted in 1982 U.S.C.C.A.N. 2515, 2536.  To
                                         

                                4


accomplish  this  purpose,  a district  court,  when  pronouncing

sentence, "may  order, in  addition to  . .  . any other  penalty

authorized by  law, that the  defendant make  restitution to  any

victim  of such offense."   18 U.S.C.    3663(a).  In determining

whether  to award restitution (and,  if so, in  what amount), the

sentencing court "shall consider the amount of the loss sustained

by any victim as a result of the offense, the financial resources

of  the defendant, the financial needs and earning ability of the

defendant and the defendant's  dependents, and such other factors

as the court deems appropriate."  Id. at   3664(a).
                                               

          In general,  restitution under  the VWPA is  limited to

"the loss caused by the specific conduct that is the basis of the

offense of conviction."   Hughey v. United States, 495  U.S. 411,
                                                           

413 (1990).1   When the  fact, cause,  or amount of  the loss  is
                    
                              

     1The  defendant  in  Hughey  had used  credit  cards  in  an
                                          
unauthorized  manner, and  the Court  limited restitution  to the
loss attributable to the  lone count on which he had  pled guilty
(as opposed to the  total loss from all his  fraudulent conduct).
Congress reacted by amending the VWPA in November of 1990, adding
  3663(a)(2) [the former    3663(a) became   3663(a)(1),  but its
substance  remained  essentially  unchanged].     This  amendment
provides that "a victim of an offense that involves as an element
a scheme, a conspiracy,  or a pattern of criminal  activity means
any person directly harmed by the defendant's criminal conduct in
the  course  of  the scheme,  conspiracy,  or  pattern."   As  we
explained in United States  v. Hensley, 91 F.3d 274,  276-77 (1st
                                                
Cir.  1996), restitution  for all  criminal  conduct done  in the
course  of a single scheme, conspiracy, or pattern of activity is
now appropriate, whether or not  the defendant has been convicted
of  (or even  charged with)  the  specific acts,  as long  as the
offense  of  conviction has  as  an element  the  broader scheme,
conspiracy, or pattern.
     There  are two reasons why the 1990 amendment has no bearing
here.   In the  first place,  the criminal  conduct of  which the
appellants  stand convicted  occurred  prior to  the date  of the
amendment.   Thus, the pre-1990  version of the  VWPA governs our
inquiry.  See  United States v. Royal,  100 F.3d 1019,  1032 (1st
                                               

                                5


disputed, the government must establish it by a preponderance  of

the evidence.  See  United States v. Baker, 25 F.3d 1452, 1454-55
                                                    

(9th  Cir. 1994);  United States  v. Diamond,  969 F.2d  961, 967
                                                      

(10th Cir. 1992); see also 18 U.S.C.   3664(d).
                                    

II.  THE FACTUAL PREDICATE
          II.  THE FACTUAL PREDICATE

          We present  the facts relevant to these appeals as best

they  have  presented  themselves,  mindful that  the  record  is

noticeably underdeveloped.

          Kenneth  Annarummo was a bad apple.  While working as a

loan officer  for Attleboro-Pawtucket  Savings Bank (APSB  or the

Bank), he solicited and  accepted bribes from numerous customers.

Annarummo's  skulduggery came to light after  the Bank failed and

the  FDIC intervened.   In  due course,  the  government indicted

Annarummo  and several complicit  borrowers, including appellants

Moshe Vaknin, Michael J.  Fonseca, and E. Eric Yeghian  (all real

estate  developers).2    We  recount the  circumstances  of  each

appellant's involvement.

                      A.  Vaknin's Troubles.
                                A.  Vaknin's Troubles.
                                                     

          Vaknin  first  approached  APSB  in  1987,  seeking  to

refinance  several properties.   Informed  by Annarummo  that his

request  for funds would be facilitated if he greased the wheels,

                    
                              

Cir. 1996); United States v. Gilberg, 75 F.3d 15, 20-21 (1st Cir.
                                              
1996).  In the second  place, the offenses of conviction  here do
not  have as  an  element  any  broader  scheme,  conspiracy,  or
pattern.

     2Annarummo eventually  pled guilty  to three counts  of bank
bribery,  18 U.S.C.   215 (1994), and one count of subscribing to
a false tax return, 26 U.S.C.   7206(1) (1994).

                                6


Vaknin paid  Annarummo $17,500 and thereafter  received the loan.

In 1988, Vaknin sought  to borrow more money and  Annarummo again

asked for a bribe in  exchange for his assistance in getting  the

loan underwritten.   Vaknin  paid him  $12,500 prior to  securing

loan  approval.  This  sequence repeated  itself later  that same

year, when Vaknin slipped  Annarummo another bribe and secured  a

third loan  (which was  approved by  the bank after  a series  of

machinations in  which Annarummo  presented false  information to

the  credit  committee).    Although Vaknin  repaid  the  initial

refinancing in full,  he defaulted on both the 1988 loans and the

Bank sustained losses in excess of $900,000.

          When indicted, Vaknin pled guilty to a single  count of

bank  bribery.   See 18  U.S.C.    215 (1994).    The Presentence
                              

Investigation Report  (PSI Report) did not recommend restitution.

In response to the prosecution's objection, the probation officer

explained:

               [I]t  is  not clear  as  to  whether the
          losses  incurred by  the bank  were  a direct
          result of a  fraudulent loan being negotiated
          as a  result of  the bank bribery  or whether
          the   losses   were  attributable   to  other
          factors, such  as a  downturn in  the economy
          which affected the real estate market.

          At  the  disposition  hearing,  Judge  Boyle  sentenced

Vaknin to an incarcerative term of twelve months and one day, two

years'  supervised release, and a $50 special assessment.  On the

restitution  issue,  the   judge  sided  with  the   prosecution;

concluding  that there would have  been no funds  advanced if the

bribes  had not been paid,  the judge held  Vaknin liable for the

                                7


losses resulting from the defaulted loans, rejected the probation

officer's  "downturn  in  the economy"  hypothesis,  and  ordered

Vaknin to pay restitution to the FDIC in the sum of $1,000,000.

                     B.  Fonseca's Troubles.
                               B.  Fonseca's Troubles.
                                                     

          By the time Annarummo arrived on the scene, Fonseca was

a  valued customer  of  the  Bank,  having  roughly  $750,000  in

outstanding loans.   This debt had  been incurred through  normal

channels  and  without  subterfuge,  mostly  in  connection  with

single-family residential properties in  Rhode Island.  Annarummo

made no immediate  demands on Fonseca,  and Fonseca succeeded  in

securing additional financing through APSB.

          In 1987, Fonseca  encountered business difficulties and

became fearful that he  would not be able  to meet the  repayment

schedule on an outstanding APSB note.  When  he voiced concern to

Annarummo,  the banker demanded a  bribe for his  help in warding

off  trouble  should a  default  ensue.   Fonseca  paid Annarummo

$3,000 but proved able to meet his payment obligation on time and

in full.

          In 1988, Fonseca applied for a $4,250,000 loan to cover

the development of a much larger project than he had ever tackled

  a subdivision  of more than 50  lots in Bristol,  Rhode Island.

The record suggests  (though it  does not pin  down) that,  after

approval of  the  loan request  but  prior to  its  disbursement,

Annarummo  demanded  one  of  the  lots  as  a  bribe.    Fonseca

acquiesced and transferred title to Annarummo's  nominee, leaving

one less lot as security for APSB's loan.

                                8


          The  Bank  terminated Annarummo's  employment  in March

1990.    Fonseca's  subdivision   loan  (which  had  a  remaining

principal balance of $611,500)  was then 30 days in  arrears, and

Annarummo's   successor   recommended   foreclosure.      Fonseca

negotiated  with APSB (which knew nothing of the bribes), and the

parties agreed to enter  into a forbearance agreement (FA)  under

which Fonseca would make  a lump-sum payment of $450,000  in full

satisfaction of  the outstanding indebtedness.   Fonseca tendered

the funds within  the agreed 35-day  period.  In  time, the  Bank

failed, the FDIC intervened, the bribes were discovered, and  the

indictment materialized.

          Fonseca pled guilty to a single count of  bank bribery.

The district court sentenced  him to serve twelve months  and one

day in prison and a  three-year term of supervised release.   The

court  also imposed a $5,000  fine and a  $50 special assessment.

The matter of  restitution proceeded  much as  in Vaknin's  case.

The  probation  officer  recommended  against   a  restitutionary

impost;   the  prosecution  objected;   and  the  district  judge

sustained the objection, ordering  Fonseca to make restitution in

the  sum of $161,500 (the difference between the loan balance and

the amount that Fonseca paid pursuant to the FA).

                     C.  Yeghian's Troubles.
                               C.  Yeghian's Troubles.
                                                     

          Yeghian, a  newcomer  to APSB,  applied for  a loan  of

$2,930,000  in 1988 to fund the purchase of real property located

in  Providence,  Rhode Island.    Annarummo demanded  a  bribe of

$20,000  (although   the  record  is  tenebrous   as  whether  he

                                9


approached Yeghian  before or after the loan  had been approved).

In  any event, Yeghian, using a corrupt lawyer as an internuncio,

paid the bribe out of the loan proceeds.

          Later  that  same  year,   Yeghian  sought  a  loan  of

$1,400,000  to acquire  and develop  a parcel  of real  estate in

Seekonk, Massachusetts.   Once again, Annarummo  demanded a bribe

and  received $22,909.52.3  Both  loans turned sour.   The Bank's

demise, the FDIC's entry  onto the scene, the deterration  of the

bribes, and the indictment followed.

          Yeghian pled guilty to  one count of bank bribery.   At

sentencing, Judge  Boyle imposed  a ten-month prison  sentence, a

three-year supervised  release term, a  $10,000 fine,  and a  $50

special assessment.  Rejecting  a recommendation contained in the

PSI Report, the judge  ordered Yeghian to pay restitution  in the

sum of $2,213,654.74.

III.  THE DEPARTURE DECISION
          III.  THE DEPARTURE DECISION

          Vaknin  challenges  the  incarcerative  portion  of his

sentence.  The salient facts are as follows.  The court sentenced

Vaknin  under   the  1988  edition  of   the  federal  sentencing

guidelines.  The court  figured the GSR as 8-14  months (adjusted

offense  level  11;  criminal   history  category  I),  and  this

calculation is not  in dispute.  At  the time of sentencing,  the

government asked the court to depart downward  because Vaknin had

made a good faith  effort to render substantial assistance.   See
                                                                           
                    
                              

     3The odd amount stems from the fact that the bribe  took the
form of a  payment by  Yeghian to liquidate  an outstanding  loan
encumbering Annarummo's Porsche.

                                10


USSG  5K1.1  ("Upon motion  of  the government  stating that  the

defendant has  made a  good faith  effort to  provide substantial

assistance in the investigation  or prosecution of another person

who  has  committed an  offense, the  court  may depart  from the

guidelines.").   For  his part,  Vaknin  solicited an  even  more

generous  departure.     Nevertheless,  departure  decisions  are

entrusted  primarily to  the courts,  and the  sentencing judge's

role cannot be  usurped by agreements between the  prosecutor and

the defendant.  See United States v. Mariano, 983 F.2d 1150, 1154
                                                      

n.3,  1155-56 (1st  Cir. 1993).   Exercising this  authority, the

court refused to impose a sentence below the GSR.  Vaknin assigns

error.

          Vaknin's  claim of error is  doubly flawed.  The short,

entirely  dispositive  answer to  it is  that  he stakes  out his

position  in a perfunctory manner.  For that reason, the argument

is deemed waived.  See, e.g.,  United States v. Tardiff, 969 F.2d
                                                                 

1283, 1287 (1st Cir. 1992); United States v. Zannino, 895 F.2d 1,
                                                              

17 (1st Cir. 1990).

          The slightly  longer but equally  dispositive answer is

that,  in the  main, departure  decisions are  discretionary, and

appellate review of refusals  to depart is tightly circumscribed.

See Koon v. United States, 116 S. Ct. 2035, 2046-47 (1996); Bruce
                                   

M.  Selya & Matthew  Kipp, An  Examination of  Emerging Departure
                                                                           

Jurisprudence Under the  Federal Sentencing Guidelines, 67  Notre
                                                                

Dame  L. Rev.  1, 13-14  (1991).   Jurisdiction will  only attach

"when  it appears  that the  failure to  depart stemmed  from the

                                11


sentencing court's  mistaken impression that it  lacked the legal

authority   to   depart   or,   relatedly,   from   the   court's

misapprehension of the rules  governing departure."  Mariano, 983
                                                                      

F.2d at 1153.  No such bevue occurred here.

          To be sure, Vaknin labors  to find a cognizable  error.

In this vein, he contends that the district court believed itself

unable  to  depart  downward  because  Vaknin  had  not  provided

information about  his fellow borrowers' criminal  activities but

only about the bribe-taker's criminal activities.  He builds this

contention on scraps drawn from counsel's colloquy with the judge

at the disposition hearing.   But an appellate court,  seeking to

ascertain  a sense of what transpired at sentencing, must look to

the  whole of the record  rather than isolated snippets extracted

from it.   See, e.g., United  States v. Santiago, 83  F.3d 20, 25
                                                          

(1st  Cir. 1996); United States v. Rostoff, 53 F.3d 398, 407 (1st
                                                    

Cir. 1995);  cf. United States v.  Tavano, 12 F.3d 301,  304 (1st
                                                   

Cir. 1993).   Applying this  tenet here,  the record,  read as  a

seamless whole, belies Vaknin's contention.

          We  need not  tarry.   The sentencing  transcript shows

with  pristine clarity that Judge Boyle knew he could depart once

the government invoked USSG  5K1.1, but chose instead to impose a

sentence within the GSR.  As we read the record,  his reasons for

demurring  were clear   and  entirely permissible.   In his view,

Vaknin's cooperation had been adequately rewarded because (a) the

government had prosecuted only  one count of bribery  despite the

fact that Vaknin  had paid multiple bribes referable  to separate

                                12


borrowings, and (b) Vaknin's offense level (and, hence, the  GSR)

already had  been reduced for acceptance  of responsibility under

USSG  3E1.1.

          The transcript also reveals  that the court weighed the

quintet of  factors under  which a substantial  assistance motion

must  be  evaluated:   the nature  and  extent of  the assistance

provided; its  significance and  utility to the  prosecution; its

timeliness; the  truthfulness and reliability of  the information

conveyed; and the injury  to, or risk exposure of,  the defendant

resulting  from his cooperation.   See Mariano, 983  F.2d at 1156
                                                        

(enumerating factors  and  explaining that  "[a] district  court,

faced  with  a  section 5K1.1  motion,  must  at  a bare  minimum

indicate its cognizance  of these factors").  After mulling these

and  other relevant  considerations, the  court  determined that,

under the  specific circumstances of Vaknin's  case, no departure

was warranted.   Such a decision  is quintessentially a  judgment

call, and, thus,  within the sentencing court's discretion.   See
                                                                           

Tardiff,  969 F.2d  at  1290.   Consequently,  we lack  both  the
                 

authority  to   second-guess  the  departure   decision  and  the

inclination to do so.

IV.  THE CAUSATION QUANDARY
          IV.  THE CAUSATION QUANDARY

            All three appellants  challenge the district  court's

restitutionary orders.   Those challenges are  similar insofar as

they implicate  the standard of  causation.  Therefore,  we treat

them in the ensemble to that extent.

                     A.  Standard of Review.
                               A.  Standard of Review.
                                                     

                                13


          Restitution  orders customarily  are reviewed  under an

abuse of discretion  rubric.   See United States  v. Hensley,  91
                                                                      

F.3d 274, 277 (1st Cir. 1996).  In the course of this review, the

sentencing  court's subsidiary factual  findings must be credited

unless they are clearly erroneous.  See id.  To the extent that a
                                                     

challenge to  a restitution  order hinges  on  a legal  question,

however,  the  sentencing  court's  answer to  that  question  is

reviewed de novo.  See  United States v. Gilberg, 75 F.3d  15, 20
                                                          

(1st Cir. 1996); United States v. Savoie, 985 F.2d 612,  619 (1st
                                                  

Cir. 1993).   The appellants' allegation that  the district judge

employed an improper legal standard  of causation presents such a

question.

                     B.  The Legal Landscape.
                               B.  The Legal Landscape.
                                                      

          The level of causation required  under the VWPA is  not

immediately apparent, and the  parties' views on the subject  are

sharply divergent.  The  appellants advance a theory  of "direct"

causation, exhorting us  to rule that restitution can  be imposed

only if the victim's  losses result directly from the  offense of

conviction and therefore that  restitution cannot be imposed when

an intervening phenomenon (e.g., a collapsing real estate market)

is the more  immediate cause of the  loss.4  Transposed  into the

m tier  of  this case,  the  appellants'  theory seemingly  would

require the government to eliminate the possibility of concurrent
                    
                              

     4While the appellants profess  to know direct causation when
they  see  it,  they   have  been  unable  either  to   muster  a
comprehensive  definition of  the  term or  to  suggest a  viable
limiting principle.  The government's arguments in support of but
for causation, see infra, suffer from much the same vice.
                                  

                                14


causes  and prove  that the  FDIC's losses  occurred as  a direct

result  of the bribes that Annarummo solicited and received.  The

government cannot  do so,  the appellants posit,  because stimuli

unrelated  to  the bribes,  such  as  intervening market  forces,

caused the ultimate losses.

          The  government's counter-argument  is  that "but  for"

causation suffices; it urges  us to rule that restitution  can be

imposed  as long as the victim's losses would not have eventuated

but for  the criminal activity.  But  for the bribes, this thesis

runs, there would have  been no loans, without which  there would

have been no  losses.   In this  very general  sense, the  bribes

caused  the losses     and  that,  to  the  government's  way  of

thinking, is enough.

          The  appellants'  rejoinder  is twofold.    First, they

debunk the legal standard articulated by the government.  Second,

they say that even  if this articulation accurately  reflects the

state  of the  law,  it does  not  justify the  district  court's

restitutionary orders.  On the appellants' shared hypothesis, the

loans  would   have  issued  whether  or  not   the  bribes  were

forthcoming; thus, the  Bank would have incurred  the losses even

if the appellants had played it straight.

          The  parties' positions  stand  at opposite  ends of  a

continuum.   Our effort to  determine where on  the continuum the

correct  legal standard is housed starts with the language of the

VWPA  itself.   Section  3663(a) authorizes  restitution to  "any

victim"  for a covered offense.   This provision  must be read in

                                15


tandem with  section 3664(a), which directs  the sentencing court

to consider  "the amount of the loss sustained by any victim as a

result  of the offense."   For purposes  of this  case, see supra
                                                                           

note 1, restitution is  appropriate only for "the loss  caused by

the  specific conduct  that  is  the  basis  of  the  offense  of

conviction."  Hughey, 495 U.S. at 413.
                              

          Since the text of the VWPA does not speak explicitly to

the dimensions of  the requisite standard of causation,5  we must

consult other sources  in our quest to discover it.   Next on the

list  is legislative  history.  This  material, like  the statute

itself,  does not  specifically limn  the standard  of causation.

Nonetheless, it offers some important insights.

          In  enacting  the VWPA,  Congress  strove to  encourage

greater  use of a  restitutionary remedy.   See S.  Rep. No. 532,
                                                         

supra,  1982 U.S.C.C.A.N.  at  2536-37.   At  the same  time,  it
               
                    
                              

     5Though  the amended version of  the VWPA does  not apply to
this case, see supra  note 1, the appellants asseverate  that the
                              
amendment's use of the adverb "directly" heralds Congress' intent
vis- -vis the  type of causation that  it envisioned.   We do not
agree.   The legislative  history of  the 1990  amendment plainly
indicates that the language  employed, albeit containing the word
"directly," does not support the appellants' theory of causation.
As Congress explained:

          The use of "directly" precludes, for example,
          an argument that a  person has been harmed by
          a financial institution offense  that results
          in a payment from the insurance fund because,
          as a taxpayer, a part of a  person's taxes go
          to the insurance fund.

H.R.  Rep. No.  681(I),  at 177  n.8  (1990), reprinted  in  1990
                                                                     
U.S.C.C.A.N. 6472, 6583 n.8.   This definition ranges  far afield
from the definition of direct that the appellants tout.  Thus, we
conclude  that the 1990 amendment  did not alter  the standard of
causation applicable to VWPA cases.

                                16


disclaimed  any intent to convert the main event   the sentencing

hearing    into a time-consuming sideshow    prolonged litigation

over  restitution-related  issues.    This  disclaimer  was  made

manifest  in a  variety  of  ways.    For  example,  rather  than

requiring  great precision  in fixing  the amount  of restitution

due, Congress  visualized the VWPA as "authoriz[ing] the court to

reach  an  expeditious, reasonable  determination  of appropriate

restitution  by  resolving  uncertainties  with  a  view  towards

achieving fairness to the victim."  Id. at 2537.
                                                 

          In  short,  the legislative  history clearly  signals a

congressional preference for rough remedial  justice, emphasizing

victims'  rights.  In our view,  this preference counsels against

importing a  stringent standard  of causation  (such as might  be

appropriate in a tort context) into the VWPA.

          Of course, rough remedial justice does not mean leaving

matters to the whim of the sentencing judge, and Congress did not

conceive  of  restitution  as  being   an  entirely  standardless

proposition.  The government must bear the burden of establishing

the  loss, 18  U.S.C.    3664(d), and  an award  cannot be  woven

solely from the gossamer strands of speculation and surmise.  See
                                                                           

United States v. Neal, 36 F.3d 1190, 1200-01 (1st Cir. 1994).  By
                               

like token, just as insisting upon a modicum of reliable evidence

reinforces the specific advantages  of the restitutionary remedy,

so  too does insisting upon a certain degree of causal precision.

As  the  Supreme Court  has noted,  demanding a  "direct relation

between  the harm  and the  punishment  gives restitution  a more

                                17


precise deterrent  effect than  a  traditional fine."   Kelly  v.
                                                                       

Robinson, 479 U.S. 36, 49 n.10 (1986).
                  

          Finding the legislative  history suggestive rather than

compelling, we examine  the caselaw.  In previous decisions, this

court  has  remarked  the broad  policy  goals  of  the VWPA  and

concluded that  difficulty in  achieving an exact  measurement of

victim loss  should not  preclude the imposition  of restitution.

See  Savoie, 985  F.2d  at 617.   On  the  subject of  causation,
                     

however, our  decisions have tended to  involve either situations

in which the  closeness of the causal link could not seriously be

questioned, see, e.g.,  United States  v. Lilly, 80  F.3d 24,  28
                                                         

(1st Cir. 1996),  or those in which we  found restitution to have

been ordered in contravention of Hughey, see, e.g., United States
                                                                           

v. Newman,  49 F.3d 1, 11 (1st Cir. 1995).  Neither polar extreme
                   

brings  much light  to  the  vexing  issue  which  these  appeals

present.

          Neal is  the only  notable exception to  this taxonomy.
                        

That case  featured a defendant who had been found guilty both of

being  an accessory  after  the fact  to a  bank  robbery and  of

laundering funds.   The  district court imposed  a restitutionary

award that equalled the bank's entire loss from the thievery.  We

vacated the award, noting that it could  not be determined on the

sparse record  available "whether the court  calculated, pursuant

to  Hughey, the portion of [the bank's] losses that were actually
                    

caused by the  specific criminal  conduct forming  the basis  for

Neal's  convictions."   36 F.3d  at 1200  (italics omitted).   We

                                18


instructed  the district court, on  remand, to hold  a hearing on

the  causation issue and modify the award  to the extent that any

portion of  the loss was  not "attributable  to" Neal's  criminal

conduct.  Id. at  1201.  In dictum, we  cautiously suggested that
                       

some varietal  of but for  causation might  suffice.  See  id. at
                                                                        

1201  n.10 ("If . . .  evidence is presented indicating that Neal

played a significant role in helping  the other defendants escape

and  that but for his actions, there was a substantial likelihood

that the full proceeds would have been recovered, the court could

well  be  within its  statutory  authority in  imposing  the full

[restitutionary amount].").  Thus, circuit precedent  furnishes a

weak  indication that  but  for causation  can suffice  under the

VWPA.

          Reading the  out-of-circuit cases  is like attending  a

bar association meeting in  a small town; one can  find congenial

cases,  like friendly faces in  the crowd, to  support almost any

standard  of causation  for the  VWPA.   We have  found decisions

which appear at  least superficially to reject  but for causation

in favor of a "direct result" standard.  See, e.g., United States
                                                                           

v.  Silkowski, 32  F.3d 682,  689-90 (2d  Cir. 1994);  Ratliff v.
                                                                        

United  States, 999  F.2d  1023, 1026-27  (6th  Cir. 1993).    By
                        

contrast,  we   have  found   decisions  which  seem   to  accept

unqualified but for causation as sufficient under the VWPA.  See,
                                                                          

e.g.,  United  States v.  Keith, 754  F.2d  1388, 1393  (9th Cir.
                                         

1985); United States  v. Richard,  738 F.2d  1120, 1122-23  (10th
                                          

Cir. 1984).  We have found decisions which straddle the question,

                                19


see Government of the Virgin Islands v. Davis, 43 F.3d 41, 46 (3d
                                                       

Cir. 1994) (seemingly endorsing, in  a single paragraph, both but

for  and direct causation), and those  which confess confusion on

the issue,  see United States  v. Cloud, 872  F.2d 846, 856  n.13
                                                 

(9th  Cir.  1989)  (acknowledging  "a conflict  in  this  circuit

regarding  the nexus  the government  must establish  between the

defendant's criminal conduct and the victim's losses to support a

VWPA restitution order").

                     C.  Choosing a Standard.
                               C.  Choosing a Standard.
                                                      

          Upon   close   perscrutation,  the   extreme  positions

advocated by  the parties  do not hold  out much  promise in  our

quest for a serviceable standard of causation.

          On the one hand, the sort of  direct causation standard

that the appellants  propose is  simply too rigid.   Under  their

theory  of   intervening  forces,   a  court  could   not  impose

restitution even  if the  defendant's conduct were  a substantial

cause of a loss, unless  it were the last cause.  Such a standard

would flout  the basic purpose  of the  VWPA.6  In  our judgment,

Congress did  not contemplate  such adamantine formalism  when it

moved to  expand the  availability of restitutionary  remedies by
                    
                              

     6Imagine  a situation in which  D, a convicted  felon who is
carrying  a handgun, is speeding down a highway, fleeing from the
authorities.  D's car slams into an unregistered automobile, with
defective brakes, owned and  operated by Stranger (S), causing  S
to swerve  and hit V,  who suffers  severe injuries.   D is  then
prosecuted  for  reckless endangerment  and  found  guilty.   S's
miscreancy  should not preclude a  court from ordering  D to make
restitution for V's medical expenses.  Yet the appellants' theory
would erect just such a barrier.

                                20


enacting the VWPA.  See S. Rep. No. 532, supra, 1982 U.S.C.C.A.N.
                                                        

at 2537.

          On  the other hand, concerns of  fairness require us to

reject  the  unbridled  but   for  causation  standard  that  the

government propounds.  Under it, a court could impose restitution

based on the most tenuous of connections.7  While it is true that

for want of a nail  the kingdom reputedly was lost,  cf. Benjamin
                                                                  

Franklin,  Poor Richard's  Almanac (1758),  it could  hardly have
                                            

been  Congress'  intent  to  place   the  entire  burden  on  the

blacksmith  if  the  nail  was  an  insignificant  factor  in the

calculus of concurrent  causes.  Such a  result would countervail

principles of fundamental fairness and, in the bargain,  would be

at  odds with the majority of reported  cases.  See, e.g., United
                                                                           

States v. Holley,  23 F.3d  902, 914-15 (5th  Cir. 1994);  United
                                                                           

States v. Tyler, 767 F.2d 1350, 1351-53 (9th Cir. 1985).
                         

          Having rejected the parties'  proposals, it falls to us

to fashion the appropriate  legal standard.  Despite the  gaps in

the statute  and in its legislative  history, and notwithstanding

the  contradictions that  permeate  the  cases,  we think  it  is

possible to  distill certain bedrock principles  from the sources
                    
                              

     7Imagine  a situation similar  to that described  in note 6,
supra; but, instead  of being prosecuted for a vehicular offense,
               
D is charged with and convicted of being a felon in possession of
a handgun.  While but  for causation may be present    after all,
but for his unlawful possession of a weapon, D would  have had no
occasion  to flee from the authorities, and, thus, would not have
been  careening down the road and would not have precipitated the
accident    it is  hard to  make a  principled argument  that the
offense  of conviction  (felon in  possession) supports  an order
against  D to make restitution for V's medical expenses.  Yet the
government's theory ordains just such a result.

                                21


that we have consulted.

          First:  Restitution should not be ordered in respect to
                    First:
                         

a loss  which would have  occurred regardless of  the defendant's

conduct.  A good  illustration of this principle in  operation is

found in United States v. Blackburn,  9 F.3d 353 (5th Cir. 1993).
                                             

There,  the  sentencing court  included  foreclosure expenses  in

calculating the amount  of restitution  due.   The Fifth  Circuit

reversed, citing  proof that the foreclosure  would have happened

even if  the defendant had not  committed the crime.   See id. at
                                                                        

359; see also  United States v. Walker, 896 F.2d 295, 305-06 (8th
                                                

Cir. 1990)  (holding that when  defendants, who owned  a company,

defrauded  the United  States,  restitution to  laid-off  company

employees was improper because the record failed to show that the

fraud caused the company to cease operations).

          Second:   Even  if but  for causation is  acceptable in
                    Second
                          

theory, limitless but for  causation is not.   Restitution should

not  lie if the conduct  underlying the offense  of conviction is

too far removed,  either factually or temporally,  from the loss.

We offer two examples of remoteness in fact.  The first arises in

a case that bears some similarity to the instant case.

          In  Diamond, 969  F.2d  at 963-64,  the defendant  pled
                               

guilty to filing false financial reports with a lender.  The loan

had  already been made  before Diamond authored  the reports, but

the  reports apparently  helped in  obtaining an extension.   The

loan  proved uncollectible.    The sentencing  court ordered  the

defendant to  make restitution,  reasoning that the  loss stemmed

                                22


from the false  reports.  The court of  appeals refused to equate

the  extension of an existing loan with  the granting of the loan

in the first place, and negated the restitutionary  order because

there  was  no proof  that  the extension  worsened  the lender's

position.  See id. at 966.
                            

          A somewhat different  example of factual  remoteness is

found in  United States v. Sablan,  92 F.3d 865  (9th Cir. 1996).
                                           

There, the defendant had  been convicted of computer fraud.   The

district court  ordered restitution for expenses  incurred by the

victim  in meeting with investigators  to discuss the  case.  The

Ninth Circuit  struck these amounts  from the award,  ruling that

the expenses were not connected closely enough to  the fraudulent

conduct.   See id. at 870; see  also United States v. Kenney, 789
                                                                      

F.2d 783, 784  (9th Cir.  1986) (invalidating that  portion of  a

restitution order  which was designed to  reimburse the corporate

victim  for the  cost  of having  its  employees testify  at  the

defendant's  trial,   but  upholding  that  part   of  the  order

encompassing the  cost of  removing film chronicling  the robbery

from the bank's surveillance cameras).

          Typical of  the situations  in which but  for causation

existed  but restitution  was denied  because the  claimed losses

were  temporally  remote is  Holley,  in which  the  court deemed
                                             

restitution improper  when the  victim, who  received foreclosure

property  from the  defendant  in  the  course  of  the  criminal

activity,  unnecessarily held  onto  the property  for a  lengthy

interval  after  the  crime  was  discovered,  and  the  property

                                23


declined  in  value  during that  period.    23  F.3d at  914-15.

Similarly, in Tyler, the  defendant cut down a tree in a national
                             

forest and  was apprehended as  he tried to  take it to  a nearby

lumber  mill.   767 F.2d  at 1351.   The government  retained the

lumber, needlessly,  for a long period of time, then sold it in a

fallen market for considerably less than it would have fetched if

sold  promptly.  See id.  The district court ordered restitution,
                                  

pegging  the loss  by  reference  to  the  reduced  price.    The

appellate court  disagreed, pointing out that,  although abstract

but for causation existed,  it was too attenuated to  support the

award.  See id. at 1351-53.
                         

          Consistent  with  these  two  principles  and  with our

dictum in Neal, 36  F.3d at 1201 & n.10, we  hold that a modified
                        

but  for standard  of  causation is  appropriate for  restitution

under  the VWPA.  This means, in effect, that the government must

show not only that a particular  loss would not have occurred but

for  the conduct underlying  the offense of  conviction, but also

that the causal nexus between the conduct and the loss is not too

attenuated (either  factually or  temporally).  The  watchword is

reasonableness.     A   sentencing  court  should   undertake  an

individualized inquiry; what constitutes sufficient causation can

only be determined case by case, in a fact-specific probe.

                    D.  Applying the Standard.
                              D.  Applying the Standard.
                                                       

          Having  elucidated the  appropriate legal  standard, we

turn finally to the  causation questions embedded in  the appeals

that  are before us.  These appeals, like the decisions canvassed

                                24


above, provide some insights into the standard's operation.

          1.  In Vaknin's case,  restitution is appropriate.  The
                    1.

district court  specifically found  that the bribes  which Vaknin

paid  were a but for cause of  the Bank's losses on the defaulted

loans.  The record contains no basis on which to mount a credible

challenge to this finding.   After all, the arrangements  for the

bribes  preceded the  making of  the loans,  and the  bribes were

admittedly  paid  in  exchange   for  Annarummo's  assistance  in

procuring the loans.

          Moreover,  common  sense  must  inform  inquiries  into

restitution under the  VWPA.  See  S. Rep.  No. 532, supra,  1982
                                                                    

U.S.C.C.A.N. at 2536-37.  In Vaknin's case, the  evidence clearly

shows  not only that the loans were  procured by bribery but also

that the bribe-taker connived to bend the rules;  in at least one

instance  Annarummo  shaded  the presentation  to  APSB's  credit

committee  to  increase the  likelihood  that the  loan  would be

forthcoming.   We  believe that  where,  as here,  the government

establishes that arrangements  for a bribe precede  and relate to

the  making  of  a  loan,  a  commonsense  inference  arises that

subsequent  losses referable  to the loan's  uncollectibility are

causally linked in reasonable proximity to the bribe.  Cf., e.g.,
                                                                          

Blinzler v. Marriott Int'l, Inc., 81 F.3d 1148, 1158-59 (1st Cir.
                                          

1996) (discussing  commonsense inference  that arises  from proof

that a  relevant document has  been destroyed); United  States v.
                                                                        

Olbres, 61  F.3d 967,  971-72 (1st Cir.)  (discussing commonsense
                

inference   that  arises  in  tax  evasion  case  from  proof  of

                                25


expenditures in excess of declared income and disposable assets),

cert. denied, 116 S.  Ct. 522 (1995).   Of course, the  inference
                      

can be  rebutted if the  defendant produces specific  evidence of

factual or temporal  remoteness.  Here,  however, Vaknin made  no

such  showing.   To the  contrary, there  is no  compelling proof

either of an unforeseeable intervening cause or of any cognizable

remoteness, factual or temporal.

          That ends  the matter.   Because the  record adequately

supports Judge Boyle's finding of but for causation, and contains

no  sufficient  suggestion  of  factual or  temporal  remoteness,

restitution for  the losses resulting  from the tainted  loans is

altogether appropriate.

          2.  We treat Fonseca's and Yeghian's appeals in tandem.
                    2.

In  both instances,  the  record is  so  exiguous that  the  very

existence of but for causation seems problematic.  As to Fonseca,

the single loan in respect to which the court ordered restitution

may  have been approved by the  Bank independent of, and prior in

time  to, Annarummo's solicitation of  a bribe.8   On the present

record,  we simply  cannot tell    and  the lower  court made  no

specific  finding on  the  point.   The  question is  potentially

important because, if  it turns  out that the  Bank approved  the

loan prior to  any arrangements for a  bribe, then in such  event

the circumstances  would  not support  an  inference of  but  for

causation;  and, in  the  absence of  such  an inference,  it  is
                    
                              

     8Fonseca's past lending relationship  with the Bank tends to
support this inference.  It suggests, at the least, that the Bank
considered him creditworthy well before Annarummo hove into view.

                                26


difficult (although not impossible)  to conceive how a sufficient

causal link between bribe and loss could be forged.

          Moreover,  the record  suggests  that even  if but  for

causation  exists, the requisite  connectedness might be lacking.

Fonseca  argues  with some  force that  the  Bank's loss,  if one

occurred at all, was occasioned by its need for an immediate cash

infusion; that this exigency gave birth to the FA; and therefore,

no cognizable loss occurred.9  But this argument, too, depends on

facts which  the record does not contain,  and on which the lower

court  made  no  particularized  findings.    It  is  clear  that

Fonseca's loan  was overdue and that the Bank had a right to call

the  loan.  From  that point forward,  it is unclear  whether the

Bank entered  into the  FA  merely as  a quick  fix  for its  own

problems or because it wanted to mitigate an inevitable loss.

          As to Yeghian, the record is similarly inexplicit about

the  timing  of his  arrangements  with  Annarummo vis- -vis  the

Bank's approval of the  subject loans.  There is  some indication

that one  (if not both)  of the loans  on which he  defaulted may

have been approved  independent of any  deal with Annarummo,  but

the sentencing  court made  no detailed  findings and  the extant

record  is  too  sparse to  permit  us  to  answer the  causation

questions with confidence.
                    
                              

     9In  substance,  Fonseca   asserts  that  by   accepting  an
accelerated $450,000  payment under a consensual pact (the FA) in
satisfaction of the outstanding loan balance ($611,500), APSB did
no more than make a  business judgment designed not to salvage  a
failing loan    Fonseca says he  could have paid it  off in full,
given time   but to shore up  a failing bank.  On that basis,  he
reasons that APSB (and ultimately the FDIC) suffered no loss.

                                27


          It  would be  unprofitable  to delve  more deeply  into

these  matters.   We  are  confronted  by a  largely  undeveloped

record,  embellished  with few  specific  findings.   Given  that

enigmatic  reality, remand  is required.   We  envision  that the

district  court, the next time around, will direct the parties to

augment the record with respect to (a) the presence or absence of

a causal  link between  Fonseca's and Yeghian's  criminal conduct

and the FDIC's losses,  (b) if that causal link  is demonstrated,

the  closeness  of  the  connection,  factually  and  temporally,

between  that conduct and the ultimate losses, and (c) such other

matters  as the court may  deem suitable.   We anticipate further

that the court will make particularized findings on each disputed

issue. Weintimateno viewastothe properoutcomeof thoseproceedings.

V.  MISCELLANEOUS
          V.  MISCELLANEOUS

          Three final matters require brief attention.  The first

is a  matter raised by  Fonseca and  Yeghian.  The  others relate

solely to Vaknin's obligations.

                     A.  Picking up the Tab.
                               A.  Picking up the Tab.
                                                     

          It is apodictic that restitution only can be ordered to

redress  a loss to  a victim.   See United States  v. Gibbens, 25
                                                                       

F.3d  28, 33  (1st Cir.  1994).   Using this  truism as  a lever,

Fonseca and Yeghian question whether the VWPA allows the court to

order restitution to the FDIC for losses  originally sustained by

the (now failed) Bank.  The question is easily answered.

          Following existing circuit precedent, we hold  that the

benefit of the VWPA's remedial provisions extends to a government

                                28


agency  which, in  the exercise of  duly delegated  powers, steps

into  the shoes of the original victim.  See id. at 32-35.  Thus,
                                                          

if  a  failed  bank was  a  victim  of  the defendant's  criminal

activity, the FDIC, as its insurer and receiver, itself qualifies

as  a victim  for purposes  of a  restitutionary order  under the

VWPA.  See  United States v. Phaneuf, 91 F.3d  255, 265 (1st Cir.
                                              

1996).

                       B.  Ability to Pay.
                                 B.  Ability to Pay.
                                                   

          Vaknin  argues  that  the  district  court  abused  its

discretion   by   ordering  him   to  make   restitution  without

considering his ability to  pay.  We agree with  Vaknin's premise

that judicial  consideration of a  defendant's ability to  pay is

statutorily  mandated   as  a   prerequisite  to  an   order  for

restitution.  See  18 U.S.C.    3664(a).   We disagree,  however,
                           

with  his conclusion that the lower court neglected to touch this

base.

          We  have  stated with  a  regularity  bordering on  the

monotonous that the consideration  requirement does not mean that

a judge must decide the question in a particular way or even that

he must make express findings on the record as to the defendant's

ability to  pay.  See, e.g.,  Newman, 49 F.3d at  10; Savoie, 985
                                                                      

F.2d at 618.  It is enough  if "the record on appeal reveals that

the judge made implicit  findings or otherwise adequately evinced

his consideration" of this factor.  Savoie, 985 F.2d at 618.
                                                    

          Here, the PSI Report spelled out Vaknin's past earnings

history and  current financial condition  in appreciable  detail.

                                29


The sentencing transcript indicates  that the judge absorbed this

information,  voiced his  skepticism  about  Vaknin's ability  to

comply  with  the  restitution  order  as  matters  stood,10  but

nonetheless impliedly  found  that a  sufficient  possibility  of

eventual  repayment  existed.    We think  that  this  finding is

supportable.  A defendant's  impoverishment today is no assurance

of future poverty, and,  hence, present impecuniousness is  not a

bar  to  the imposition  of restitution.    See United  States v.
                                                                        

Brandon,  17  F.3d 409,  461 (1st  Cir.  1994); United  States v.
                                                                        

Lombardi, 5 F.3d  568, 573 (1st Cir.  1993).  A  sentencing court
                  

permissibly may take into  account a defendant's earning capacity

and the prospect that his fortunes will improve.  See Lombardi, 5
                                                                        

F.3d at 573; Savoie, 985 F.2d at 619.
                             

          Here, the judge apparently  issued a restitution  order

as a  hedge against his  founded belief that  the defendant    an

individual  of demonstrated  entrepreneurial  bent    might  well

acquire assets in the  future.  While this conclusion  would have

been  less  controversial  had  the judge  made  a  more  pointed

reference to  Vaknin's past accomplishments  and future financial

prognosis, we cannot say that  an abuse of discretion transpired.

See Lombardi, 5 F.3d at 572-73.
                      

                C.  The Government's Concessions.
                          C.  The Government's Concessions.
                                                          

          The district  court ordered Vaknin to  make restitution

in the amount of  $1,000,000.  This figure  is vulnerable on  two
                    
                              

     10Indeed,  the  judge explicitly  declined  to  levy a  fine
against Vaknin, noting on the judgment form that no fine would be
imposed due to an inability to pay.

                                30


fronts.  First, the  government has brought  to light on its  own

initiative a mathematical error that, when corrected, will reduce

the  amount of restitution owed.11   Second, the sentencing court

premised the  loss  calculation  on the  amount  which  the  Bank

received when it resold the property Vaknin had pledged to secure

the defaulted loans, rather than on its fair market  value at the

time of foreclosure.  Because the district court used fair market

value as of the  foreclosure date when determining the  amount of

restitution that  Yeghian owed,  the government concedes  that it

would be fair to employ the  same barometer in respect to  Vaknin

(a similarly  situated codefendant).  We  accept the government's

concessions  at face  value,  without passing  substantively upon

them, and direct the district court to make these two adjustments

to the restitutionary award.  The resultant  obligation thus will

be reduced to $902,000. 

VI.  CONCLUSION
          VI.  CONCLUSION

          We  need  go no  further.   For  the reasons  set forth

herein, we affirm  the convictions of all  the defendants; modify

the restitution  order imposed against Vaknin,  and, as modified,

affirm it; vacate  the restitution orders imposed  on Fonseca and

Yeghian, respectively;  and remand for further  proceedings as to

them.

          Affirmed in part; vacated in part; remanded.
                    Affirmed in part; vacated in part; remanded.
                                                               

                    
                              

     11This  is very  professional behavior,  and we  commend the
prosecutors for it.

                                31